Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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October naps 03/10
(15) Horse racing e/way nap
400 Longchamp- Think Of Me 11-1 (365/Fred/Boyles/victor) 1/5 dds 3 places 9rAnother e/way value shot in this race. 4/5*
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October naps 04/10
(16) 305 Longchamp- Persian King 14-1 (Sky) also PP/Bfair- 1/5 odds 4 places 11r
Good value on current markets with 4 places paid (only 10r req with Sky). Also same price with PP/BFair- who require all 11 to run. 4/5*
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October naps 04/10
(17) 350 Longchamp Ambition 14-1 (PP/BFair) 1/5 odds 4 places 12r
Good e/way claims in this 4 places race. Going with PP/BFair as they only req 11 of the 12r to start for 4 place terms to count. Same price with a few other firms. 4/5*
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October naps 04/10
(19) 425 Longchamp- Wooded 10-1 (Hills/sky) 1/5 odds 4places 11r
10 runners required for 4 places offer to stand. Solid value on those terms atm on a horse I would fancy to be well in the shake up/4th place scalp. 4/5*
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October naps 04/10
(20) Horse racing e/way nap
305 Longchamp- Persian King 12-1 (PP/BFair) 1/5 odds 4 places 11rNapped already with Sky at 14s. Napping again now with PP/BF as price goes on the dip. 11r required but should be ok with just an hour to go for no more NRs. 5/5*
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October naps 04/10
(21) 425 Longchamp- Liberty Beach 10-1 (Hills) 1/5 odds 4 places 11r
Another in this race. Hills paying top 4 10r+ so pretty safe terms will stand. Fancy this horse to run a big race and with Dettori on board every chance price will shorten up a bit more. 5/5*
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October naps 04/10
(22) 225 Killarney – Nawathef 10-1 (365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
Solid chance of hitting top 3 at value e/way price with the 10-1. 4/5*
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October 04/10
(23) 425 Longchamp- Lady In France 20-1 (hills/sky) 1/5 odds 4 places 11r
Last/late crack at this race. High value for me with 4 places up for grabs, 5/5*
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October 05/10
(24) 205 Killarney- At War 10-1 (365/sky/pp/victor/fred) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
Ok e/way value race. Speculating on price being value as markets very light atm. Ran a good 3rd/8 last time out- On my overall take on this weak novice race- a solid e/w price IMO.3*
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October 05/10
(25) 230 Pontefract- Liberation Point 10-1 (365) 1/5 odds 3 places
Good value e/way race. Again speculating on price being value with minimal early markets. With low quality of field (outside 1.4 fav) could be best of rest. 4/5*
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October 05/10
(26) 230 Pontefract- Thunder Gap 50-1 (365/victor/hills/888/fred/boyles/bway) 1/5 odds 3 places 12r
Another in this e/way value race. Form not v good but weak race and currently price is in e/way arb value range. 3.5/5*
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Great shout on ‘At War’ Scabba, well beaten into 2nd but I took him at 11’s & think he went off at about 4 for a cracking win&place arb, cheers 👍
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Yeah that was a big one Wiser! Had nice win arb hopes there- even with nr deduction- Thunder gap wasnt far away from landing big 6.3 pt place arb in 4th either.
Only 4 weeks to go now b4 I go away from these shores- hoping to get at least 15 people on board the scabba full time train before then- otherwise I may have to jack it in- because where ill be living- Ill have to get up and cracking on the racing/scalping at about 5.30am! So wont be doing that unless it all adds up to be worth the effort/time/pay the bills etc…will see how it goes in this next 4 weeks on here and twitter. Been in even better form than usual last 2 months and can now see that by going full time I can get up to and around 200+ e/way naps a month..So profits will be big for followers even if only getting on at around half stakes on average + half the naps. Just getting on board 100 out of the monthly 200 at £12.50 e/way average would hit around +£650 a month based on my current +25.5% ROI. Full stakes average/all naps around +£2500 per month!I know the £25 e/way average is most times nigh on impossible with big prices (20-1+) and just 1 firm quoted- but I estimate those average stakes factoring the many under 10-1 shots that perhaps have 2 or more firms quoted (sometimes in a good quality meet) where well in excess of £50 e/way should be do able.
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In the past (going back to October last year) I havnt recorded the BFSPs win/place to see how much profit is made from naps by laying off win+place just the before the off. I have now since Sept 11 recorded all naps with the BFSPs. Since the begining ‘AS’ -(After Scabba) as opposed to ‘BS’ (Before Scabba) without recording these BFSPS and simply seeing how much the naps made ‘Punting for e/w value’ the well over 1000+ recorded naps are returning over +25% ROI. Records so far on 150+ naps since 11/09 with the BFSPs are showing very simalar returns at around +25.5% ROI. Will update last couple of months returns/sports naps + put in the BFSPs on naps since 11/09- and from now on- in next few days.
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October naps 07/10
(27) 355 Ludlow- Zarrar 8-1 (365/10bet/victor/vbet/hills) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
Solid e/w value race. Decent flat horse who won on hurdles debut 2 weeks ago. Should be in the shake up here at good e/way value with 8-1. 4/5*
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