Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
-
Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
-
-
New to matched betting?
My Matched Betting Academy is the best place to get started. Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.
Learning the fundamentals takes 10-15 minutes and you’ll make £15 in the process.
All naps can be checked for race times in previous posts. Also all naps can be back checked to time/day I posted the nap on the this site (within about 1 minute of me actually spotting it and most times getting my own bet on it first) The time and date is always shown on every post on this site. Can then -if wanted to- be cross checked with the available prices offered at those times by the various bookie sites I quoted the odds from👍
+0
Would appreciate any queries/questions anyone may have on this..to be kept as short and sweet ad poss..as I d rather not have huge long posts cluttering up these posts/break downs Ive done👍
Perhaps any long ones can be posted to me on the mb or bad eway thread🤔😀Plus if anyone -with a lot of time on their hands! ( now racing is in lockout) has the tools (betfair sp history for one) to breakdown the win and place bfair sps on all the 126 naps! Ive posted- that would be magic. And will put a very nice brucie bonus in their xmas/easter card!
+0
Naps 1-36 in the 1st overall breakdown dont have which bookies the odds were avaiable at at that time listed next to them. This is because I hadnt started the Scabs bad each way naps thread at that time- and was posting them in the bad eway thread on here. They can be found if sifting through that great but slightly cluttered up thread. Will do it myself in the next day or so👍
+0
Scaps Bad Each way naps Cont.
1st nap since breaking down ‘The story so far, and uk racing going into ‘lockout’ Irish racing continuing/ so will endeavour to pick off any each wY arb/naps that pops up there…
20/03/20 (127) 230 Dundalk. Stamp Of Authority *. 14/1 (365/lads/boyles)
+0
Scabba bad each way naps
20/03/20. 230 Dundalk. Northern Surprise 20/1 ***(365/lads/)
+0
Naps Cont
(129) 20/3/20. 230 Dundalk. Peguses Bridge 33/1 (365) **
Course and distance winner. Very incosistent. One of those horses that will likely run a stormer or a stinker- which i like tageting in these bad eway-poor quality races. Small eway arb atm. More likely to come in than bomb out👍
+0
Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps.. cont
21/03/20 (130) 140 Thurles. Blanketontheground 50/1 ***(coral/victor/365/sbet)
21/03/20. (131) 140 Thurles **
Nero Rock 50/1 (hills/365/victor)Another poor quality Irish hurdle race. Top 2 very short and highly likely to take top 2 spots. Value hunting for one of the next 3/4 in the betting to nick a top 3 spot and a nice arb. Blanketontheground avaiable now at 50/1 and a small arb already looks the value one for me- top 4 in last 4 starts and last two races went off at 11/2- 9/1 so 50/1 likely to go shorter. Nero Rock also now at 50/1 and also already a small arb/value shout could be the best value shout of the others with a couple of places in last 5 starts. Not an easy race with seo many runners (many with no chance) but ad always if its value – you cant go wrong👍
Typed this long post out- as these two horses came near to being arbs/ then was ready to post the moment they did go into arb range👍
+0Get regular offer updates, tip and tricks, big offer alerts and more straight to your inbox.
Scabbas Bad Each Way naps..cont
22/03/20. 440 Downpatrick. (132) Fidj Emery 50/1 (365) **** also avaiable at 40/1 (hills/888) **
Very good race for finding a good eway arb. This horse tipped purely because it is already laying on exchange eway for far less than the 50/1 on 365. The form of this horse is not good at all- so have no hunches as to weather or not it will steam in more or drift out. Could be one to lay early- and take the early guarnteed free shot at profit.
+0
Scabbas Naps cont…
22/03/20. 440 Downpatrick. (133) Kempstone 50/1*** (365)
Same race as 1st tip of today. Again very little form to go on. Trainer of horse Stuart Crawford has had a good steady run of form in last 2 weeks- with 3 good places and one very good winner (Major Robinson13/2 yesterday at Thurles) from his last 10 entries. So stable looks to be in tidy form. Relative Mr B Crawford (often rides for him) booked for the ride. In a low quality race -with trainers decent recent form- the already small arb at 50/1- could be a lot shorter nearer the off. Also, with this being another NH flat race- the trainers excellent career stats of14 wins from 87 entries (16%) in NHF races- has to add weight to the naps potential value. My hunch/experience radar (after studying other horses in race form/potential) says it will go off shorter- so lay late. Was 66/1- now 50s- good value👍
Again wrote this out ready for the moment the horse went into eway arb range- ready for post/texts
+0
I believe the 40-1 on Kempstone-also available right now on most other firms -is also arb value- for those unable/weary of putting too much on 365s 50/-1.
