Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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October naps 13/10
(70)
Horse Racing e/way nap
1215 Hereford- Thias Toir 13/2 (Victor/365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
Steady value on this one atm- Weak contest may well nick a solid place arb.
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October naps 13/10
(71) 155 Cork- Kauri Cliffs 11-1 (Fred/10B/Genting/Victor/PP) 1/5 Odds 3 Places 11r
Speculating on the e/way value price of this based on form book evualtion/ e/w value of race. 3.5/5*
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October naps 14/10
(72) 355 Bath- Single 20/1 (Hills) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
Good value 4 places hcap race. Nap is consistent and I believe will go off good value at 20s and be in n around the frame/4th place bonus spot. 3.5/5*
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October naps 14/10
(73) 400 Punchestown- Crimson Chief 14-1 (365) 1/4 odds 4 places 18r
Should be decent value come the off. 4/5*
+0Scab just posting this here because I am secretive and I suspect there is less traffic in this thread than other threads (who knows how busy these forums are nowadays anyway)
But there is definitely value in the bet365 enhanced race last 10-12 mins. Just wait until they upgrade their standards terms to whatever is in the “enhanced” tab. Normally this is about 12 mins before the off but I’ll start writing down the exact times over the next few days so I know exactly when. Then there seems to be considerable value in the each way side. You have to act quickly so best to scroll to the bottom and check the horses with higher odds first.
The 19:00 Kempton that just passed as an example: 14 runner handicap with a SP of 4/1. So nothing special or bad EW about this race. But once 1/4 top 4 is on there is big place arbs wherever the win side is on. Other races will be even more extreme e.g. the 20:00 Kempton tonight is only 12 runners so 1/4 top 4 there is really excellent.
I’m allowed a liability of £30 on the win so stakes are of course small. This is the biggest drawback. But whenever b365 change their prices they allow another bet. So if you pick a steamer you can get a fair bit on. E.g. Mon Choix in the 19:00 I got a bet on at 25/1, 22/1 and 16/1. All adds up. They have a few each day so thats decent. Irish racing seems not worth it as they allow an even smaller liability of around £15 on the win so im not sure if thats worth the effort
All in about 12 mins work for us chisellers. Think it best suits the not laying the place approach to save time and get more bets on. Just for your info scab
+1Fantastic value in the 1/4 e/w, crazy in fact on the 12 runner races as you say. Screws the bfex place lay prices though for matching bets with any bookies paying the normal 1/5…
I got gubbed pretty fast doing it. Took some arbs I couldn’t resist too, probably didn’t help lol. Didn’t know you could get more on when the price changed though. Cheers for that gonna give it a go. The 365 account breathes again!
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Thanks for all that mate- Alls pounds like some excellent nice solid regular chisling that will add up for sure. Im sad I completly neglected some old bet365 accounts and let them drift away once they got down to very small rescrictions (did same with soem of the other big firms) Will hopefully get a few new ones soonish and will be getting in on the crafty chisels once the old gubs come!
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October naps 15/10
(74) 1220 Carlise- Leostar 12-1 (365) 1/4 odds 4 places 17r
Came back well from break a few weeks ago – in contention before falling at last. Off a low mark 10-8 so may well be high value if on best form, 3.5/5*
(75) 1220 Carlise- Amberose 9-1 (Hills) 1/5 odds 5 places 17r Also 9-1 (Victor) 1/4 odds 4 places
Good consistent horse off decent weight IMO,. Should be good value. 3.5/5*
Only Victor now quoted with 9s- so going with them and their terms on (75)
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October naps 15/10
(76) 135 Curragh- Could Be King 11-1 (Boyles/Sky/Victor) 1/5 odds 3 places 12r
Quality horse- would expect to in the shake up at value with 11s. 3.5/5*
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October naps 15/10
(78) 205 Curragh- Musical Rue 20-1 (365/Victor) 1/4 odds 4 places 21r
Stand out odds on this one. A lot of box ticks here yard/jockey booking/form/weight/going- nothing in lay market atm but think this is excellent e/w price with good chances. 4.5/5*
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October naps 15/10
(79) 530 Chelmsford- Discomatic 10-1 (365) 9-1 (Victor) 17/2 (SKY) 1/5 odds 3 places 10 r
Mainly tipping on current market e/w value. Take any/all of the prices quoted that you can. Will put in as a 9-1 (average) 4/5*
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October naps 15/10
(80) 600 Chelmsford- Mr Ryder 40-1 (PP/BFair) 1/5 odds 3 places 9r
Speculation and risky nap. Just feel this stand out price is to high in this decent e/way value race. 3/5*+0
October naps 15/10
(77) 135 Curragh- Romantic Proposal 17/2 (sky/hills/victor/pp/gent) 1/5 odds 3 places 12r
Not a big e/way value as fav drifts a bit. But fancy this horse strongly- a lot of rain about atm (Im quite near by!) And the softer/heavier it gets the better. 4*
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October 15/10
(81) 200 Lingfield- Apres Dark 11-1 (sky/888/hills/365/fred/10) 1/5 odds 3 places 11r
Believe this horse will offer some solid e/w value at 11s come the off. Will be bang in the mix IMO if able to step up from 6f to todays 1m. 3.5/5*
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October naps
17/10(80) 253 Uttoxetter- North Star Oscar 14-1 (365/Hills/Victor) 1/4 odds 4 places 17r
Fancy this to be a contender and go off good value at 14.s. 4/5*
(81) 253 Uttoxeter- Eclair des sablons 20-1 (888/hills/victor) 1/4 odds 4 places 17r
Solid e/way value price atm. 3.5/5*
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