Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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I wouldn’t disagree with the marginal value FoG… I liked the look of the 14.20 but that’s down to 7…
19.35 Tramore is the best of the bunch now..
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Yes Cliff – looks decent. I think my max win of Beverley is £30, which is worth doing.
Always happy to spend 10 minutes spam betting a B365 enhanced race if I’m able to.
+0Mr Crispy, I had a look at B365 enhanced race just now and also a couple of hours ago – and the odds on there and the exchange differ wildly.
Do you keep checking the odds all day in the hope of them getting closer? Or do you anticipate they will get close near the start of the race and then place your bet? Also, are you covering the whole field to ensure to get the extra place or just a few horses with the closest odds and hope for the best?
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I start looking about ten minutes before the race starts.
Between 5 and 10 minutes before the race starts, the Bet365 default place terms change to what was previously the enhanced terms for all future bets (ie 3 places 1/4 odds becomes 4 places 1/4 odds on all future each way bets on that race)…
If you compare Bet365’s odds with the betfair exchange win market and 4 place market you can work out the value…
The difficulty is that everything moves very quickly (so you don’t always have time to calculate the value) – you’ll find that if the win odds are equal you will almost certainly have an arb on the place…
I’m heavily restricted, so I treat them as value bets and bet on everything that’s value… if I wasn’t heavily restricted I would just watch the odds and wait for something really good to crop up…
The other thing that I think MBP pointed out is that if you are restricted and are betting your max stake, then when the odds move, you’ll be able to get another max stake on..
Quite often I’ll find I have 3 or 4 max stakes on one horse…. I had 8 max stake punts on the winner the other day, that was a great day (I’ve also covered half the field and hit nothing, a less good day)..
+0Betfair exchange down at the moment
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Cliff – You were right about the 4.30 being decent..
£50 max win too….bonus.
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Yes mate had a nice lump on sacred Ash. Mr Cool Cash Is good value in the 5.00
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The 5pm doesn’t have the enhanced arrow next to it anymore…
They still have an enhanced market but maybe that one won’t switch with 5 minutes to go..
+0Ah drifted a bit now, I got on at 15/16.5 place laid at 2.9, taken a 10er just to cover yesterday and today’s loses totally with a shot at 160
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Ah damn…that was because it’s already 4 places 1/4 odds..
+0Its still 1-4 mate just cut off points passed
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Yeah, I was being impressively dumb… Graceful Act would be nice..
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I was too heavily tilted towards the favourite there, even Graceful Act couldn’t save me from an overall loss.
+0Not EW but 10 bet 2nd to favorite at Newbury.
13.35 Newbury 5 runners so a fair chance of 2nd. currently good fortune 3,75/3,85+0Been a bit quiet in here. Anyone taking on the 5.25 at perth?
If anyone still speaks to El Loco can you tell him i was asking for him. Cheers sharbster#8026+0
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