today's 188 bet offers

Where do you get 50/50 chance of refund. West Ham are 1.18 to keep a clean sheet – no.

9/1 instead of 4/1. On a £5 gamble you wil win 45 once in five and lose 5 four times. So 25 profit in five games or £5 average per punt.

Probably more value than even the money back 2nd races.

Well if payet score (4.0) and West Ham don’t keep a clean sheet (1.18) then you have your refund.

Not sure how independent those events are but don’t think the true odds are close to 8.0 and more like 5.0.

I’m not convinced it represents good value either way, Leicester have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 5 games, 6 in their last 7. If you can get in with minimal loses maybe but I still believe these offers are getting intentionally gradually worse in value.

Surely if it’s good value at £1 it is still good value at £5, if we really should be doing it then it would make sense to fully commit. Holding back suggests you are unconvinced of the wisdom in doing it which suggests you shouldn’t.

My real point was the decreasing value of the offers overall. The 3 today, Old firm red, Payet and Ozil seem poor in comparison to previous ones and with the offer getting gradually worse it makes it hard to know when to give up.