Looking for arbs and then maybe BOG, NR, promos etc

  • Matchedem’s idea.

    I was sceptical at first but I had a bit of success.

    Use Monkey overnight of first thing to find 100%+ arbs with any accounts you have. Then with a bit of luck you may get a BOG, or a NR or 2nd to fav, or BBL/neck/nose, faller etc

    Trick is not to waste time looking for anything specific.

    Stick to low stakes so you should look like a mug.

    Anyone got a downside or improvements – sure there are.

    PS anyone got a list of bookies doing BOG

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    beesty2016 3

    https://www.flatstats.co.uk/non-runners.php

    Works well if you are up before 8am and the bookies are offering BOG. However, lots of them offer it from 10am as lots of non runners are announced between 8 and 9:30. I guess there is a rule in terms of entry fees if you pull them out by a certain time.

    I tend to look from 10am and use sites offering anything such as necks or greater or 2nd to fav. Will often just do a straight back and lay at the same stake and make sure the most I will lose is £5 should a horse win. This means I am always within 0.2 of the back but tend to scale it based on how high I back the original horse.

    I would say there isn’t much money involved in it but good to do on quiet days as I quite like the fact of starting the next day with a free bet. The worst day is usually £20 down and a really good day may be £75 in free bets. Nothing major but keeps things ticking over.

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    Johnbo 14

    I do this with Betbright, as they offer money back if 2nd by a neck/head on most UK races.

    Every now and then you land a free bet or decent BOG boost, well worth having a quick scan in the morning 😉

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    Johnbo 14

    What interests me is whether these would be trade worthy- as in does the early value mean the selections get backed in a high enough % of the time to trade on them?

    I did start collecting some data but was very time consuming…

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    matchedem
    Blocked
    10

    Thanks for crediting me brother…I’ve certainly had great sucksess here the past year or so

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    matchedem
    Blocked
    10

    One thing worth mentioning on smarkets is that there is usually more money at a price than they appears. 20 quid will be replaced right away by automated systems…just have t risk it. 1 in 20 u might get stung but it’s usually obviously after a while where that is

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    beesty2016 3

    Agreed with that Matchedem. It is definitely worth taking the lay when it is there on whatever exchange you use. The amount of times you do it and the money instantly gets taken is amazing. It’s hard to know who and where the systems are being used from but I often find it work well in Irish horse racing when ew arbing.

    I also agree with Johnbo as well in that pressure points get formed when the exchange is getting backed in to what prices the bookie has set. Personally, without ever trying it I guess the historical prices would be worth looking at. E.G if it is is 9/1, 8/1 and 7/1 and its an 8/8 it means the exchange is constantly putting pressure on the bookies so may be worth backing those with a view to lay later for profit. However, where there is say a 5/1, 11/2, 6/1 pattern it could be worth laying straight away hoping for BOG later.

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