Skybet 1310 Southwell 2nd/3rd place refund

9 runners, 1 clear fav at 2.5 ish but fairly open otherwise.

Hills also have it for their 2nd place mobile offer.

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beh
16

February 9, 2016 at 5:25 pm

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Chris 24 February 9, 2016 at 8:31 pm

Gone for Sir Geoffrey with Sky.

Will look at William Hill tomorrow.

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aazizi 0 February 9, 2016 at 8:39 pm

What lay odds did you get Chris?

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Chris 24 February 9, 2016 at 8:47 pm

11.5

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aazizi 0 February 9, 2016 at 8:53 pm

The odds are so wide at the moment struggling to find a suitable match :(

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Chris 24 February 9, 2016 at 8:59 pm

Wait until tomorrow mate, i got lucky but you should ideally wait until about 12.30-1pm.

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FoG_BLoG 61 February 9, 2016 at 9:06 pm

How do you know what the will hill races are going to be. I don’t see it on the mobile. I used to always see it in the evening but now sometimes it doesn’t show up until late or even the next day. I’m on iPhone app.

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Ice Magic 5 February 9, 2016 at 9:10 pm

Well I’ve gone for Fujin at 7.5. He’s only 6.0 on Will Hill and tipped to win on Betfair exchange so I’m hoping for a qualifying profit

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johnsmith 0 February 9, 2016 at 9:43 pm

1st time doing the horse offer, all a learning curve, but hopefully someone can critique the strategy.

Razin hell backed and layed at Hills and Skybet, annoyingly when doing this lay odds were up at 3.15, now back at 2.84. Qualifying losses of around £8.

Also had a £10 freebet from SkyBet for no apparent reason so have mugged it on Razin hell aswell with no lay.

Possible outcomes
Razin Hell wins – overall profit after qualifying loss £8
2nd – win £50 in free bets
3rd – Win £25 in free bets
4th or worse loss of £8 in qualifying

Any comments on this, wanted to not go for favourite but spread between back and lay seems really big. People say they wait till 5 minutes before, but is this not gambling? what if lay spread goes in the opposite direction?

Cheers for any comments, good luck to all tomorrow.
John

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Pavlon 3 February 9, 2016 at 10:04 pm

John – good luck with it. When people are saying wait until 5 mins before the off it’s that you should wait for both the back and the lay, as that’s when the lay odds get close to matching the back odds. However, betting the night before isn’t so bad, as many of the bookies have best odds guaranteed, and will pay the higher price if the SP is higher than what you backed the horse at. I’ve not gone down that avenue yet, as I’m fairly new to horses. So unless I see a really good back and lay far in advance, I leave my bets until the final 10 minutes prior to the off.

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aazizi 0 February 9, 2016 at 10:07 pm

Thanks Chris got Sir Geoffrey too at 11.5 fingers cross he just falls short and delivers for us.

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Smarty72 0 February 9, 2016 at 10:09 pm

With these offers a lot depends on how much you have in exchange account! I have to do the favourite because I simply do not have enough funds to lay a £25 bet at odds greater than 5.00 decimal but usually underlay as I hate the thought of the my selection winning the race and actually losing money.

Good luck

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Ice Magic 5 February 9, 2016 at 10:10 pm

I’d say at least 70-80% of the horses I back and lay are available for a nicer lay closer to the race. I know I’m taking a risk of the odds drifting, but
I think it’s worth the risk, and I’m sure the best odds are available the earlier you back

I just find it so frustrating to see I could have made a profit regardless of the outcome

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FoG_BLoG 61 February 9, 2016 at 10:14 pm

I think £4 is expensive for a qualifying loss but as pavlon said if his bookie odds lengthen maybe that will be reduced in the case of a win.

You need to be sure of picking 2nd one in five races to justify a £4 qualifying loss and that’s just to break even. It’s hard to pick 2nd, favourites win, rags don’t get near 2nd, the 2nd favourite can bomb or win. So …. It’s hard to pick 2nd place.

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STC 4 February 9, 2016 at 11:16 pm

Fog_Blog, the WH races tomorrow :

Wednesday 10th February Money Back 2nd Races:
1:10 Southwell
7:25 Kempton

– 5 or more runners must race for the offer to qualify.
– £25 Maximum Free Bet.
– First selection per race only.
– Full terms apply

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STC 4 February 9, 2016 at 11:19 pm

Really unsure whether to go for the favourite on either SB/WH. Think the qualifying loss will be too much so got two probably go for two outsiders. Who knows there horses?

Paddypower 2nd place to sp at Kempton tomorrow FYI, can’t see any suitable races though.

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