Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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Hey Lew Gooch! anyone else tuning/coining it in- Hit me up on Twitter under simple name Scabba as some naps dont make it on here/or get posted there 1st. Yet another monster day ‘at the office’ with final nap No Nay never Never scalping 5-6 pts place arb with 2nd in the 545 Wolves..Bit sad that I forgot to post here in all the days mayhem/action a 3+ win arb I that posted on Twitter that won Everyhouronthehour 9-1 or 17/2 420 Gowran. Still flying on here and there as it is – Still got to breakdown the massive! profiting August which included all the Golf stuff…Going along at new levels on ROI in the last few months as I slow down on daily sharbing and devout much more time to full days researching/scanning/value napping…Only got just over 1 month (leave these shores then) to raise profile and assemble a Scabba army of arbies…
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Also last 50+ naps or sO- since 11/09- Ive been taking the time to record BFSPs on win and places..So will be breaking down in future the same as b4- ie the basic £25 e/way punt for value tallys of returns/profits- But will also now be including the extra tallys at same stakes with all final win/place lay off prices/amounts etc…
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NTR- I know Mikey normally takes the weekends off! so getting one in whilst im still in the zone..
100 Chelms- 9R Fav 1.49- 2 Mid range and rest rank outsiders- Very healthy on paper. 8.5/10
310 Hamilton 8R Fav 1.75- Would be a 5 or 6 /10 for me if there was NR risk. No rank atm
135 Listowel 9R- Hard to read. Bookies have 10/11 and 15/8. Exchange a bit different/off. Should be something as it stands. 3,5/10Dont see much in anything else or any EPRs( unless theres firms doing specials)..a few could come into decent range
Sorry not to be bringing bright sunny forecasts like the previous MTNR! Could be a quiet relaxed one..try and get a few early value scalps in and do some other stuff meself..
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Put yesterdays NTR in the wrong thread!
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Sept naps 20/09
(118) 135 Listowel- At War 28/1 (Victor) 28/1 (Fred/10 Bet) 1/5 odds 3 places 8r
Value E/w race but some risk of losing value as its on the min 8R atm. Hurdle race and just 11/2 hours till off- so fairly low chance of it dropping now. Simply a value price for me at 33s 3.5/5 or 28s 3*
(119) 100 Chelmsford- Decisive Edge 9/2 (PP/BFair) 1/5 odds 3 places 9r
Good e/way race but not much value or form on horses to play with. Ran ok on debut 7th/13. Prob the one most likely to challenge the short fav and go off a decent e/w arb for me. 3.5/5*
The old Iceland 2 4 1 there. Art Of War was 33s with Vic but cut as I posted here
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SEPT naps 20/09
(120) 135 Listowel- Social Distancing 66-1 (fred/365/)( 1/5 odds 3 places 8R
Hopefully all 8 run- may be ok on win lay (prob best early here) and 2 place lay if no big drift and less than 8 go. Newcomer so could monster or tank, 3.5/5*
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Sept naps 21/09
(121) Horse Racing
340 Listowel- Louis Van Zandt 14-1 (Betfred) 1/5 odds 5 places 17R5 places if 16+ go off- reduced to 4 if under 16R. Although markets weak atm I had this down as around 10/1 chance- so am willing to take price/terms with Betfred now. Should go off value. 4*
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Sept naps 21/09
(122) 500 Wolverhampton- Alaskan Lady 40-1 (SKY/Hills/365/BOYLES/VICTOR) 1/5 Odds 3 places 10R
Again low market Liquid atm So am pretty much again speculating that 40-1 will be a good e/w arb price nearer the off. In form Kubler yard and little bits of early support. 3*
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Sept naps 22/09
(123) 350 Fairyhouse- Kosman 8-1 (365/Victor/Sky) 1/4 odds 4 places 18R
One more that was on my radar that has entered e/way value price range enough for me now to nap. Need 16+R to go or will likely lose value edge here. Good change of scalping decent place arb. 3.5*
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Sept naps 23/09
(124) 520 Lingfield – Desert Camp 11/2 (Unibet) 1/5 odds 3 places 10R
Good value e/way race. S B Suroor Debutant, In light of overall low quality proven form in race of field- Would speculate that 11/2 will prove to be a good value price/arb by off time. 3.5/5*
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Sept naps 23/09
610 Newcastle- Kornflake 12-1 (Bet Victor) 11-1 (Hills/Betfred) 1/5 odds 3 places 11r
12-1 Victor is obviously preference price- But would take the 11s if cant get on with Vic. Low markets but will speculate nap price will off value. 3.5/5*
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Sept naps 24/09
(126) 405 Goodwood- Ashazuri 28/1 (Hills) 1/5 odds 5 places 18R
5 places hcap (as long as 16+ run) Not much liquidity in market atm but would expect this to be a value price come the off. Consistent and low in the weights. 3/5*
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Sept naps 24/09
(127) 405 Goodwood- Kingston 25-1 (BWAY/Fred/BOYLES) 1/5 Odds 3 places 18R
Good e/w price for me atm. 5 places- place arb/extra place scalp contender.
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Sept naps 24/09
(128) 420 Redcar- Cock a Hoop 16-1 ( Betfred) 1/5 odds 5 places 18r
Solid e/w price atm with 5 places paid as long as 16+ run. 3.5/5*
(129) 420 Redcar- Cock a hoop 16-1 (pp/victor/bway/10 bet) 1/4 odds 4 places 18r
Napping this horse again- this time with different firms going 1/4 odds and 4 places. 3.5/5*
2Same horse napped twice/different place/odds terms
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Sept naps 23/09- not 24/09! as ive posted last 2/3 naps
(130) 210 Listowel- Belfast Banter 15/2 (bet365) 1/5 odds 3 places 14r
Solid e/w value price for me atm- should be going off good place arb and likely to make the top 3. 4.5/5*
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