Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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Harris English already on the dip in the 10 place eway betting in the golf- Into 75-85.0 already👍
Fleetwood also nudging in- 34,0-38.0+0
Jason Day into 30.0-32.0 10 place lay👍
Ostenhasen/woodland holding solid arb/value posistions
My Homework paying off atm- should have big overall Arb value on the 5 live sach contenders I napoed up👍
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August naps cont…
05/08- (12) 115 Newton Abbot- Flying Focus 200-1 (365) ** 1/5 odds 3TP 10 R
Value each way race-. Outside of the short price top 2- a dire load of form on the rest- So a big price top 3 shot is certainly possible. Really dont like napping horses in the 3 figure odds bracket but have to take a pop at this one as it may have a chance and be a very big eway arb at the massive 200-1. Making hurdling debut today- form over the flat ok- If can take to hurdling ok then will have a chance of scalping a 3rd place. 150/1 with Hills maybe small value also. 2/5
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August Naps Cont…
05/08
(13) 230 Wexford- Caddy Shack 20/1 (betfred) 1/5 odds 4 places 14r
Good value EP race. With FRED/UNIBET only firms paying the 4 places for 12+r. Speculation nap as very little in the markets- but a race one would want to get involved in with either of these two firms 4 place offer. A steady performer who I would expect to go off overall value at the 20/1 price- added bonus is that he is returning to course/distance 3m that he won 5 starts ago- aftyer dropping down to shorter trips subsequently. 4/5*
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August naps cont..
05/08
(14) 230 WEXFORD- Balinaboola Stream- 25/1(fred/unibet) 1/5 odds 4 places 14 r
No time for review- 5/5 value- Take it quick
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Whisper in from The Dapper Napper that support may be incoming on nap 14- And it looks like its trickling in already- at 25/1 with 4 places paid..could/should be monster value
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Unibet still dozing with 25-1 on nap 14- fred already halved it! to 12/1
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Me and a few others have taken the arb lay money out of betfair markets on that nap 14 already- Hopefully25/1 will prove to be a big arb when money comes back in to markets
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Nap 12 update- Flying Focus 200-1- Price is available with other firms Hills/Victor/PP- And is a decent but low liquid arb atm- so can spread a few small each way bets on it around the different books
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Golf Update…
With 8 to place and 5 to place markets waking up more or less now on Betfair exchange…some lay options for my 5 picks at current market prices/with the various firms place offers…Using a hyperthetical $50 each way as stakes on these and laying at the higher to lay priceJason Day 46.0 (HILLS 9 PLACES) lay $50 WIN at 44.0- Lay $50 8 place market 7.2.
1st place +£340. 2nd-8th +£140. 9th place +£450. Outside top 9- levelsHarris English 100-1 (skybet 11 places) Lay £50 each way 10 place market 80.0
1st place +£1250. 2nd-10th +£200. 11th +£1000. Outside top 11- levelsTommy Fleetwood 50-1 (Hills 9 places) Lay approx £42 on the win lay 60.0- Lay approx £58 on the 8 place markets 8.0.
1st place +£95.(approx) 2nd-8th +£95 (approx) 9th place +£500. Outside top 9- levelsGary Woodland 50-1 (Hills 9 places) Very simaler scenario to Fleetwood with his win lay at 60-65 and 8 place lay around 9.0, A little less on win lay lay/more on 8 place lay with slightly reduced pay outs on the 1-9 posistions
Louis Osthausen 100-1 (888 7 places) With the win lay between 100.0-110.00 and The 5 place market around 17.0-19.0- Roughly a break even/small arb on the laying the win and 5 place markets off full stakes. Leaving shots at 6th and 7th for a monster +£1000!
Superb value and easy opps to lock in profits with overlays (if one likes doing that and has a big enough exchange roll that they dont mind locking up for four days)
Me personally im gonna lay off what I can and enjoy the buzz of chasing high value free shots at big profits with 5 players who are all solid grafters and outside emerging Harris English have proven pedigree at being in the shake up/winning majorsHave rushed the maths breakdowns on stakes/lay off amounts ( Do have other stuff to do! but its there or thereabouts on the details) Lets do this!
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August naps Cont…
(15) 05/08
115 NEWTON ABBOT- Noble Behest 13/2 (365/fred/hills) 1/5 odds 3 places 10 r . 3/5*Another shot in this 115 value race. Was going to nap it 8/1 earlier but markets was weak and I dont think on paper it is great value. But markets speak and have woken up and 13/2 is a value price atm- perhaps lay early and lock in profit is my best call here.
