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Horse Racing 1st March – Offers

  • Paddy – 2nd to SP refunds at Catterick

    W Hills – 2nd to SP refunds at Catterick and Lingfield

    Bet365 – 4/1 win offer. 2.40 Lingfield, 5.00 Catterick

    Betfred/totesport – 2nd refunds 3.20 Leicester (credit Cashedup)

    Personally I enjoy these 2nd to SP offers, they tend to result in lower qualifying losses than the general 2nd place and whereas they are harder to predict the amount of races available makes up for it. Been lucky with PP over the past week with 1/2 day and with W Hills overlapping at Catterick you can double up potential freebet or double the chances.

    Look out for the 14.10, 15.40, 16.10, 17.10 at Lingfield and 14.30, 15.00 and 16.00 at Catterick. Depending on odds coming in/out there could be more or less to potentially look at.

    +0
    feltt1p
    7
    March 1, 2016 at 10:32 am

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    CashedUp
    Blocked
    49 March 1, 2016 at 12:07 pm

    Thanks

    +0
    Tony 18 March 1, 2016 at 12:16 pm

    Cheers felt – agree on quali losses being reduced over the previous money back 2nd offer on Hills. Did 5 races yesterday, 2 at a quali profit and all five at a net cost of less than £1. No refunds like, a few very close things, but that’s ok longterm

    +0
    Tony 18 March 1, 2016 at 12:57 pm

    I’ll put this here rather than making it’s own thread. I know a lot of you don’t like these offers, but I think this one has value and is unlikely to suffer any changes to the Place terms given the number of runners (currently) in each race.

    William Hill – Richard Johnson Enhanced Price Double @ 3.5
    1600 Catterick (6 runners, 2 places) – Royal Milan (1.65)
    1700 Catterick (12 runners, 3 places) – Wintered Well (1.70)

    Sequential lay odds of 2.8 vs 3.5

    £50 stake would return £175 = £125 profit

    Lay Royal Milan for £52.63 (£34.21 liability, assumes 5% comm)
    Lay Wintered Well for £88.64 (£62.05 liability, assumes 5% comm)

    £125 – £34.21 – £62.05 = £28.74 net profit

    Something to think about anyway ;)

    +0
    Tony 18 March 1, 2016 at 12:59 pm

    I should add the following terms on the Hills offer page:

    If the sum of the rule 4’s add up to 15p+ the market will be settled as an SP treble (sic, must mean double). If any of the selections are non runners the bet will revert to a SP double (sic, must mean single)

    +0
    Chris 24 March 1, 2016 at 1:11 pm

    It appears to be a win double not a place double as you’ve portrayed it.

    +0
    Chris 24 March 1, 2016 at 1:13 pm

    Ah no you’re right, it is place. Probably worth a shot then.

    +0
    Tony 18 March 1, 2016 at 1:16 pm

    LOL – you gave me kittens for a second there Chris!

    Looks like a few are already jumping on it given the movement in Royal Milan’s lay price ;)

    +0
    Chris 24 March 1, 2016 at 1:17 pm

    Theres nothing in the place market on smarkets

    +0
    Tony 18 March 1, 2016 at 1:19 pm

    No, hence why I referred to Betfair mate – even that isn’t exactly swimming in liquidity, but it’s still 3 hours til the off I suppose

    +0
    matchedem
    Blocked
    10 March 1, 2016 at 1:21 pm

    is now

    +0
    Tony 18 March 1, 2016 at 1:22 pm

    LOL- Fav now a non runner in the 1600

    Not sure what that means in terms of Rule 4? Any experts able to offer an opinion?

    +0
    matchedem
    Blocked
    10 March 1, 2016 at 1:26 pm

    10/3 to 4/1 20p

    Favourite was much lower than this wasn’t it so looks like SP all the way :(

    +0
    Chris 24 March 1, 2016 at 1:27 pm

    Well isnt the favourite the Richard Johnson horse?

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    Tony 18 March 1, 2016 at 1:28 pm

    Hills still not showing Minella Daddy as a Non-Runner, random? Enhanced offer still therefore available, even though Betfair’s lay price from Royal Milan to place now reduced to around 1.4 as a result.

    Need to find out what the rule 4 deduction will be though?

    +0
    matchedem
    Blocked
    10 March 1, 2016 at 1:28 pm

    Probably just hoping milan doesn’t place now!

    +0
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