Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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Sept naps..12/09
(60) 225 Doncaster- Jawwaal 9-1 (bet365) 1/4 odds 5 places 21R
Good value price atm with 365s 1/4 odds 5 places terms. Course/distance recent winner- Big claims. 5/5*
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Great shout on minella Scabba 👍
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Sept naps…12/09
(61)
550 Leopordstown- Could be King 20-1 (unibet/sky/bfred/boyles) 1/5 odds 5 places 18r
Value 16+ handicap. Some solid value atm on this tidy handicap debut horse. 3/5*
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Sept naps 12/09 (62)
515 Leopordstown- Patrick Sarsfield 9-2 (PP/BFair) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
Another value shot in this extra place race (4) as the fav shortens and the value increases.Fancy this to really challenge the hot fav Tiger Moth- Could be a very low risk- for a free pop at the 4th. 5/5*
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Sept naps…12/09…Boxing..BT Sport..
Mark Heffron to beat Denzel Bentley 19/20 (888/Unibet) £25
If that comes in stick the return of £49 on…
Anthony Yarde to KO/stop Dec Spelman in rounds 1-5.. 4/6 (Hills/Sky)
£25 returns about £82…
Wont go too deep into the breakdowns this time…Feel that Heffron is more solid boxer…Both can bang but believe Bentley is wide open with terrible defence and will ship too many right hands..Prob stoppage for me around 5-8 rounds..But stick with the straight Heffron to win by any means…
If it comes in stick the returns on Yarde to finish the job early.rounds 1-5..Spelman fights with his face- gamely ploughing forward- and will run into much stronger/better boxer Yarde far too many times from the off- and Yarde can seriously bang..Referee may well have to save the game Spelman from himself early doors…
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Sept naps (64) 13/08
200 Curragh- Mr Lupton 9-1 (PP) 1/5 Odds 6 places 25R
Good bonus 6 places offer from PP. Big chance/fancy in this race. Expect it to shorten up. V Good value atm with the 6 places up 4 grabs. 4.5/5*
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Sept naps (65) 13/09
340 Curragh- Thunder Beauty 16-1 (bet365) 1/5 Odds 4 places 13R
Super value 4 places offer from 365. This horse looks top notch value at 16s with 4TP (12R+ required) Ran v well winning on debut 18r over 6f and shaper like the extra 1f (todays 7f) would suit. 4.5/5
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Sept naps (66) 13/09
340 Curragh- Terresa Mendoza 13/2 (bet365) 1/5 Odds 4 places 13R
Another nap making the most of v good 4 place offer. Nap has ran well very on 2 starts-2nd/8 and a 1st/10 over course and going (G/S) Looks like step up to 7f from 6 will be ok. Excellent e/way value atm. 4.5/5
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Sept naps 13/09
(67) 200 Curragh- Highland Dress 11-1 (Sky/PP) 1/5 Odds 6 places 24R
Big chance and good value with the 6 places. Early market move and booking of top jockey Ryan Moore suggests could go off big value at 11s. 4.5/5*
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Sept naps…13/09
(68) 310 Curragh- Sonaiyla 14-1 (sky/365/hills/pp/fred/betway)
Marginal value 4 places race with so many rank outsiders. Consistent horse over 6 and 7F- May well be suited to todays 5f dash. Could scalp the framke/4th spot at tidy value price.4/5*
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Sept naps…13/09
(69) 135 Bath- Tip Top 35-1/33-1 (Noibet/365) 1/5 odds 3 places 8r
Good e/w value/but some risk 8r race. 35-1 with. Coming from respected trainer W Muir- who dosnt send many off as big prices- and seeing some support for this newcomer may go off big value- 3/5*
– If less than 8 go- then at current market prices a 2 place lay with 1/4 odds should be there/thereabouts on the lay off stakes…
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Sept naps…13/09
310 Curragh- Make a Challenge 5-1 (Sky/Hills/Fred/Boyles) 1/5 odds 54 places 15R
Serious player in this quality group 1 contest. Boxes ticked on course/distance/going. Overall steady 4 places value price atm. 4.5/5*+0
Sept naps 14/09
(71) 345 Thirsk- Canville 15/2 to place top 2 (PP/BFair)
Some value on the place odds/markets atm with the massive short price fav around 1.04 making some place arb possibilites open up on the rest.
For records straight £25 win/lay off for profit shot….
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Sept naps..14/08
(72) 410 Wolves- King Of Spirits 33-1 (bet365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10R
Value e/w race. Has had just 1 run a poor 7/8- but may come on for that- A poor quality contest overall. Not much in the markets atm but am speculating this will go off shorter/good value at 33s. 3/5*
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Sept naps..14/09
(73) 255 Lingfield- Hi Ho Silver 15/2 (Hills/Victor) 1/5 odds 4 places 13R
Ok value EPR (4) Tip is fairly consistent at this level and on day could land the spoils/scalp the 4th place bonus at decent value with the 15/2 on offer now. 3.5/5*
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