Bad EW Races NO CHAT

  • Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?

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    scabbadab 259

    read me stats wrong! he actually averages around that mark this year. just over 3 yards per game last 3

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    Chris 24

    One non runner in the mid-market range in that 3.35 Southwell race. One more would be great.

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    Chris 24

    Taken a few anyway as the place arbs look good and the favourite is drifting. I’m on Bridge of Cally (15.0), Euxton Lane (19.0) and Golden Whisky (29.0). Fred and Tote only let me have £11 ew on Whisky though.

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    MbPunter 24

    Looks a good race. Think i’ve missed the boat odds wise sleeping in. Don’t look great at mo.

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    MbPunter 24

    Managed to get a little 14/1 on Bridge of Cally. Gone for Lady Master at 150/1 too, fancy a decent place arb there.

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    sleepless 12

    Dont quite get your logic here guys, (not saying you are wrong)

    OK the place arbs are great but the wins need to come in significantly to make a profit.Why not wait for a closer win match?.
    I assume you are your expecting the wins to be a closer match or the back odds to drop so you are getting on early?.

    After saying that couldnt resist £20ew Whisky at 41 with Lads boost.

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    sleepless 12

    Good call on Lady £10ew – lay win, punt place or punt win for jack if place lay <15.

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    Chris 24

    I havent layed my wins yet, but if you sit around waiting for a match at the time of placing your bet then you’re going to be waiting a long time and probably miss the best odds early on.

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    MbPunter 24

    Bridge of Cally showing a slight profit even at current odds so i’m happy to chance it. The odds on the others don’t excite me, missed the boat there.

    Lady Master i’m probably just punting anyway but 151/170 is a close enough match in any case.

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    sleepless 12

    No point in laying wins yet. I would risk missing a better price for a better win match. Generally, I wont place a bet till the ew tab odds are < win odds. Each to their own.

    IIRC Chris, some time ago (was having an arguement with Matchdem, bless him – yeah really) and I suggested a big outsider ew with awful win match, but good place arb so that you could still make a small profit. You took Match’s side saying it was a poor bet as the win odds were so far out. Reason I remember it was because the horse won, haha.

    MbPunter – those dam ew arbers have just ravaged Lady

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    MbPunter 24

    7:15 Wolves. Suprematism 16s generally or 18s if you can get on at boyles. Might be a decent bet to break up the front 3.

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    MbPunter 24

    Yeah on big outsiders big gaps on win side aren’t an issue for the most part.

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    sleepless 12

    especially Irish hanicaps Mb – just love ’em

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    Chris 24

    Depends on the race sleepless and the way odds are going. As I mentioned when I posted the horses up earlier, the favourite was drifting and everything else was coming in, Cally is best price 13.0 now and Euxton coming in too.

    If I did say it was a poor bet then yeah it was because I didnt see the odds coming in and/or that small profits dont interest me, which they dont when it comes to ew arbing.

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    bbobb 24

    Euxton Lane is probably the one to be on form wise.

    Whether you can get a close match is another question.

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