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Got a/some jealous sad numptys on here reporting me for inappropiate content…wasting your time with that..im a lock in on this website..and am sending many posters from other forums/places to this website…Reeling in the dosh every which way but lose with my daily sharbing…anyone wishing to take the dip with the scabba service can read through all the posts and decide.. already got 15+ names in and dont want more than 25-30….Happy days…
Enjoy your days toiling at your brain dead job who ever you are…Im up over $500 today on my own tips/one of Andy bs…bet you would have to graft your nuts off all week for that..lol+0
Typical though when ones reaches the highs- theres always a few sad numpties firing out a few crafty digs/pokes from the saftey on their keyboard/armchair…lol
I should deffo be reported for bad spelling/punctuation and butchering many horses names though! Although you only get money for those type of skills in you wanna work as an English teacher etc!
Regardless of this thread/my Scabba/Dapper Napper plan- I have single handedly rescued this site from the ghostown it was 6 months/1 year ago (and helped people with queries and passed on money making tips/naps all for free for 2+ years)-to being quite active now…of course Matts brillant threads/posts/updates are the main focus of coming here… and thankfully more people are now popping in to utilise Matts great stuff,than the ghostown it was here in late 2019/Early 2020
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Time to finally do the breakdowns of naps performance in July and complete the June one…
Starting with July…as usual using £25 each way for the calculations on all naps…
(1) 6/7. 440 Windsor- Thank you next 18/1*****(365) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES 10R
SP 8-1- 10 RAN- 3RD- +£65
(2) 6/7. 730 Thirsk- OReillys Pass 20/1** (Bet365) 1/5 ODDS 3TP 13R
SP 16-1- 12 RAN- 8TH- -£50
(3) 07/07- 310 Newton Abbot- Referee** 11/2( lads/hills/coral/boyles) 3 places 1/5 9r
SP 11/2- 9 RAN- 5TH- -£50
(4) 07/07- 1245 Pontefract- Micheal Stroggoff ***12/1 (boyles/hills/betway) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
SP 17/2- 13 RAN- 4TH- +£35
(5) 07/07- 1245 Pontefract- Barrysnikov 8/1 *****(Boyles) 1/5 odds 4places 13r
SP 8-1- 13 RAN- 3RD- +£15
(6) 08/07 – 310 Ripon- Hesssa 20/1 **(365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10 r
SP 14/1- 10 RAN- 3RD- +£75
(7) 08/07-310 Ripon – Tombolo 7/1*****(hills/coral/365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
SP 10/3- 10 RAN- 4TH- -£50
(8) 08/07 710 Newbury- Catbird Seat 40/1 ***(victor/unibet) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
SP 22/1- 10 RAN- 8TH- -£50
(9) 08/07- 710- Newbury- Mersin 13/2 *** (365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
SP 7/1- 10 RAN- 2ND- +£10 (SMALL BOG)
(10) 09/07- 1225 York- Hartswood 7/1 (boyles/betfred)*** 1/5 odds 5 places 19r
SP 11/2- 16 RAN- 3RD- +£5 (SMALL RULE 4 DEDUCTION)
(11) 09/07- 335 Newmarket- Sunset Breeze 8/1 ***** (whill) 1/5 odds 5 places 17r
SP 7/1- 17 RAN- 7TH- -£50
(12) 10/07- 115 NEWMARKET- Naval Crown 15/2 ** (boyles) 1/5 odds 3 places 10 run
