Tonybet federer

  • Bet £15, £5 back if he loses
    Downside is it starts in ten mins!
    He is 1.6/1.6 though so although scraps it’s something

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    MonkeyTennis 3

    If he loses in 5 sets.

    Tonybet void match result bets at any stage due to retirement, whereas smarkets and betfair only void if the first set hasn’t been completed.

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    matchedem
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    This offer is on at 10bet + Betmclean on ANY match and its bet £20 get £20 refund if loses in 5

    So Tonybet one is pretty one

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    betman 41

    The point was he’s 1.6/1.6

    The 10bet odds were shite when I looked the other night.
    The favourite is more likely to lose in 5 sets… or withdrawing where the rules would benefit even more here. But the different tennis withdrawal rules are only a coin flip of gain/lose unless you have a withdrawal prone player (like Nadal maybe)

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    matchedem
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    Nadal NEVER retires during matches…there is a difference between injury prone players and wimps

    I’ve been averaging less than £1 losses on the 10bet offer (usually between 50p for favs and £1.50). So given a £20 FB that would be £16 back, the odds of losing in 5 are FACTUALLY not 16/1

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    betman 41

    Nadal has withdrawn from matches…fact. He also withdraws after them, before them etc…. just a general crock (or Croc for you)

    And depends on the match. If the underdog is 20-1 then there’s no point backing a favourite saying the odds of him losing in 5 are under 16-1! But if you’re getting low ql’s in games where it’s a reasonable chance of happening then it’s obv worthwhile.

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    matchedem
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    Yeh Djokovic wouldnt ever lose in 5 would he LOLLIPOP

    20p QL, £16 extraction = 80/1 odds FACT!

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    betman 41

    So you’ve now gone to an arb on the price to get your fictional ql down!

    You can check the set betting odds to compare, and if you are backing heavy favourites to get a low ql then the odds of them losing in 5th will be high. Eg Murray 40-1 for Sunday.

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    matchedem
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    errr 1.03 v 1.04 equals 0.21 QL. Oh sorry I knocked a penny off…here (throws penny on floor)

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    betman 41

    I assumed you were doing bets with some point where the odds couldn’t absorb commission
    Yes with that example you are creating odds of 80-1, but on a 40-1 bookie shot (as same odds as Murray) so it’s really not worth the time and effort for those odds…. I thought the one I posted was scraping the barrel!

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    matchedem
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    I scraped the barral and got £20 matey

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    betman 41

    £15.79?
    I forgot you hit every possibility going, but long term 40 bets for every £8 on a freebet doesn’t seem the best investment of time to me compared to other opportunities

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    matchedem
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    took me 15 secs. thats £60 a minute or £3.6k a hour

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    MonkeyTennis 3

    Nadal may never retire but if you’ve backed him and his opponent retires, then your back is void and your lay is a loser.

    Each to their own but I just happily dutch between 10bet and betmclean, edging my QL towards the favourite. If it goes to 5 sets, then I’m getting a free bet either way.

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