Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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Oh yeah and finally Deej- Whenever that Scabbas Naps future plan moves into the subscribtion phase- All original Arbys members (with an interest)will be on top discounts! (providing they send me a few arbs in return!!)
Who knows if the CLA keeps running- perhaps discounts/free subscribtions will be dished out for anyone wins/beats the old Scaba!! dont quote me on that!+0Locked in a nice profit earlier on Au Clair, not convinced it will place so took the guaranteed
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Got your one Andy and Mister blue 20s- tempted to just let places run- as I believe at least one will place- but think ill opt for lay coverage as dont want a bad start to day if poss!
+0Just missed the move on Cheshire on the 13:25 – I’m a bit slow today!
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Cant complain with that- Nice nap winner Andy! (back in to odds-on the CLA!) Did one of my crafty underlay the win overlay the big place arb on him- Kopped tidily- Nice1
+0Went cautious today and took the guaranteed, nice to get another winner, exchange doesn’t think so though!ha
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Yeah Chesire came in heavy MRM- also a bit slow myself!
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Yeah exchange also entering the danger zone for me atm! hopefully have enough to cover till a top up tomorrow!
+0Tons of value in the 17:45 Leop but surely no chance of it remaining 16 runners
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Maybe its the ‘buzz’ inside me- but often when I have a big place arb that is short odds-on in the place markets- I lock in my overall stakes with a place overlay and leave a decent bit underlaid on the win side. I guess cause if it only places then I wont be to sad about the extra $10-20 of profit lost on the place overlay- but the chance of it winning means im in position to kop a signicant profit. I guess if possible I always want to in with a chance of at least $100+ payout when im in good overall arb shape.
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Yeah Good EPRs at Leopards Enigma. If you have PP account you will ok up to 14 runners for the 5 places
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Deffo your specialist catergory Andy- Scalping the bad eway/EPR 6–1/10-1 value range shots
+0Cheers Scabba, I thought the 2nd fav was the one that had a better chance but there was no value in that. Annoying when you lay the winner, might have to think about your strategy in that situation when you’re in a good position.
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Aye Andy. Prob the same long term profit expectation- but it is nice when your get a big reward on a good arb at those sort of prices your Nap had. For me keeps the energies high- as when the good ew arbs win but you only kop on the place arb- whilst still nice no doubt- puts me on a slight downer..even more so when they are high price winners…where you are levels on the win and kopping a steady wee place prof…also bit of a downer…always sacrifice at least a few $ of place arb profit to make sure im in the mix for win pay outs…all about what keeps your motivations high I’d say..Most arb lay stratergies will balance out in the long wash!
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Take that Love Powerfull 20-1 nap I posted yesterday. I had $25 e/w at 20’s- lay at the off was bang on 21.0 and 3 places was about bang on at 4.9..for a free shot at the 4th. Had to underlay $5/$6 on the win..to keep my options open..
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