SP 5-1- 9 RAN- 3RD- +£12.50
(13) 10/07- 240 Market Rasen- Addrostas 16/1**(365) 1/4 4 places 17r
SP 16-1- 16 RAN- PU- -£50
(14) 11/07. 335 Newmarket- Equalatrel 25/1**** (biyles/bet365) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
SP 28-1- 12 RAN- 10TH- -£50
(15) 11/07 410 Newmarket – Vale Of Kent*** 16/1 (unibet) 1/5 odds 5 places 18r
SP 9/1- 17 RAN- 8TH- -$50
(16) 11/07 150 Ascot- Landue 16/1 **** (pp/victor/hills) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
SP 12-1- 13 RAN- 11TH- -£50
(17) 15/07- 715 Kempton-Minesteral 28/1 (gills/pp/bfred/365) ** 1/5 odds 3 places 12r
SP 20-1- 12 RAN- 7TH- -£50
(18) 15/07 – 1200 Yarmouth- Sacre Bleau 14/1 (365) **** 1/5 odds 3 places 11r
SP 10-1- 11 RAN- 4TH- -£50
(19) 16/07 – 715 Lepordstown- Dendrobium ** 40/1 (pp/hills/sky) 1/5 odds 3 places 11r
SP 25-1- 11 RAN- 7TH- -£50
(20) 16/07 350 Uttoxetter- No Cruise Yet 10/1 (betfred) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
SP 7/1- 12 RAN- 4TH- +£25
(21) 17/07 605 Leicester -Ring of Gold 66/1 *** (lads) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES 10 R
SP 18-1- 8 RAN- 2ND- +£137.50 (50% rule 4 deduction approx)
(22) 17/07 605 leicstet- valletta sunset*** 66/1 (lads) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
sp 50-1- 8 RAN- 3RD- +£225 (REDUCED PAY OUT FROM 66/1 TO SP 50/1)
(23) 18/07- 615 Curragh- Romantic propasal 11/1 ****( pp) 1/5 odds 5 places 17r
SP 11/2- 16 RAN- 1ST- +£330
(24) 18/07- 415 Curragh- Colour Sergant 11/2 (365) *** 3 places 1/5 9r
SP 6-1- 9 RAN- 3RD- +£5 (SMALL BOG)
(25) 18/07- 410 York- Musicka 12/1 ***(unibet) 1/5 odds 5 places 19r
SP 10-1- 18 RAN- 2ND- +£35
(26) 18/07- 655 haydock – lucan 20/1 (365****) 1/4 odds 3 places 13 r
SP 20/1- 12 RAN- 8TH- -£50
(27) 18/07- 655 haydock – lucan 16/1 ***(pp- others) 1/5 idds 4 places 13 r
SP 20/1- 12 RAN- 8TH- -£50
(28) 18/07- 415 curragh – Hms Seahorse 20/1 (365) 1/5 odds 3 places 9r ****
SP 14-1- 9 RAN- 4TH- -£50
(29) 20/07- 400 Gowran Park- Riqaaby 14/1 (365/SBet) *** 1/5 odds 3 places 9 r
SP 17/2- 9 RAN- 3RD- +£45
(30) 20/07 400 Gowran Park. Black Spice 25/1** (whill/victor/boyles/fred/) 1/5 odds 10 r
SP 40-1- 9 RAN- 6TH- -£50
(31) 21/07- 140 Chepstow- Beakeland 33/1** (b365) 1/5 odds 3 places.10 R
SP 18-1- 9 RAN- 6TH- -£50
(32) 21/07- 140 Chepstow- Shara 13/2***** (365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
SP 6-1- 9 RAN- 1ST- +£190 (1 WITHDRAWN NO RULE 4)
(33) 23/07- Limerick 615- Internal Transfer 7/1 (bet victor)***1/4 odds 3 places 14r
SP 10/3- 14 RAN- 5TH- -£50
(34) 23/07- 400 Leopordstown – Liquid Luck 10/1 *** (boyles) 1/5 odds 5 places 17r
SP 15/2- 17 RAN- 5TH- +£25
(35) 23/07- 400 Leopordstown- Shake a leg 16/1 *** (boyles) 1/5 odds 5 places 17r
SP 10-1- 17 RAN- 1ST- +£480
(36) 23/07 – 350 Pontefract- Eagle Court 40/1** (365/888/sbwt) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
SP 33/1- 10 RAN- 1ST- +£1200
(37) 24/07- 310 Down Royal 310- misty mullie 15.2 (pp) 1:5 odds 4 places 16 R
SP 7-1- 14 RAN- 4TH- +£20 (SMALL DEDUCTIONS)
(38) 24/07- Amlad 15/2 310 D Royal (pp) 1/5 odds 4 places 14r
SP 7-1- 14 RAN- 2ND- +£10 (SMALL DEDUCTION)
(39) 25/07. 455 Doncaster- **** lyric gold 7/1/-(365) 1/5 odds 3tp 9 r
