Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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Sept naps..16/09…
(91) 440 Kelso- Wise Coco 22-1 (Victor/Boyles) 1/5 odds 4 places 13R
Medicore value extra place race. But although markets are light atm the 22s looks solid to me- if horse can translate hurdles form- off low weight 10-5- to today’s fences then could be right in the mix at value. 4*
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Sept naps…16/09
(92) 410 Kelso- Nikgarde 11-1 (Hill/888/Victor) 1/5 odds 3 places 9R- Also 12-1 with 365- But giving them a rest myself!
Nrs have opened this race up to value. The nap has steady claims on the form book/weights and has entered good value range now for me. 4/5*
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Sept naps..16/09
(92) Us Open Golf- Shane Lowry 100-1 (Betfred/365) 1/5 odds 8 places e/way
A player I dont really fancy to do well tbh- But with some support in- and perhaps a little more to come- according to my math breakdowns of est lay offs b4 off it is a value price with 8 places. 4/5*
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Sept naps…16/09
(94) 440 Kelso- An Fear Cluin 18-1 (SKY/Victor) 1/5 odds 4 places 13R
Another in this small value 4 place EPR- Had some staedy flat run warm ups recently so hopefully fit to reproduce solid previous Chase form. Decent price atm could shorten/be in the shake up for bonus 4th. 4*
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Sept naps 16/09
(95) 610 Kelso- Baranald 18-1 (Fred/Boy;les) 1/5 odds 4 places 12R
On the min of 12r for 4 places to count with Fred. But should be ok as Hurdle race and less than hour to go. Would expect fav 2,8 to shorten up more making this good value 4 place epr- price on nap is solid for me atm. 3.5/5*
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Sept naps..16/09
(96) US Open Golf- Matthew Fitzpatrick 55-1 (Hills) 1/5 odds 9 places
My 10th value e/way nap for the Open Golf (scan through posts!). Tip is another solid grinder type who may well battle his way round into in & around the top 10. Will lock in solid arb at this price b4 off. 4.5/5*
Returned to form in the recent BMW champs grinding his into a solid 6th place in quality field.
+0Thanks for some great tips Scabba especially Pivotal yesterday where I managed to get 20/1 with 364 but layed off at 9/1 on the Betfair EW market! Cheers!!
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Brillant LG! the massive 14 pt win arb was on also as it was touching odds on inplay! but a huge place arb/eway arb in the bank there on Pivotal.
For the record anyone on board any of my e/way Us open Golf naps- I have posted the lay offs just now on my Scabba Twitter page
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Sept naps…17/09
(97) Golf Us Open- Justin Rose 10-1 Top UK/Ireland finish (PP/BFair) 1/5 odds 4 places
£25 e/way- no lays. 6 in last 10 majors JR has been in top 4 UK/IRE spots- inc 2 1sts. I believe JR focuses mainly on the majors these days and testing course/conditions will suit. 4/5*
No laying on this nap- straight up value (I believe) punt based on stats/thoughts/percieved value etc
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Sept naps 17/09..
(98) 115 Pontefract- Mr Trevor 14-1 (bet365) 1/5 odds 3 places 11R
Hard to make a case for anything other than the 1.72 fav (who I expect to shorten even more) Has looked steady in 2 runs so far- should be an advantage over many debutants in race. Expect it go off good e/w value. 4/5*
(99) 200 Ayr- Eclipse De Lunar 18-1 (Unibet) 1/5 odds 3 places 9R
Ran a close 2nd/8 on debut- well clear of Carter Cowboy- whos 11/2 in this race. Stayed on well in that run (7f) so I think todays 1m will be no prob. Speculating that 16-1 will shorten up. e/w value 3.5/5*
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Sept naps..17/09
(100) 230 AYR- Flying Moon 16-1 (BFred/Hills/PP/) 1/5 odds 4 places 14r
Ok value EPR. Specualting that 16-1 will prove to be a value e/w price with 4 places on offer. Steady horse in/around the places and should be good contender for the 4th place bonus. 3.5/5*
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Sept naps 17/09
(101) 535 AYR- Queen Of Camelot 20-1 (888) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
Im mostly having to 2nd guess the markets with ‘speculation’ e/w naps in the value races/horses I nap today as its a low quality/liquidity day atm. Believe this is value at 20’s and value chance at 4th place scalp. 3/5*
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Sept naps…17/09
(102) 200 Ayr- Annadale 20-1 (Boyles/bway/fred/Unibet/Victor) 1/5 odds 3 places 9r
No time for review- value e/w price as support comes in on this M JOHNSTON newcomer. 5/5*
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Sept naps…18/09
(103) 525 AYR- Chinese Spirit 25-1 (PP/BFair/Victor/365/) 1/4 ODDS 3 PLACES 13R
1/4 odds HCAP (12+ must go) Specualtion e/w nap. (1m) + Soft going should suit. Also seems well in at the weights for me at 8-9. Have him down as about 16-1 so willing to nap 25s with 1/4 odds. 3.5*
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Sept naps…18/09
(104) 120 NEWBURY- Dark Motive 11-1 (Victor/Fred/Boyles/Betway) -1/5 Odds 3 Places 9R
Value e/way race. R Beckett debutant- Yard in great form and trainer has excellent 18% with 2y olds. Solid e/w value at 12s (11s ok) atm- would predict good chance of more/late support. 4/5*
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