Royal Ascot 2020 (Day 3)
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Looks like 4 duds followed by 3 profitable races tomorrow. Hope the 15:35 stays 8 runners, GL betting
+0June 17, 2020 at 7:16 pm
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Exactly what I thought/said mate. Maybe an ok opener- and for those who can get more than crumbs on with SLYBET- the 225 should be decent with 5 places (dont know the Runner minimums for that offer) But hopefully the 335- nice bad each way (cant beat a high quality/liquity level BEW) manages to hold+ go with the 8r. Then very tidy 6 place possibilites in the 410- And rounding up with prob best handicap value wise of the week, in the 445 (not including the super extra/extra place offers that have been) 5 1/5 or 4 1/4 will do nicely there- 18r atm- so should hold 16+- fingers crossed.
If those races hold at minimum value runners requirments- then def a calm before the storm kind of day.No need for anyone to do a tasty in-depth card preview- Enigma’s opened it up, and we all know what races/offers to smash on tomorrow…Cheers
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Opening Day 3 nap..Nice and straight forward…Sofika 7-1 440- PP/LADS/CORAL/BFAIR/BOYLES 1/5 5TP. Should be able to smash a nice bit on spread around those 5 firms
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nap2-same race..R ASCOT 440- DUBAI LOVE 14-1***** (BET365) 1/4 4 PLACES 18r
+0Jumped on that!! 7-9 with other bookies? Bet365 do BOG for the night before, so I’m letting the win part run for a bit and hopefully lock in some profit on the win part
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Nice! a lot of Dettori rides have been really short with most firms all week early doors.
+0Yeah I noticed that – good spot. its dropped to 11 now. Just taken Technician at 6 with Bet365 in the 15:35
+0Scab are you not able to get big stakes on ITV races at Sky?
I am allowed pennies up until the time BOG Kicks in, but then can get decent stakes (£5-25£ EW) fairly consistently
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E.g. today i got £12 EW on a 18/1 shot at Sky
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I get a message saying my account isn’t allowed to make that bet, press the bet again and it goes through.
I can get £50+ Ew on any group 1 race…
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wa hey! $12. Normally thats about the limit on a 2/1 shot..haha hope you took some $ of them SLYBET dogs
btw any poker players out there- dont go anywhere near SKYBET- if your good you may well scalp a few grand out of the poker-and then you will scammed by robots and fixed cards (quit while I was well up- but its the fakest poker game on the web)
Tosh tv site/tosh betting/corrupt poker= Kings of Tosh
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Good to hear Tony. Im banned from them evreywhere- even track me to diffeent addresses- cash in while you can mate
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Yea, I’m definitely trying! Should have booked this week work, really struggling to get anything on…
+0I’ve never done a statistical analysis (didn’t FOG Blog once do this?) but is there more value in the 4tbp 1/4 or 5tbp 1/5? Normally I think more in 1/4 top 4 but maybe with a shorter fave like the 16:40 the extra place is more valuable
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Oh nice one Enigma- im just banned! but there odds are so bad- argubly the worst pre show. But if you can decent on in the bigger races- then thats nice. They have a 5 place special tomorrow- hopefully you can all get a fair value shot in that race etc. I remember I used to be restricted to pennies/small bits after 1st gub- but perhaps after I realised their poker was fixed and continued to play at the very lowest stakes- typing in the chat page to everyone that the site/game was rigged- maybe that didnt help my cause- but glad I did none the less- hopefully saved a good few people some pain by continuing to play there.
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I think there is no fixed rule on that Enigma- 1/4 4places vs 1/5 5 places. I think you can always calculate it yourself when the markets get busy near race time. I used to always counter those who scoffed at the 1/5 5 places v 1/4 4 (many ‘experienced MBs/arbers on here used to say they avoidied the 1/55TPs and also barely ever bothered with smaller field EPRs!!!. I believe it varies, and normally pretty simalar in value- which ever firm has the best price you go with their terms/price. My feeling is that the shorter the fav/favs get the more the 1/5 5 places becomes the better call- also Id say at a guess that when fav is say 5-1+ then prob 1/4 4 places becomes more favourable- Not much in it either way in my book. But i’d stick my neck and say for sure that I’d rather be on 1/5 5TP in that 440 tomorrow- perhaps can have a look close to race time to break down the variables of both options.
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