Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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Sounds like next level thinking there in the 420 at Stratford MRM…Nice one…had to sort something at this morning myself and yet to get scanning etc..will check that 420 out…shame about the Ripon bad eway one dropping 2 runners
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Another new term thats been brought in to the arb vocab…post lockdown..The Speculation Arb/nap
+0Not much form to go on in the 415 at Stratford so I’ll be keeping an eye on market movers during the day, but already have a small EW bet on the Tony Carroll horse.
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Its the 620 Stratford that race- not 420- Your normally proved right with your tips/spots MRM…Not a great EPR atm and on the form book that horse looks a bit shaky…But im sure it will be a steady shout at least at 14-1…if 12+ go off
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Nice one Llew Goch…Also will keep an eye on that 415 and that Be Fair horse…Really like catching good flat horses at good prices(in value eway races of course) when they are just entering the switch to hurdles…can catch some monster steamers on those types…and when caught at big odds early doors they dont tend to drift very often…Good shout
+0Vafortino in the Leopardstown 13:30 (11r) 17 with Bet365 / 15.5 on exchange
Just about an bad EW. Fav is 1.8-2. Vafortino has been quickly cut from 17 at other firms to 11-13 and exchange down from 20 to 15.5. Not much liquidity on place markets at the moment but currently showing a small place arb.
Won its previous race here (maiden) less than a month ago and could go well again.
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Sorry just notice I said Knight Commander was in the 4.20 at Stratford – that should be 6.20
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Very low each way value AIS (As it stands) that 415 Stratford- Be Fair at 7-1 looks a solid enough bet…Be tempted to back the excange 2.08 on the favourite as I think it will shorten a fair bit…which if it does should bring a bit more eway value to the race…No Thanks is one to watch at 20-1..atm markets not making those odds too enticing…will keep em peeled for now on that one
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Massive spot/call on that Vafortino 16-1 MRM…If anything that should increase in arb value come the off…Was just about to scan that race when saw your spot…cant get on it myself- but had to put it in the naps thread as price still there
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The 400 Leopordstown 19r 3.2 Fav…Should throw some value up be it 1/4 odds 4tp or 1/5 5tp…Not enough in markets to scalp a value price atm though…Got my eye on a few…One of em being a Dapper Napper fancy..
+0Morning chaps, nice to see plenty of input this morning!
Mr M great shout on Vafortino, having some of that!
That 4.15 Stratford is a tricky one, top 2 look solid and the rest have nothing to go on. Scabba your shout of backing the fav to shorten is a good call, I can see that shortening.
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Morning Andy…Yes lively morning on the chats/tips front…Some newcomers chipping in with top info/naps is helping the cause out nicely…
+0Fav just gone non runner in that 1.30 @ leopardstown for all those on Mr M’s Vafortino
I layed early so just trying to work out the best play 🤔
+0That’s a pain in the 1:30. Likewise Andy, trying to re-work figures now but I didn’t lay the win as I was expecting it to come in a bit.
I calc that 0.45p per £ will be deducted if Vafortino wins. Therefore £25 say @17 = £425 return (£400 profit) – less £180 (£400 x 0.45) = £220. £220 plus £25 stake = 245 which equates to 9.8 for the win.
Which, is what the current win lay price is.
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Bummer that 130 norseing up.. Id just lay about 80% of my stakes at current win/places there and hope for the best!
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