Bad EW Races NO CHAT

  • Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?

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    scabbadab 259

    Yep many times. In a race like that esp with decent arbs and clear 2/3 favs (bonus mb2shots also) for the small losses on the 2 2tp shots I have a high chance of kopping the 3rd for dub bub and 0 chance of the dreaded dub lose (7 run and 1 hits 3rd) also if 1 or more doesn’t start then the 1/4 odds boost in the bookies cushions the small loss/balances things out

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    scabbadab 259

    All depends on the position I end up in just before race kicks off, could be if it’s not too good- letting the places run. But for sure never lay the 3 places in an 8. runner flat race- jumps different story, switch to orthodox then.

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    Tony 15

    Scab are you looking to do this tactic on the 14:40 at Doncaster today?

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    Enigma 28

    16:15 Listowel if you can get any good matches, hope for a NR or two from the favourites

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    scabbadab 259

    Yeah prob Tony. Although it doesn’t look that great an ew race- small arbs at best (if u can get on with the top price firms) in an 8 r runne flat.Doubt I’ll be getting much ew on that other than prob🤔 adding ew to my Boyle’s shots on the 2nd fav for the mb2fav opps
    See how the odds/runners develop later👍

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    scabbadab 259

    But atm the minor diff between win odds and ew odds on 2nd fav are so small it’s prob not worth bothering
    I’d say avoid doing any ew on that one unless it’s big arb- till at least close to off time

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    scabbadab 259

    Yeah enigma that 415 looks a little better 👍 will certainly be adding ew to any Boyle’s shots I do there. And elsewhere for that matter!

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    scabbadab 259

    Also wouldn’t rule out the 155 listowel having some nudges of ew value. Even with 3 places and 17 runners! Due to the dynamics of the range of prices in the race there could be some value-particularly on 2/3 favs- certainly another Boyle’s ew bash(2nd to fav values)

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    scabbadab 259

    2nd fav out of the 155 listers might take away most of the potential we value there🤔
    405 cheps another to put on the list

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    scabbadab 259

    Rushing round like a madman today😅 haven’t had enough time to keep track of the cluster of marginal bad e ways😅
    Could possibly add the opener at Epsom to that list🤔
    Any value shots spotted? (Pref in Boyles/Ppower)

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    scabbadab 259

    Not a good day on the ew front. Small scraps maybe in the opener at Sandown and the 310 Doncaster plus the more risky 340 Doncaster (8r) Good couple of races there with Boyle’s mb2f shots thrown in.Tosh EPRs- although with nrs coming in so far the 5tp at Listers May have some value closer to off.
    Any spots elsewhere?

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    Enigma 28

    Day off for me! Nothing worth it

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    scabbadab 259

    Aye prob right. Very slim out there- even the minor value 310 Doncaster has already dropped out.
    Have a good day off👍

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    Enigma 28

    Wow Dee Ex dropped out in the 15:10 and now there are / were some big arbs. Very lucky I checked a few minutes after he withdrew!

    wont be laying any, got some solid stakes as its a feature race at least

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    scabbadab 259

    Yeah! hope u did well on- never worth taking a day off if u have acsess to aN online account for a minute or twos clicking for a shot at profs! . I was initaily gutted Dee had dropped out as had some minor ew arbs on it with a chunk of free shots at probable banker mb vouchers, Sadly couldnt re adjust bets in time and hunt for some new arbs/mb shots-but had used 4 $20 vouchers- $ 10 ew- earlys doors on high extraction value shot Cleomante 66s- and just let it run as couldnt be asked calculating what the adjusted rule 4 price would now be- so kopped a nice one in the end, Hoping the adjusted price is pushing 40s

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