Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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25/06(111) HUNDRED ISLES 40-1 ** (lads/coral/sbet) 1/5 odds 3 places 8r
Same race/terms as tip 110. Lay the win for zero/minimal loss- lay the 2tp- chase the 3rd.
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If your on either/both those last 2. Lay the 3 place markets right at the end as the last one is going in the stalls if all 8 look like going off- both options would be viable in my book- the 2tp will carry losses but massive value potential and the safer 3 places will simply carry nice place arb value- providing theres no big drifts of course!
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Didnt have to wait long- yet another late pull out in that race just in- complete outsider becomes 2nd withdrawal in last hour- 1 minute after last post- its win arbs and close matched 2 place lays now!
1/4 odds now on the 2 place markets. Worth a try getting in on those 2 monster value arbs- could still turn out decently+0
Dont panic-dont panic!- those two big prices are steamin in nicely atm- in very nice win arb/2TP arb territory…was always a decent propasal at the odds at the time with the NR factor still giving arb/value potential. Without that 100-1 NR would have 2 huge arbs atm- cant grumble though….
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25/06
(112) 855 LEICESTER-WILY NILLY 8/1 ****(PP) 1/5 ODDS 4 PLACES- 11R
EXCELLENT VALUE
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27/06
No value naps yesterday- as value races were thin on the ground. Much better oppurtunites today for scalping some excellent value…getting some very early bird naps in before I have to travel somewhere and some decent quality races already have good enough markets…
(113) 715 CURRAGH- SUNCHART 50-1**** (BET365/PP/BFAIR) 1/5 ODDS 4 PLACES 15R
Quality race and this one is tipped mainly on the overall value at 50-1. But could be good enough to hustle his way into a top 4 spot- but unless sizable drift will be solid place arb value at least come nearer race time. More rain would have been a big boost but the Good going shouldnt hinder his chances t much.
(114) 715 CURRAGH- SHERPA 9-1 ***** (PP/BETFAIR) 1/5 ODDS 4 PLACES 15 R
Same race. Excellent value atm. One I would say will be a live player to grab the top value bonus 4th place spot and be a very good overall each way arb at 9-1.
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27/06
(112) 325 REDCAR- WANES ARMY 12-1 ** (UNIBET/BET VICTOR) 1/5 ODDS 4 PLACES 14 R
Solid value extra place race. Low market liquidity atm- but feel there is enough to justify the tip at 12-1. Believe on the form book that it has a good chance of holding current price/going off shorter- and at least maintaining solid current win/4 place value. Consistent horse and 1 in the race that I would expect to see in and around the big bonus 4th place spot come the finish.
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27/06
(113) 335 NEWCASTLE- RAINBOW DREAMER 7-1***** (PPOWER/BFAIR) 1/5 ODDS 6 PLACES -19 R
Stand out offer of 6 places from Paddy Power in this Northumberland Plate Handicap. Best value shout atm from PP in this race. Not one I hugely fancy to win- so would be looking to lay win early for zero/pennies loss- and having a big value 6 place arb near race time.
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last two tips should read..tip numbers 115 and 116 respectively. not 112 and 113..just for my record keeping etc..
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27/06
(117) 615 CURRAGH- TOMMY TAYLOR 12-1 *** (PP/BFRED/BOYLES/SKY) 1/5 ODDS 5 PLACES 18R
Marginal value as the markets stand atm. Tipping 3/5* mainly because I believe the value will improve/price will drop. Ticks all the handicap boxes for me in terms of consistency/going/distance/weights. Had it down as about an 8-1 shot. So am happy to nap this early before the markets start to get moving/wake up in this race. Lay late
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27/06
(118) 325 REDCAR- MANZO DURO 8-1 *****(LADS/CORAL/BETFRED/BOYLES) 1/5 ODDS 4 PLACES 13 R
Exceellent value atm. Expect it to go off shorter and be in the mix to win the race/top 4
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cONT….
27/06
(119) 335 NEWCASTLE- COLLIDE 20/1 **** (PP/BFAIR) 1/5 ODDS 6 PLACES 18 R
Very good value atm with the 6 places on offer. lay win early for zero/minimal win loss- excellent 6 place arb value
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27/06
(120) 435 NEWMARKET- ONE SMALL STEP 66-1 ** (365/VICTOR) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES – 9R
Debut horse. Price is decent arb- early win lay normally best option on these debut ew arb longshots
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27/06
(121) 425 NEWMARKET – SAY ITS ME 100-1 (365/BOYLES) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES 9 R
The price is right- value lay it off/over lay the place arb?
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27/06
(122) 615 CURRAGH- ROMANTIC PROPOSAL 15/2*** (WHILL) 1/5 ODDS 5 PLACES- 18 R
Steady ew 5 place value atm- serious win chance in this race- could well go off shorter.
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