Bad EW Races NO CHAT

Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?

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April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm

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bbobb 24 October 11, 2017 at 4:45 pm

Yeah… lesson learned today on that race.

I’ve also discovered today that it is possible to manipulate the bookie (Lad/Coral) price on certain horses when there is very little liquidity.

They must have an system in place that their price must be below or equal to the lay price on the exchange, even though they want to push it out (you can spot them as the price seems to alternate between two prices).

You can move the pice up to the higher price by putting in a small lay (obviously there is a risk that it wont go back up but you are risking pennies). You can then place your bet at the higher price and let the exchange settle to a couple of points below it before laying again.

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MbPunter 24 October 12, 2017 at 1:00 pm

3.40 Thurles. 18 runners handicap with an odds on fave! Liquidity terrible but should be some value at some point.

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Mr Crispy 34 October 12, 2017 at 1:50 pm

Wow, that’s unusual, thanks.

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bbobb 24 October 12, 2017 at 2:57 pm

Same fav was odds on in an extra place race last week… drifted from 1.5 to about 2.4 leading up to race then settled about 2 giving me win and place arbs on 3 horses and the extra place chance. Obviously fav bolted up.

Missed all of mine.

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FoG_BLoG 60 October 12, 2017 at 3:01 pm

Looks like Bad Cigar is going to be the value. 40 minutes though and still not alot of liquidity.

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MbPunter 24 October 12, 2017 at 3:12 pm

Yeah looks it. Rain in Spain 25s at boyle but can’t get on.

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MbPunter 24 October 12, 2017 at 3:56 pm

No joy at all there.

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betman 41 October 12, 2017 at 4:03 pm

No I dived in with 2.22 eway (unlaid!) and only came 6th

Struggled to see much value, other than the winner arbing as ppl piled into it.

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FoG_BLoG 60 October 12, 2017 at 4:27 pm

The bookie’s were prepared. Their ew prices were crazy. Most that I checked were like 18/1 at bookie to win but available to lay at 36 on the exchange.

Bookie overround looks like it added up to almost 150%.

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MbPunter 24 October 12, 2017 at 4:37 pm

Yeah if you go on to the result on betfair the price comparisons of betfair ex sp to industry is comical.

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bbobb 24 October 13, 2017 at 10:19 am

Gavota currently arbing on win at Lad/Coral in 14:25 extra place race. 4.3/4.1

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bbobb 24 October 13, 2017 at 2:47 pm

After scratching my head for 10 minutes I’ve just realised that Ladbrokes pay BOG+ on the place part of bets.

Good to know for extra place races.

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deathstar 39 October 13, 2017 at 2:56 pm

Cheers for posting that bbobb, i got on butterscotch for an e/w arb in the 4 place markets. Typically, it came 4th, but i’m a tenner better off than before the race. ;)

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bbobb 24 October 13, 2017 at 3:21 pm

I caught Butterscotch for the extra place (had to gamble a bit on the place) and made a few quid out of Gavota drifting.

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orlandosteve 2 October 13, 2017 at 3:36 pm

Butterscotch and Just Hiss (York) Extra place. Gavota MB2nd, Limato 2Clear-been an ok day. On Magical for 2 Clear and September 2/3/4 at Paddy…….

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