Paddy TV MBS on Prem Lge

CONDITIONS

For the first televised Premier League Match every Saturday and Sunday back a team to winand and get a free bet if they are losing at half time. Applies to Win singles only. Offer does not apply to Draw selections. Free bet is credited regardless of outcome of pre-match bet. I.e. if the team is losing at half time but goes on to win at full time the free bet still stands. Refund will be credited at half time as a free bet on football and will be valid for 7 days. Applies to matches played from 13th of August 2016 through 1st October 2016. Applies to all Online, Mobile, Phone, Shop, Text and PP Messenger bets. Max free bet EUR/GBP25 per customer. Free bet stake not included in winnings. Bets placed with free bets will not qualify for the offer. Bets that are cashed out do not qualify for the free bet refund. Paddy Power reserves the right in its discretion to exclude and/or limit the availability of the offer to certain customers. If any term of the Offer is breached, or if there is evidence that a customer is abusing the Offer or using the Offer to guarantee profits regardless of the outcome (whether individually or as part of a group), Paddy Power reserves the right, in its absolute discretion, to reclaim the bonus element of such offer and/or void the Offer and any bet funded by the Offer and/or take any other action it deems necessary.The full terms and conditions of Paddypower.com also apply to this offer.

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sleepless
9

August 8, 2016 at 5:06 pm

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78naD 4 August 13, 2016 at 8:11 am

Can you share these sums?

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78naD 4 August 13, 2016 at 8:38 am

I’ve got all these in front of me now, all laid off. 8 Hull wins and 4 Leicester wins (doing more today before kick off)

Thinking of just letting them run? Far more profit in long run would there be? 200profit or 100 profit if either team is winning at half time?
The Biurnemouth v Man Utd game tomorrow, do the same there. As long as neither game is a draw at half time there’s a minimum 100 profit…

Thoughts

Can’t figure out the Enforcer is getting a tenner regardless of outcomes?

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beesty2016 3 August 13, 2016 at 9:07 am

I would Dan. I’m just deciding whether to do an hours round trip in each of the 4 stores nearest to me and do both matches. Looking at I reckon I’ll be 15 down if it’s draw HT or 70 up if it’s not after taking 85 percent out of 100 quids worth of free bets. U would expect to win 1 and lose 1 so expecting about 55 for an hours work. Just worried that they will think I’m up to something when spending 100 in each store on those outcomes.

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MbPunter 24 August 13, 2016 at 9:39 am

Yep Enforcers numbers wouldn’t add up unless multiple bets. Let’s say he got £0 qualifying loss on Leics.

So Hull winning ht would give free £25. For argument’s sake £20 after extraction. Hull are around 5.5 for ht. So laying that for £10 would be a £45 liability. I’d make it closer to £3.50-60 guaranteed.

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MbPunter 24 August 13, 2016 at 10:02 am

May be an easier way to work it out but here’s what i do. Work out my implied odds and use my qualifying loss as my stake and the implied odds as the back odds in the calculator.

Ok as an example let’s say i’ve backed Hull and i have a £1 qualifying loss, but will get £20 after extraction if Leicester winning at ht so implied odds of 19/1 (20.0), £1 in calculator as stake and 20.0 as odds. Then Leics say 2.70 to lay.

Says guaranteed £6.31.

So i have to lay Leics ht for £7.46, liability of £12.69.

If Leics are winning at ht i lose £12.69 + £1 qualifying loss, but gain £20 from freebie.

If Leics aren’t winning i get £7.31 after comms minus £1 QL.

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Woo1y 2 August 13, 2016 at 10:08 am

I find the trick to not being gubbed by Paddy is just to do one of the offers each weekend. Leicester should be winning by half time but I reckon it’s a sure gubbing on the first few.

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beesty2016 3 August 13, 2016 at 10:16 am

Just done my first shop. Using the manual sheet on Leicester as a small sharb then writing hull out on a slip. For Bournemouth Man U I’m writing Man U manually as 5/6 is better than 8/11 and for Bournemouth using the sheet which is 4/1

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FoG_BLoG 59 August 13, 2016 at 10:49 am

I got 4.33 in shop on Hull to win. Layed at 4.6 on smarkets. For qualifying loss of €1.82.

I use the QL as the stake and figure the effective odds (ie FB value/QL = 20/1.82 = 10.99 effective odds) and stick that into calculator to figure what I need to lay for guaranteed profit.

I got Leicester to win first half layed off €7.30 @ 2.76.

Guarantees €5.33 either way assuming 80% extraction if a free bet.

Odds are a little better for the man utd match. I haven’t layed off the HT result yet as it will probably come down but got Hull backed and laid at 5.0/5.0 and will be guaranteeing almost €7 on that one.

Dan if you have a decent bank roll then it is probably easier for you to not lay off. More profitable in the long run due to not paying commission and higher profit per time invested as you can do it all much quicker without going over board on spread sheets and calculators. But don’t tell anyone that I said that on a matched betting forum. And also be aware that without laying obviously a bad run can mean you see a loss for a number of weeks before the Number Gods even things up.

Enforcer. I dont think that €10 guaranteed profit is possible – maybe check your numbers. You would need to find someone willing to take evens on Hull leading at HT!

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FoG_BLoG 59 August 13, 2016 at 10:54 am

beesty.

All at one shop? Is it not strange to bet on both results? And mixing coupons and slips? They didn’t ask questions?

Anyway, what I did just for those not used to shops (like me). I wrote Hull on one slip and wrote Bournemouth on another. Handed to the lady and she wrote the odds on them and gave me back printed copies.

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Digibets 0 August 13, 2016 at 11:24 am

Im just going to go for the smallest QL in these

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78naD 4 August 13, 2016 at 11:27 am

Helpful comments lads, fair play.
Think I will just gamble on them as I do have the BR to deal with it and good point on I’ll be saving on commission that way Fog.
When I say not laying off I mean for garaunteed profit and not the qualifier itself, of course I’m laying them off.

Lads, I’ve been sharbing for months now, they know my handwriting out of hundreds, they’ve told me that in numbers shop. Don’t be so paranoid, they haven’t a clue and / or couldn’t give a fuck.

It’s not suspicious to back both teams in one game, they think you’re just some goof who has never heard of the double chance home / away market lol

Share on lads, let’s milk the shit out of it

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beesty2016 3 August 13, 2016 at 11:42 am

Cheers Dan when you sharb how much can you get on? Been able to make a few pence in profit by doing Bournemouth and Man U on the sheets. If I whacked 500 on would they be ok?

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Pavlon 3 August 13, 2016 at 1:18 pm

Perfect timing. If Hull had scored earlier, then I would have layed them for half time.

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BKK Farang 3 August 13, 2016 at 1:18 pm

No free bet today, backed Hull and they have scored 1.0 at HT!

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beesty2016 3 August 13, 2016 at 1:26 pm

Getttttt innnnnn 4 tokens off the small sharb as well. Perfect start to the season!

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