Wednesday (Day 2) – Chat/Tips/General Thread

New day, new thread and hopefully a change of fortunes!

Perseverance is the key, along with sticking to the game plan. At times on Tuesday I felt like abandoning the strategies and techniques that have served us all so well, but that would be daft. At times I definitely felt like I was reaching a bit too much – e.g. wasting time looking for odds that never appeared on Hills for the High 5 offer. Need to be more realistic, this is the best jumps meeting in the world. In the main it’s going to be competitive with few races won by the golden margin.

I plan to spend more time on e/w arbs tomorrow if time allows, totally neglected them today.

Looking forward to seeing Neon Wolf in the 13:30. That could be an indicator of how my day will go, just like Melon was on Tuesday (unfortunately!)

Good luck all!

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Tony
12

March 14, 2017 at 8:13 pm

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Ice Magic 3 March 15, 2017 at 7:34 am

Erm guys I don’t get it. Where is the value on the 3.30? You may have to give me an example as from what I can see the exchange odds are so far off for the win and the place odds are close but no arbs.
What am I missing?

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betman 41 March 15, 2017 at 8:13 am

Matchedem there’s several open before the day. Sky, paddy, grosvenor and that Betbright one.

Jay – laying £300 at short odds is no more capital consuming than £50 or £100 at much bigger odds. I did both yday.
There’s also not that many bookies doing 1/4 today on that race so watch where ur betting

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matchedem
Blocked
10 March 15, 2017 at 8:15 am

on the 330 there is even value at 1/5 odds FACT

FACTSONLY hope you aren’t trying to be me…im an one and only

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matchedem
Blocked
10 March 15, 2017 at 8:18 am

ICE how are the place odds close? Top Gamble for example 50/1 in places, 40/1 everywhere so thats place odds of 13.5 or 11.0. The place odds on smarkets are 5.7!

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Ice Magic 3 March 15, 2017 at 8:18 am

But the win part is 22 on the exchange!
Are you suggesting that due to the high chance of a Douvan win we just don’t lay the win part of the bet?
In fact, that means if gods own did manage to win we’d win the bet and cash in big time. No place = arb. And place = arb

I think Ive got it?

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Ice Magic 3 March 15, 2017 at 8:19 am

No that can’t be right. Sorry guys. Need to go back to school

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Ice Magic 3 March 15, 2017 at 8:22 am

But top gamble is 75 for the win part on the exchange!

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MbPunter 17 March 15, 2017 at 8:23 am

Example Traffic Fluid 81/120 (don’t worry about the win loss).

Place is 17.0/7.0 or 21.0/7.0 if you can get on with 1/4 odds firm.

At 1/4 odds that’s guaranteed £30ish for just £20ew.

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aNtis0ciaL 9 March 15, 2017 at 8:24 am

Ice, Plug the figures into Matts ew calculator https://matchedbettingblog.com/each-way-calculator/

Even with the bad win matching you come out with a profit – not sure where the £100 profits are coming from mentioned earlier but it is profit

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Ice Magic 3 March 15, 2017 at 8:27 am

Ok I just did that. I see now. However I can’t fund these lays as I don’t have the capital anymore. Oh well. Looks like easy money

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Buzzer123 2 March 15, 2017 at 8:30 am

Who’s everyone getting 1/4 with for the 3.30? Seeing 1/5 on most.

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aNtis0ciaL 9 March 15, 2017 at 8:32 am

Bacardys boosted to 5.5 on WH

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betman 41 March 15, 2017 at 8:35 am

Can only see 4.5?

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jameslegg97 8 March 15, 2017 at 8:37 am

Are Hills boosting? I see 5.5/4.9 for Barcardys @ 1.30

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Buzzer123 2 March 15, 2017 at 8:38 am

Yep Hills boost.

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