Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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1 great arb (greenview)- 2 decents Ban Shoof 7.0 Ew and Free 22.0 ew. But a shocker on Sheffild about 200.00 ew
None get the frame and the drift on Sheffild leaves todays 4 around -€50 atm🙃
Hate to see even 1 negative day- so will be endeavouring to find some more value👍 Aside from the 1 current remaining nap.+0
Naps (day 12)
6. 320 Wincanton Pagero 22/1 (boyles-4 place race) 12r- 12 r min. Hurdle race so hopefully all go. Just * as a nr will limit/lose the current value it is.
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Just not cricket so far today. Pagaro 22/1(320 Winc) off about 16.5/4.7 3tp -for win/place arbs and big free shot at 4th- comes nowhere🙃
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Cool betman👍 Just saw your most recent post.
I didnt really read through the posts by yourself and Enigma, as was too busy (still havnt) but picked up quickly on things – one in each- that seemed to be the main theme in them
1. Why did I quote SPs etc-
As I said in the long posts myself they were just put in as a guide to see the obvious general value in them. Due to being too busy throughout the day myself, there were many races in there where i didnt have time/oppurtunity to record/see the bfsp on win and place prices. My estimated profit quotes were clearly stated to go by how they had performed on either.. 1. Laying the win- letting the places run and…2. Laying nothing at all. I also stated that I believed the ROI for laying both win and place just before off was a much lower but still excellent 30 % ROI or there abouts.So I didnt know why a big post was put up criticising the SPs being in there (one thing it did prove was only 1/38 went off higher than price taken- so bot much point refering to BOG either)
2. The other posts theme seemed to be about how people/subscribers will get restricted quickly. 🎺 like thats a surprise/useful insight. Anyone following any horse racing/sporting tipster will soon get restricted weather its bad eways or other bet types. Simply consistently winning at good value prices (following any of the better known tipsters/naps will stand out a mile and be easily spotted) will soon have one gubbed.
I would expect any future subscribers to have the nous to pick and choose which naps they hammer- based on site preservation. There will be more than enough coming in (with alterative sites to best price firm- of still value) to simply follow the ones one is comfortable with. I will certainly be offering any subscribers advice on these matters and of course directing them to this site👍. As mentioned before at 20% ROI- 1 €50 eway shot a week would cover any subscribtion rates.😀 So just following a few when its convienient will justify, and some! a small fee🤔So in summary I felt both posts were unnessecary and Badly thought out – and simply in case 1. Wrong to ramble on about SP and 2 wrong/unessecary to point out the blindingly obvious thing we all know..winners/arbers will get restricted/gubbed in time👍
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Hopefully that also covers MBP’s query
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NAPS (day 12)
7. 545 Wolverhampton Wemyss ware 40/1 (365) *** 33/1 (whill) *
Still battling to turn this day round👍
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Michael Stoute 1st time out horse so could be a big steamer if half decent- big price for a Stoute horse esp at a crap meet like wilverhampton🤔
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One of them days …nothing paying dividends🙃
545 Wolves. Wenyss World 40/1 off 36/5.0
Perfect Number 12/1 off 11.5 eway
Nothing!Ill call it a day there as- musses wants to go out- so leaving the 715🙃
Good fishing..Till tomorrow👍
+0I think the problem now scabs is the rate at which bookies restrict, and it’s not just a case of if you’ve taken value or not. A few ex work colleagues got caught up in a 365 gubbing spree and they have no concept of value whatsoever, they simply like staking large amounts on slightly peculiar markets (on UK football I might add) and still had their accounts restricted.
My last fresh 365 account lasted a whole 2 days, ladbrokes a week, coral 2 weeks! I’ve only got one account that I can actually get decent stakes on and have done for nearly a year, but that initially got gubbed after just a month, with only doing a couple of offers and no ew stuff.
Just the way of the bookie now! As soon as they start smashing on £50 ews on 34 shots that go off with an ISP of 13 and a BFSP of 16, they will quickly get restricted regardless of the horse winning/placing.
Just my 1-2 on a tipping service, as long as you can support the clients and help them actually understand A, value and B, what they can do when they start running out of accounts, or being heavily restricted
+0Scab i dont think anyone is intending to simply shit on your idea! Just giving you things to think about
But if you’re advertising on the basis of £50 EW shots then a subscriber might very quickly feel misrepresented / induced in to paying for your service if they can’t get those stakes on within a few weeks. So then you’ll have an issue on your hands, maybe they ask for their money back
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You can usually get reasonable stakes at the shops. Online is basically dead with all the Mbers. By the time you back and lay it’s cut if it’s a decent ARB
It’s as if bookies have software to check each bet for value and cut as soon as it’s backed.
Online you have to find the arbs or value yourself and get in first. I haven’t had an account for more than a week apart from crap ones or football only.+0
Fair dos Enigma. Just came up that figure as a fairly easy way of making calculations. I was thinking maybe it was a close overall estimate- with the theroy that shorter prices say under 10/1 bets sizes could be increased (perhaps 2 or more firms having avaiable best prices) and higher prices would mist likely be smaller bets in the €20 ew range. So figured that was a round figure to create some data. Rather than quoting different figures for each arb shot that comes throughout the day.
Appreciate the good words etc and often wish I didnt fire off rants whilst out in the field.
How did that 715 pan out?. As a conniseur of the bad ews – I was quite intrigued by the dynamics of that one- some irish races can be simalar to that one – but with 4/5 more rank outsiders😀
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Best of luck with a paid for service. You may end up spending time on administration so that it’s not viable.
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Thanks Sleepless- see how it pans out👍 Will be away for 3 months whillst trying to upgrade it with little to do- so will be bored/missing the action. So it will hopefully keep me occupied/involved🤔
Have a few friends/contacts i am already sending bets to and has been going great- and easily but obviously that is plain sailing without all the web stuff/subscribtion bit n pieces. So that will be interesting if I get round to taking it on to that degree🤔
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7.15 was crazy. Had 2nd/3rd fav. Neither placed, nor did 4th fav. Ffs
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