Bad EW Races NO CHAT

  • Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?

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    Andybets74 22

    Cheers Scabba for the 2.05, checked out on a nice arb, could have left it longer for me but will do very nicely. Turned into a very good day 👍🏻

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    Deej 15

    Haha do well Andy!

    I have had it where the exchange has adjusted itself a while after though – just keep an eye on that!

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    Andybets74 22

    You’ve got me worried now deej! It’s showing as won in my account and it’s a fair while after the race now. I’ve had adjustments made but usually within a short time. Fingers crossed 🤞 can’t make any sense of the dead heat rules on smarkets!

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    scabbadab 259

    Yeah hard to say how swift the each way stuff gets the gubbings compared to chiseling away on the mbs. As i have said before one deffo needs to mix up horse bets with arb bets and minimal loss ‘mug’ type bets. Cant just only do the odd big ew arb race and expect to stay off the gub radar for too long.

    For sure shops are easier to stay off radar (although simalar tactics need to be used) and of course having an abundunce of them in reachable range is very handy to help move around various shops as opposed to just hammering 1/2 which would prob get a quick fire gubbing/ban simalar to an onliner.

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    Andybets74 22

    Scrap that!!! Just checked account activity and I did lose at the exchange on the win despite it showing as won in the settled bets! Still made a bit on the arb but no jackpot sadly! Good job I didn’t had my notice in!!!ha

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    scabbadab 259

    Bit like the old poker you are best off losing a few small pots and then raking in a big one🤔👍

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    Deej 15

    @Andy – sorry to be a doom-monger.

    Ah yes – what you just said is exactly how I got a bit excited when I saw ‘Won’ on the recently settled bets section only to find it lost when I looked at the statement.

    You know what they say ‘if it’s too good to be true, it normally is!’

    I’m going to experiment with that Scabba~. With MBing I’ve never done mug betting, always had the mind set that I’ll get had one day so make hay while the sunshine’s!

    I can access other SBs and Marathons – may experiment with what you’ve said to see if the accounts last longer!

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    Deej 15

    Anyway – I have a free evening and early morning so instead of moaning about not getting the stakes I wanted to on today, I will endeavour to throw up some value for you boys!

    Can’t see much value in the 17.15 or 17.45 today as of yet though.

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    scabbadab 259

    Good stuff deej- yeah and worth experimenting with minimal damage mug bets mixed in with the goid stuff👍

    Also great if u spot anything in those couple of races..as im a bit fatigued from expended energy on finding arbs etc today- and burning off unnessecary energy on Hyping/watching monster arb Even flight come to nothing🙃

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    Enigma 28

    In my experience EW betting kills accounts far faster than MBS. I started matched betting in summer 2016, managed to make Coral, SkyBet and WH last for 2 full Cheltenham cycles just hitting various offers. Best thing you can do IMO is not to place a single bet on horse racing for a while on new accounts, just do big football matches, builds you up some “credit” on the P/L sheet, or chuck in a £5 acca on football every month thats about as muggy as it gets. If you really want to minimise losses, only bet accas on bookies who offer some sort of acca offer (it will still look muggy), or you can check the value of “boosts” which the bookie offers on football, sometimes they’re very close to the Exchange value

    Some bookies allow big stakes (~£20EW) on the ITV races. You can also get multiple bets on the same horse at the same bookie if enough time passes. Others definitely ungub or unblock eventually (PP and BV ungubbed me for a period of about 12 months, very bizarre) if you’re lucky. Seems to happen if the bookie undergoes a big change (merger, website update, new odds compiler)

    You can also google “bookies who share odds” and i think there are a few that copy B365 and Marathons odds, not sure about their reputation but if they’re registered with the Gambling Commission then you should be fine

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    Enigma 28

    lol ive taken the week off to focus on my work but still posting -_- stupid

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    scabbadab 259

    Ah just see your posts Andy . Weird one that 235 esp as i watched the crazy fluxuations on Largeuse in play odds inc odds in photo..started at 6.0 in the photo. Paddies used to pay out full odds the last time I had a dead heat winner..but checked the terms soon after in Boyles (where i had a nifty eway on him) and its half odds..so only nudged a small prof on the ‘win’ and a bit on the place arb.. all in all managed to lose a bit on the day..energy fizzled out after monster arb Even Flight ran a crap race..im guessing you made some there by overlaying the monster place arb 13.2/3.5! Good stuff if u did..greedily i went all in on it🙃 and made nowt.

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    scabbadab 259

    But to add to the ‘mug’ bets notion. I dont see anything wrong with whacking on a fair few ‘muggy’ bets on non offer/arb races. Sticking some €50+ win bets on horses , where for an example its 2-1- laying 3.1 – early doors.. thats about a €3 loss with comms..if u do it only with bog firms and say 1/10 of those bets wins at say 5/2 or a couple of 9/4s🤔 Thats a €25 boost to cover the €30 or so lost on the 10 mug bets..just a raw calculation ..but you see my drift..minimal losses on selective ‘mug’ bets’ and surely in the process helping to build up a bit of profile as a bit of a compulsive gambler type🤔

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    scabbadab 259

    And even if these 9/4-5/2 bog boosts dont come in as frequently as my example..every once in a while you will catch a monster BOG like say a 7/2 or 4/1 and losses if any will be very small in long run🤔

    Cant expect to stay in the online game too long if just doing €5 footy accas and all the special €10 etc offers and then whacking on big chunks on big eway horses and Tv special races🤔 I know if i was working for an online firm id ban that better in a week or so..but then with the experience ive gained id prob spot the bog fake ‘mug’ bets as well and still ban you😀 But they couldnt pay me enough to turn to the darkside🤑

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    Deej 15

    Said I’d do some donkey work this morning!

    Possible value in – 12.30/2.00/2.20/3.20/5.25/5.40

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