Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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But late to this one but taken the 40/1 just now.
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I guess that the 40/1 that you took was Midnight Guest. Well done 🙂
+0Nope unfortunately not! Was Baileys when it was 41/46ish.
+0Looks like a good few to look at today, could be quite hectic with some close together.
Lingfield 12.25.
Punchestown 12.05, 12.35, 2.20.
Wetherby 12.30.
Possibly Uttoxter 12.50 too.
Plus Cheltenham extra places.
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Does anyone look at the betfair projected starting price to see how far the lay price may drop? I wonder how accurate it is.
I am looking at Barra for punchestown 220. On the to place he is 1.36/1.43 back/lay. The projected is 1.36. And on win market 5.9/6.0 back/lay but projected 5.61.
Obviously if I think I can lay him at 5.61 and 1.36 that’s good value at 5.0 and 1.8 at bookie.
+0I’ve not but these Punchestown seem tricky, the liquidity so thin feels like just guessing abit. Taken Forge Meadow at 17.0 and Kings Baby 26.0 in that race. I see theres some 5.5 about for Barra but i can’t get on that.
+0Not likely to be that accurate or 5.9 wouldn’t be available as people would gobble it up to lay at 5.6
Now the cat seems to be out of the bag on the old Stan account I had I’m just going to concentrate on arbing that – knowing I’m into borrowed time before it gets closed properly.
+0Elusive Ivy 101.0 can be layed small at 95 on the win.
+0Kylemore in the 2.25 at 188bet is 7/6.8, tiny arb for extra place on win and place, be quick
+0Barra now 5/1 at sky if anyone can get on. I’ve taken some 9/2 pp.
+0Down to 8 runners. I’m going to be left with some poor value if another goes.
+03pm Cheltenham. Pp/bfair/sky offering 1/5 for 5 places, only 13 runners. Does anyone know the minimum runners needed for Paddys to honour 5 places?
365 also still 1/4 for 4 places and have a 5 places tab. Although prices seem to reduce more than usual.
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The 4 places on Bet365 on Cheltenham 300 are also with a price promise. There seems plenty of value here, and decent enough stakes allowed. Best value I have found today anyway. Also keeping an eye on the Kempton 1255.
+0Paddys paying 4 places if less than 16 runners apparently. So not sure why still showing as 5 now we are down to 13. Yeah some excellent value at 365 as usual.
+0If anyone can get anything on at Stans.
Enniskillen 17.0
Mtada Supreme 17.0Both look decent in 12.00 Punchestown.
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