The 11th Man
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With Sky bet offering 11 places at the USPGA Championship this weekend there the ‘slim’ opportunity to scalp and extra place with laying off at Betfair Each Way – 10 Places
Post any selections which are free shots at the 11th spot!
Each player has a 0.64% chance of finishing 11th, though realistically it will likely come from players prices 100/1 or less
+0August 5, 2020 at 4:37 pm
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The end of the day conditions got windy, Lewis missed out going for it.
If the conditions stay the same with calm in the morning and windy in the afternoon, I can see the early guys getting and advantage.
Someone like Rory and Rahm at -1 could do a Li still run.
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Could get even more tight at the top come end of round 3…With everyone going out in the batting order now last to first…The big advantage of the better early conditions could bring some mid range players up the order and some of the top ones could find it tough maintaining spots/improving towards the end…
Going for a crafty/specualitve nap on
Rory Mcilroy at 55.0 on the exchange to win. With the view that he looks on the verge of a big round and with him getting out earlier in better conditions If he can post around -2 to -4 or better…He should come down significently in the betting for day 4…Leaving a nice lay arb+0
Wind picks up local time 12pm
Tee times start at 8:00am so those guys do get advantage, I like the early starts for Thomas and Cantlay
I’ll go for a speculative back to lay.
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Great value thinking there Tony…Have tipped up Rory at 55.0 on the exchange…with the view to laying him off tomorrow if he makes best of better conditions and the leaders do indeed struggle to post sub par rounds towards the end…
Im a but gutted my win contenders Fleetwood and Day will have to suffer this conditions handicap with last out the gates today…We really could be in for a mass of players there or there abouts come day 4…On a plus maybe Harris/Osthausen/woodland can nudge closer to each way spots…But really I just want the win! At least Kopeka/HT Li will have to bat last!
HT Li maybe a nut to crack, as pressure must be on him- He was practising like a nutter for hours after finishing his great round 2…Maybe the Chinese goverment is up his arris..will the intense practise pay off or tire/drain him out?
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Well Day 3- aka Moving Day is under way…Would be happy for sure with some upwards moving on from my squad…but a nice stableising day will do me on my 7 runners…
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Maybe it could be Moving day for Harris English (i keep rambling on about him- just a gut feeling that i want to see pay off/come close) Had the worst of conditions yesterday- but kept himself in each way range- Early start/good conditions today and a -3/ or better move today could have him firmly in the running. Or he could drift right out of it- My moneys on at least a -2 and winning his 2 ball
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A small market move/dip on Rory from 55.0 to 50.0- Maybe a few of the Scabba Army have got on the train and some VIPs (Value Inclined Punters)?!
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Dont sleep on t-shirt owner (been there done that etc) Loius Osthasen- Only player from tipped up on here out there atm- early birdie in the bank- into evens
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Thomas laying at 90 now, hope you got on!
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90! hes into about 65 now mate- out the gate nicely with -2…Good call Tony m8
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magician start Tony hes mostered into -3 for the round laying 30s….Scentist Nap!
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ive backed and am tipping Danny Lee to beat Shane Lowry in the 2 balls (2/1 Boyles) Lowry looks a mess and unfocused- snapped a club in half yesterday- The Andy Ruiz of Golf- Last of the golf fatties- Wish him well though but have that 2/1 on LEE as a small value bet
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Osthausen satarting to play his hand, into -2 for the day. -1 overalll
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Thomas doing the business into 22!!
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There have been some weird coincidences in the golf this week like JOHNSON AND jOHNSON at the top- Zach Johnson leading- Zach J Johnson last- Schuaffle and Scheffler tied in 2nd-
Now hear this- At the start of play 3 south aftricans went out close to same time..all 3 at +1…Now after 7/8 holes all 3 of em have gone -2 for their round.. and are now all at -1….Funny old game Saint+0
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