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Bad EW Races NO CHAT

  • Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?

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    ncfcmikey
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    April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm

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    scabbadab 259 September 17, 2019 at 7:05 pm

    Make that one🙃👍

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    scabbadab 259 September 17, 2019 at 7:25 pm

    No set rules for me on underlaying/not laying. If I’ve got a big chunk on a nice place arb I’m certainly not underlaying👍 If I’m in a bad posistion I prob will underlay for sure. Swings and roundabouts
    Spent a phase not laying anything at all (as in the long run with comms laying anything is a negative option) but realized the days where I would lose bucketloads would eventually effect my motivation to get up again the next day and get cracking on- so went back to laying the majority of bets off👍

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    Tony 15 September 17, 2019 at 7:33 pm

    Yea big winner in the 7:00, I see the programmes and math about laying but no laying is a scary place. 👀 on for the next one!

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    scabbadab 259 September 17, 2019 at 7:37 pm

    Yeah shock winner there was looking at it earlier at 66s but ew was between 50-70 with peanuts in the liquity so never bothered- wish I’d have stuck an un layed €20 freebet voucher on it for extraction value😁(sometimes do that with the vouchers)
    Signing off been a long day- good luck in the rest👍

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    Enigma 28 September 17, 2019 at 10:55 pm

    14:55 Sandown as good as you’ll get it. May try your technique Scab and lay 2tbp

    Surely there’ll be a withdrawal

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    Tony 15 September 17, 2019 at 10:59 pm

    Yarmouth 14:45 looking good with extra places at some bookies

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    scabbadab 259 September 18, 2019 at 9:07 am

    Haven’t had a good look myself yet. But yeah the 255 at Sandown is good- consider the 2tp just before the off Enigma- if you end up with 2/3 good arbs prior to off could be a good option. Love trying that option even more so in an 8 runner where you have tidy arbs on the clear 2nd/3rd favs and the rest of the field are much bigger in the betting-. See how that one pans out.
    Aye Tony that has potential to be an excellent EPR in the 245. A nr or two (not the fav!) or even fav getting backed in more would juice it up even more- but should certainly have some value in as it stands👍

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    scabbadab 259 September 18, 2019 at 9:28 am

    As it stands don’t see anything of value elsewhere. The other EPRs look rubbish

    Wouldn’t say no to the 33s on Marion’s Boy in the 255 atm if I could get it🙃

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    scabbadab 259 September 18, 2019 at 9:33 am

    I think I’ll wait till about 2.00 to get in on that race myself as an early nr will prob put any bets into negative mode🤔 unless getting a price too big to resist👍

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    Tony 15 September 18, 2019 at 12:20 pm

    Balzac at the 2:55 is almost at bing at 15

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    scabbadab 259 September 18, 2019 at 12:29 pm

    Balzac at 14/1 isn’t worth doing atm Tony. It’s barely an arb at all and high risk having a very bad value bet in the event of nr etc

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    scabbadab 259 September 18, 2019 at 12:32 pm

    Atm with current best prices I’d advise leaving that race alone and keeping an eye on later. Maybe🤔 €20 ew shots with Boyle’s on the 2/3 in the betting are small long term value with the chance of mb2nd to fav🤔

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    scabbadab 259 September 18, 2019 at 12:33 pm

    Offsetting the % chance of less than 8 running

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    Tony 15 September 18, 2019 at 12:40 pm

    Ok not sure about the mb2fav offer but will check in later

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    scabbadab 259 September 18, 2019 at 12:54 pm

    245 Yarmouth – inference 20/1- well worth a dip at current prices with the extra place firms👍

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