Paddy TV MBS on Prem Lge

CONDITIONS

For the first televised Premier League Match every Saturday and Sunday back a team to winand and get a free bet if they are losing at half time. Applies to Win singles only. Offer does not apply to Draw selections. Free bet is credited regardless of outcome of pre-match bet. I.e. if the team is losing at half time but goes on to win at full time the free bet still stands. Refund will be credited at half time as a free bet on football and will be valid for 7 days. Applies to matches played from 13th of August 2016 through 1st October 2016. Applies to all Online, Mobile, Phone, Shop, Text and PP Messenger bets. Max free bet EUR/GBP25 per customer. Free bet stake not included in winnings. Bets placed with free bets will not qualify for the offer. Bets that are cashed out do not qualify for the free bet refund. Paddy Power reserves the right in its discretion to exclude and/or limit the availability of the offer to certain customers. If any term of the Offer is breached, or if there is evidence that a customer is abusing the Offer or using the Offer to guarantee profits regardless of the outcome (whether individually or as part of a group), Paddy Power reserves the right, in its absolute discretion, to reclaim the bonus element of such offer and/or void the Offer and any bet funded by the Offer and/or take any other action it deems necessary.The full terms and conditions of Paddypower.com also apply to this offer.

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sleepless
9

August 8, 2016 at 5:06 pm

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jkarim97 0 August 8, 2016 at 6:15 pm

Sounds like a good offer to me. First game is Hull vs Leicester on the saturday and then Bournemouth vs Man Utd on Sunday. It’s pretty obvious to bet on hull to win and Bournemouth

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Pickle 60 August 8, 2016 at 7:52 pm

So what percentage of the original bet is the free bet?

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78naD 4 August 8, 2016 at 8:27 pm

Hang on, available in shops? I am licking my lips at this if so.

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Smarty72 0 August 8, 2016 at 9:21 pm

Guaranteed profit, great offer.

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FoG_BLoG 59 August 8, 2016 at 9:24 pm

4.0/4.3 => €2.10 QL to win €25FB if Leicester lead at HT.

Effective odds 9.52.

Laying at the moment for 4.0 will probably tighten up but take 4.0 as example.

So input €2.10 as stake and effective odds 9.52/4.0 on calculator and so lay €5.02 on the Leicester to win 1st half.

So Leicester winning at HT then your down 2.10 QL and down 15.06 pay out on smarkets but up €20 after free bet extraction.

Leicester not winning at HT then up €5.02 – commission on the ht lay. Down 2.10 QL on original bet.

Lock in €2.82 profit either way. Just to estimate the value of the offer. Probably more as lay odds not great atm.

So twice each weekend, roughly €6 times say 4 shops could be €24 per week guaranteed…

Worth running round a few shops? Hit enough then I guess it could be €100.

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78naD 4 August 8, 2016 at 9:57 pm

This defo on in shops lads? And defo in Ireland too Fog?

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FoG_BLoG 59 August 8, 2016 at 10:02 pm

I think so Dan. Terms say include retail. I’m thinking of testing the waters.

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STC 4 August 8, 2016 at 10:07 pm

Interesting. T&C says it does:

Applies to all Online, Mobile, Phone, Shop, Text and PP Messenger bets. Max free bet EUR/GBP25 per customer.

I go past 2 shops on the way home from work so could easily pop in on fridays and do this. Will check your maths in the morning @FoG_BloG – not that I doubt you! 😉

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supert 6 August 8, 2016 at 10:10 pm

Prefer bet £20 pre get £10 inplay 🙁 guessing they are not doing that then this year… Coral £10 correct score offer better

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Pickle 60 August 9, 2016 at 12:28 pm

Will consistently backing the outsider not lead to very quick gubbings?

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Tony 13 August 9, 2016 at 12:34 pm

@Pickle – almost certainly, particularly if you hit a few refunds early on, but what are we meant to do?

Do you need to disclose you ID to bet in a Paddy shop?

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FoG_BLoG 59 August 9, 2016 at 1:38 pm

I don’t know Pickle, it is a bit random.

You could still guarantee a profit by going on the favourite but you’re giving away potential and have no guarantee your account will last longer than if you go for under dog.

I started a little sheet to figure out the value and lay required for each option.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17yvTg6Za5ATQJ7et1s73rDvLdCb8qhONpxIOBY3N2lQ/edit?usp=sharing

You can go for 1. guaranteed profit, 2. risk free profit, or 3. something in between which is what I like to do now a days.

Risk free is good as in you win big when you win but it is frustrating as you can have long barren spells. Also I don’t want to drive around shop to shop for zero reward. So I think I will just adjust the lays so that I am winning €1 or €2 per shop per bet but still win big when I win.

I think guaranteed equal profit win or lose isn’t a good idea either as in if I get the free bets then there is extra work/risk in legging it to the shop hoping that they aren’t on to me and give me the free bet and I can extract profit. So for the extra work I want to make it worth my while. So I want to win more when my team is losing at HT, so underlaying that part of the bet.

Tony I haven’t done much shop betting, had a small go during Goodwood/Galway. They don’t seem to ask for anything other than your cash. So no ID, no username, no email, no payment card. Nothing to link you back to your gubbed online accounts.

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STC 4 August 9, 2016 at 2:17 pm

Yeah I wouldn’t like to do this promo online (as Im sure that would lead to a quick gubbing) but quite happy to go into a couple of shops if I dont have to provide any of my personal details. How do they give you your free bet back when you go into shops? (not done much shop mb’ing).

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FoG_BLoG 59 August 9, 2016 at 2:44 pm

I can’t believe you guys aren’t all already gubbed from paddy. I have been gubbed since January, even my brother (a non matched bettor got the email and he barely bets on anything except tennis and a couple of the bet 20 get 10 football promo’s I advised him). So in shop is my only choice.

I will give this a shot in the shop this weekend and see how I get on and report back. The lay odds need to improve though if it’s going to be worth my while spreading the net and hitting extra paddy shops each week. As far as I can see I only have 3 shops within 30km of me here.

It would take me an hour round trip to hit them all and get back here, and the same again to pick up any winnings/free bets extract profit. With 3 shops I can probably guarantee at least €5 (between both weekend matches) per shop so €15+ for 2 hours work, so €7.50 per hour which is below minimum wage!

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Dave_Jones 9 August 9, 2016 at 8:12 pm

Factor in the cost of petrol to cover the 30Km Foggy then it makes it even worse. Probably need to live in big city with lots of Paddy shops in close proximity to make this offer worth while. I too wonder how these guys still have their Paddy accounts, I got gubbed in very short order by them. I certainly wasn’t doing all their offers, and was mug betting too. I think its just random luck with some of these bookies if they gubb you or not.

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