Bad EW Races NO CHAT

Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?

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Chris 24 February 15, 2018 at 10:01 am

Not feeling that 3.45 race at all, too many mid-market priced runners. If you’ve found a place arb, I would take it now, can only see them drifting later on.

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bbobb 24 February 15, 2018 at 10:10 am

Yeah, as it’s a handicap there shouldn’t be any real no-hopers.

I have a decent win arb on Navajo (15.0/12.3 ) so can’t complain… I might let most of the place run.

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Chris 24 February 15, 2018 at 10:32 am

Jailsamer in the 2.35 race may be worth taking now, 3.0 at a few places but been drifting at the exchanges all morning so a good possible one for BOG.

Go in each way too as MB says, should be a decent place arb.

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betman 41 February 15, 2018 at 11:22 am

I was trying to make a list of where I did/didn’t get bog but not got v far

I did note that sky said no BOG in their email, but then it still appears under the place terms as available to all. The best way it probably to scattergun a load of few pence bets on sites and see who pays it.

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Chris 24 February 15, 2018 at 11:27 am

Wouldnt bank on it betman.

BOG always shows for me at Betfair including on my betslip but I had a win at the weekend where it wasn’t applied.

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MbPunter 24 February 15, 2018 at 11:30 am

Another advantage of targeting 2 short prices in same race, ok not as good as BOG but if either was a non runner, you would be left with a favourable arb on the other after the reduction factors.

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Chris 24 February 15, 2018 at 11:59 am

Fav in the 2.05 Fontwell is drifting. Back and layed the early price too so fingers crossed there.

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dingodollar 8 February 15, 2018 at 1:12 pm

Just to add a bit to the BOG BetStars pay BOG on free bets and paid me out at 16’s instead of 8’s for an extra £80 which I have never heard of.Also those two/three runner races you see are great for BOG as the price change/chance of winning are high

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Chris 24 February 15, 2018 at 1:27 pm

Most bookies pay BOG on free bets mate.

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betman 41 February 15, 2018 at 1:45 pm

sky paid me BOG on my experiment

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bbobb 24 February 15, 2018 at 1:58 pm

Anyone on Kapdad?

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xeno 0 February 15, 2018 at 2:00 pm

out of interest @chris what sort of QL are you willing to take on horses trying to hit BOG , and any others for that matter.

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bbobb 24 February 15, 2018 at 2:04 pm

I’d be looking at zero QL

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xeno 0 February 15, 2018 at 2:11 pm

@bb0bb surely the chances of that are slim if not impossible on a drifting horse

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bbobb 24 February 15, 2018 at 2:13 pm

You don’t need to back a drifting horse. If you get one early in the day the price may be coming down, plenty of horses come in a small bit before they start a drift.

The idea is to back as many as you can, some will drift others wont.

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