Bad EW Races NO CHAT

Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?

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ncfcmikey
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April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm

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junji551 0 December 13, 2017 at 11:02 am

Not getting them on mobile app….since yesterday. Annoyed.

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Chris 24 December 13, 2017 at 11:13 am

Delete the app then re-install it. It will be there.

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junji551 0 December 13, 2017 at 11:23 am

You are amazing Chris. Cheers! WH app must be the worst one out there…

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Lewdy 0 December 13, 2017 at 12:30 pm

Well they say 2-0 is the most dangerous score for a reason.

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Chris 24 December 13, 2017 at 12:36 pm

Dont hit 2 Clear for the whole summer then two come along in quick succession. At least I think so. Goring has been declared winner by 2l at Racing Post and Dutiful Son looked about 2l just now.

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Chris 24 December 13, 2017 at 12:39 pm

Ah just short that last one, 1 3/4 lengths :|

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bbobb 24 December 13, 2017 at 1:35 pm

Another 2 Clear there…. didnt get on in time. :-(

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Lewdy 0 December 13, 2017 at 1:58 pm

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/5addedminutes.com/2012/04/03/the-not-so-dangerous-2-0-lead/amp/

Some interesting stats on 2-0 leads. The main just is that comebacks are very unlikely however some interesting stats concerning when they are more likely. Example in the premier league Man U “only” lose 75% of matches when they go 2-0 down.

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Chris 24 December 13, 2017 at 2:31 pm

Havent been able to get on anything the last few races, terrible odds at Hills.

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Chris 24 December 13, 2017 at 2:38 pm

Interesting read Lewdy but not going to go looking in to stats for what I am doing. I’m purely going for games where the pre-game favourites are 2-0 down or where a team is 2-0 down but very much in the game and the market isnt really taking it in to consideration. Example, Reading 2-0 up at half time, laying at 1.12 but Cardiff were very much still in it with same amount of shots on goal, more dangerous attacks and possession. Kilmarnock similar last night and above Ross County in the league. One I didnt do was Yeovil who were laying at 1.03. Port Vale were down to 9 men but still had more possession and were constantly on the attack, they managed to equalise.

I’m looking at circumstances occuring in-play, no amount of stat analysis will legislate for that.

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MbPunter 24 December 13, 2017 at 2:55 pm

Potentially some value in the first at Kempton. Taken Dubai Acclaim 17.0 and Nikita 34.0.

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MbPunter 24 December 13, 2017 at 3:50 pm

No joy there.

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Johnbo 17 December 13, 2017 at 5:48 pm

Dubai Acclaim looked good for 3rd but seemed to give up in the closing stages…managed a great match on that one as well!

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Chris 24 December 13, 2017 at 8:47 pm

I’ve layed Aberdeen and thinking about Man Utd too.

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RyanB 16 December 13, 2017 at 8:51 pm

Man Utd are getting battered to be fair…1.19 lay odds.

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