Price Boosts
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Might be a good idea to have a thread on these. I’ve noticed I can get back on the paddy ones with full stake, but I keep missing them as I’m not used to checking any more.
I like to prove value on boosts by comparing to exchange price and the punt max stake on the boosts esp accas. Commission takes a chunk from the expected value and the odds at exchange always inflate when a good boost is on. That’s my reasons to punt.
Usually I’ll have well over €20 won safely over the day/week that I can transfer to a boost punt fund.
+0March 30, 2018 at 11:32 am
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Paddy Power. Cardiff/Brentford/Leeds boosted to 6.5. Combined lays 6.01.
+0SportNation have had some good ones too. Haven’t checked today (will in a bit) but have seen some good ones on the horses. Stood to make about £150 profit underlayed from a tenner the other day. Didn’t win but a surprisingly good shot for them.
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10bet have boosted Joshua to win by KO to 3/1 which I think is great value. You can lay it off at Betfair (lay odds presently 3.85 but that should come down) but I’ll be punting £10-20 on it.
Credit to ANTIS0CIAL for finding the boost and posting in the other section of the forum.
+0Decent that they’ve given you max stake back. I’ve gone from £0 to £2! Actually intrigued by a price boost punt thread to see the profits over time. I punt all the Hills ones and some others but don’t track profits properly.
+0Is anyone sign up to the SportNation Whatsapp deals? Boosts etc. I’ve only had one, which will probs give me like 4 quid, but I imagine they’ll vary a bit, and given the lower volume of audience, could be interesting.
+0Sky – Joshua to win round 10 – 21/18 £25 max
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Betfred Arsenal & Chelsea to win 3.5 laying sequentially at about 3.1
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Paddy – real and Bayern to win is 4.5. Combined lays are 4.17.
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Best boost I’ve seen for tonight action in champs league is 3/1 at will hill Liverpool to score over 1 goal. 2 or more is laying at 3.69 on exchange…
Not much else around?
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Will hill making a big deal of this game. City to qualify 7.0/5.8.
+0Paddys have Real and Btts 4.0. Not bad for those that can get £20 on.
+0tonight’s sportnation what’s app special is 6/5.27. value punt only due to kick off times
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PP arsenal and btts boosted to 5.0/4.7.
Interesting to look at the money matched on betfair. Quite a bit was matched at 4.2 I guess before the boost, even matched as low as 3.95.
If you put it in calculator 5.0/4.7 at max stake €20 gives a 42c profit.
If you remove comm – put zero in calculator (don’t lay and take long term EV) the profit EV goes to €1.28.
If you assume that the 4.7 is inflated by matched bettors and assume the true prob is actually 4.2 which has a decent amount matched then the EV profit is €3.80.
So the true return on investment is probably some where between 19% and 6.4% but by laying it at inflated price and paying huge comm you are only taking 2.1% …..
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WH djokovic berdych muller to all win boosted to 4.5. I make the combined lays to be about 3.4, do will hill know that berdych has already as good as taken the first set?
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And as I post he fails to hold serve for the set.
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