Would rate the 40/-1 at just * /5+0
Scabbas Naps cont
22/03/20. 440 Downpatrick..(134) Fougo 80/1***** (sky/victor/pp.boyles)
Avaiable at 100/1 at :365/888 but wont tip that as win is already an arb on its own- so could come with a high gubbing risk! Taking that. Spread a few €5/€10 eways around on the 4 firms offering 80-1No form/hunch to go on this tip/nap. Purely a nap because its already a very good eway arb at 80/1.***** value as itstands👍👍👍👍👍
Could be a watch the markets and lay for value when it seems best type- due to unknown form+0
Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps..cont
24/03/20
(135) 300 Clonmel. De Bennette 33/1 **(paddy power/betfair sports)After yesterdays card- which offered little to no each way value races- todays opps are also pretty thin on the ground. Some value hopes lie in this 300 Clonmel hcp race- with most firms offering 1/5 odds 5 places (could well be good opps also with 365 – offering the standard 1/4 4 places) At the moment just the minimum required 16r are currently still entered. Hurdle race, so only small chance now of a nr or two bringing it down below 16r and to 4 places 1/5 odds—which shouldnt be too damaging/if at all – provided we get on an eway arb/value shot. On to the nap..
De Bennette 33/1. The only horse in the race who has registered a win! In its recent form guide (4/6 races) Very very poor race- With D Mullins horse Shantou Sisu very likely to go off a clear fav. De Bennete is a very inconsistent horse to say the least- but his one win came on simalar ground (heavy) and as an additional major plus -over same course and distance (2m)- as todays race. Also highest price it has gone off in last 4 starts is 18/1- so good chance -in such a poor race—that the 33/1 is not going to drift. Trainer James Grace has no recent form to go on- so a negative there- making me drop this nap from a *** to a **.Horse has just entered low liquidity eway arb range. So am posting this up now as it became IMO value. Would keep an eye on markets for any drift- but one I would expect to lay late- hopefully a good bit shorter than its current market prices🤔
+0
Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps.. cont
(136) 300 Clonmel. Quarry Lil 33/1* (:365) 4 places 1/4 odds
Same race as nap (135) this time using bet365 and their 1/4 odds 4 places for this race.
Actually missed out this one when stating DeBennete was only horse with a recent form winner. This one registered a win back in Sept/19 at same course. Was over longer trip (2m3) than todays 2m. Has not shown much at todays type of going (soft/heavy) and again the trainer -Paul O’Flynn- has no recent form to go on. Gone off at 28/1 and 16/1 in 2 starts this year- finishing down the list. Purley napping because 33/1 is laying as a small each way atm. And just 1* for me due to it offering few indications on form etc that it is way over priced. One to keep a good eye on in market moves/drifts/ and could well be one to lay early if drift starts to come.
Has just entered eway value range at 33/1- so posting now👍+0
Scanbas Bad Each Naps ..cont
24/03/20
(137) 300 Clonmel. ChorletteWells 20/1 *(365) 4 places 1/4 oddsSame race again as todays other two tips.
Still 16r in this race. Again here going for the odds on 365 and the 1/4 odds 4 places on offer there.
On to the nap- Chorlette Web 20/1. A maiden (no wins) but consistently plods into the top half of field. Which could be enough in this race to nick a frame spot. Regually runs in the soft/heavy ground at various distances- 2m-3m. Very unlikely to win on form – and trainer P Rothwell has a shocking carear win average of 3%! But all said and done its currently an eway arb – and is a plodding horse who might well get in the places. Tends to go off at high prices- so keep an eye on market for when to lay guide -as I doubt it will get that much shorter in the markets.+0
LOCKOUT period…
With all UK and now Irish racing all now in lockout phase..Naps will return when green light comes back on👍+0
You must be logged in to reply to this topic.