SP 5-1- 9 RAN- 2ND- +£10
(40) 25/07 455 Doncaster – Alkaat 5/1 (pp/sport nation/genting)1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES 9 R ***
SP 9-1- 9 RAN- 6TH- -£50
(41) 25/07- 800 Doncaster- Dusk 11.1 **** (victor/365) 1:5 odds 3tp 10 r
SP 6-1- 8 RAN- 5TH- -£50
(42) 26/07- 110 Wolves- Apache Mist 40/1***** (365) 1/5 ofds 3tp 10r
SP 25-1- 10 RAN- 4TH- -£50
(43) 27/07- 645 Galway – wave of the sea 18/1 (365) 1/4 idds 4 places 20 r
SP 10-1- 20 RAN- 9TH- -£50
(44) 27/07- 645 galway- great white shark 11/1**** (pp) 1/5 odds 5 places 20 r
SP 10-1- 20 RAN- 8TH- -£50
(45) 28/07- 145 goodwood- maydenny 7/1 (boyles)*** 1/5 5 odds 18r
SP 5-1- 18 RAN- 1ST- +£185
(46) 28/07- 145 goodwood – Bell Rock 15/2 (888) 1/5 5tp 18 r ****
SP 15/2- 18 RAN- 3RD- +£12.50
(47) 28/07- 110 goodwood- Declared Interest*** 8/1 (pp) 1/5 4tp 12r
SP 13/2- 12 RAN- 6TH- -£50
(48) 28/07 – 400 Ayr Gratus 10/1 (365/888) *** 1/5 3tp 8 r
SP 5/1- 8 RAN- 5TH- -£50
(49) 28/07- 645 Galway- Current Option 12/1 ****(boyles/fred) 1/5 5tp 18 r
SP 10-1- 18 RAN- 14TH- -£50
(50) 29/07- 615 Galway- Bold Enough 8-1 (pp) 1/5 odds 5 TP 17r
SP 7/2- 14 RAN 4TH- +£10 (SOME DEDUCTION)
(51) 30/07- 645 GALWAY – MR LEINSTER 14-1 **** (SKYBET) 1/5 ODDS 6 PLACES 20R
SP 5-1- 19 RAN- 6TH- +£45
(52) 30/07- 645 GALWAY- MR LEINSTER 14-1 *** (365) 1/4 ODDS 4 PLACES 20 R
SP 5-1- 19 RAN- 6TH- -£50
(53) 30/07- 645 Galway – Aramax 10/1 *****(whill)1/5 odds 6 places 20 r
SP 17/2- 19 RAN- 15TH- -£50
(54) 30/07- Galway 545- Dime a Dozen 9/4 (boyles) Win Only- 7 r
SP 9/5- 7 RAN- 3RD (WIN ONLY £50) -£50
(55) 31/07- 145 Goodwood- Invitational 18/1 (pp) 1/5 4 places 13r
SP 18-1- 12 RAN- 6TH- -£50
(56) 31/07- 545 Galway- Filon Doudaries 15/2 **** (365} 1/4 odds 4TP 19 R
SP 7-1- 15 RAN- 11TH- -£50
(57) 31/07- 315 Goodwood- Liberty Beach 6/1***(365) 1/4 odds 2 place 7 r
SP 5-1- 7 RAN- 4TH- -£50
(58) 31/07- 755 lingfield – Avorski Et Paris 18/1 (boyles) 1/5 odds 3placds 11r
SP 16-1- 10 RAN- 9TH- -£50+1
Quite a lot of other commitments in July so only 58 naps posted up on here…
58 Naps
Zero Non runners
5 Winners (11-1) (7-1) (40-1) (13/2) (16-1) Overdue clutch of good price winners.. as previous 250 + naps were showing profit overall Each way at over +20 % ROI but showing loss on the win parts- all profits up till now coming from the regular place arb values
20 of other 53 Placed
1 significent Rule 4/NR deduction on Ring Of Gold 66/1 2ND (APPROX 50 %) I know this because I collected on £40 each way bet. Other rule 4/runner deductions very minimal..and have factored them in as best/close as possibleStakes at $25 each way on all 58 naps = £2900
Returns £4387
Total profit +£1487
ROI +52% (APPROX)Could well be a small few quid either way on breakdown- but have endeavoured to be as precise as possible
If that person who decided to report some posts for inappropriote blah blah blah..You may have 3 reasons to do so here
1. for any dodgy spelling
2. If I managed to be a few quid out with breakdown..type in the wrong finishing posistions on a few of the losers etc
3. Because you didnt/couldnt get on these high value scalps and kop any of the profits+1
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