Matched betting with Draw-No-Bets

  • Hi all,
    What would you do in order to lay a draw no bet.
    THIS IS NOT A GUIDE SO READ ALL AND, IF YOU CAN, ANSWER MY QUESTION (sorry for caps)
    I’ll explain for the ones who don’t know what it is.
    Certain sites (like Paddypower in the italian version) offer the “Draw-No-Bet”.
    You bet on the winning team, and if the match ends in a draw (0-0,1-1,2-2 ecc) the bookie will give your money back.
    Lets examine this match in the Draw-no-bets section Silkeborg-Viborg on Paddypower.
    Silkeborg wins 1.72
    Viborg wins 2.00

    The bet is placed like this
    i put 5 euros on Silkeborg wins on paddypower, and the system automatically put 2 differents bets
    2.5 euros on Silkeborg with odds 3.44 (1.72*2)
    2.5 euros on draw with odds 2.00
    if the match ends in a draw i get my 5 euros back.

    now lets see the match on betfair (on the italian site there is no Draw-No-Bet section, so i try to figure something out)
    Silkeborg DOESNT win 2.68
    NO DRAW 3.75
    Viborg DOESNT win 2.95

    i tried and put (with the calculator) 3.27 on Silkeborg doesnt win.
    In this way if it wins i end up with -1.89 euros (8.6 on paddy – 5 i bet – 5.27 of responsibility)
    if it loses i end up with -1.73 (3.27 i win on betfair – 5 i lose on paddy)
    it there is a draw i end up with +3.27 (5 on paddy and 3.27 on betfair)

    it was only at the end that i figure out that i was going to lose on 66.67% of the case (im doing this because match betting in italy is very hard, there is almost no offers on horses and the ones on football often are about system or multiples and i couldnt find a guide on how to lay multiples)

    so, my question is: is there a way to lay (somehow) a draw no bet bet on, for example, paddypower, in order to win?

    thanks all!

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