Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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Scabs Naps…cont
08/06
(25) 230 Chelmsford- Calatrava 22/1 **- (Coral/hills/sbet)
Preety good each way value race. Liquity in markets very small atm so no clear indicators that these odds are very good value.- they are at least showing its around a small arb atm. But having studied the form have opted that it is a good value price none the less. Horse ran once back in october going off fancied at 5/1 in a 20 runner but only coming in 10th of 20. Two strongly fancied short prices in this field but of the other 9 runners only the tip and 1 other are not on debut. Also trainer Rob Hornby has had a good start since racing came back last week with 3 wins and 3 2nds from 19 runs- including 2 wins yesterday at Haydock. So signs of stable in form and possible extra money coming for Hornbys horses after yesterdays performances.
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I know there a lot lurkers following these naps. Just to let you know they will only be running for free for about another month- then Im leaving these shores and will be upgrading my subscribtion service set up- to make way for more people to recieve these naps and others to their devices via paid weekly/monthly subscribtions
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Naps cont…
08/06
1530 NAAS- Laredo 28/1 (Boyles/365) ***
Return of Irish Racing today. Difficult low level meet at Naas. Not much liquity in the markets atm but this is a small value each way race and the tip iscurrently a small each way arb with low liquity. Reason for 3 stars for Laredo is based mainly on the high pedigree he has- very exspenvive horse $280,000 from good stock- making his debut in this low quality 18 runner race. If hes as good as pedigree suggests and is ready to race then the small value already there could steam into a much shorter price.
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Quite possible that 28/1 went very quickly as my post went up. Which is why being on my subscribe list is better. As tips go to friends/subscribers first- then I post up quickly on here.
Often also a write up is in the process as I watch for enough market movement before sending the tip to subs and the detailed post on here at avaiable prices at that moment and ratings+0
Scabs naps cont…..
10/06
(26) 420 PONTEFRACT- BROOKLYN BOY 18/1 (HILLS) ** 4 PLACES EPR- 12R
Day off yesterday but back in action today. Kicking off tips with this one in this 4 places extra place race. Solid winning form on the all weather and return to Turf today. Will have no problem with staminia over todays tripof 1m 2. Tip already value at the 18-1 with 4 to place-and tends to off a lot shorter than the napped price. Already good value- may well go off a bit shorter than 18-1 in my book
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Cont….
10/06
(27) 420 PONTEFRACT- HARRY GEORGE 10-1 ***(LADS) 4 Place race (12r)
Extra place race. Already good value at price.3 wins from last 6 starts- 2 over todays mile. Normally goes off a lot shorter- hopefully will come in even more on exchange by the off
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10/06
(28) 350 PONTEFRACT- DOCTOR CROSS 28-1 * (HILLS) 4 PLACE RACE (11R)
Another EPRace. With hills paying 4 places 11+ runners. Value atm with 4 places paying. Steady enough plodding form in last 6 starts.Trainer not in great form and horse normally runs further distances than todays 1m4 hcap- so no great indicators that price will come in much more. Still overall value and horse hasnt gone off higher than 13.5 in last six starts- so not that likely to drift
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cont….
11/06
(29) 410 NEWBURY- LADY SANSA 10/1 **(BOYLES)
Busy day on the cards today with a lot of good value each way races. Kicking things of with this tip. Price a small each way arb atm. Positive factors are with most of the field on debut or with poor form (apart from oddson fav) the tip has a solid 3rd of 12 (running on well in 1m contest) behind her- so todays 1m2 shouldnt be problem. Also trainer R Beckett is flying atm- so good signs that form should be solid and market may follow the trainer.
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Cont….
12/06
(30) 540 CURRAGH ELUSIVE KING 14-1*** (CORAL/365)
4 Places1/4 odds 17r handicap. Simply a good value price atm. Form is solid also.
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CONT…
12/06
640 CURRAGH.MONARCH OF EYGPT 22-1 ***(HILLS) 4 PLACES EXTRA PLACE RACE- 11R
The big race of the day with big favourite SISKIN fancied to win the race. The tip has followed Siskin home in 2nd in 2 races last year over the shorter trip 6f (today 1m) The tip ran well in 3 big races before dipping in form later in the year. If in good shape Aiden O’Briens horse can be the sort to graft into a top 4 spot and if producing the 2 results where he finished within a length of Siskin then should be firmly in the picture. Unlikely to win but very capable of nicking a solid place arb or hopefully getting the dream 4th spot (for this offer/bet) Solid value price atm- expect it to nudge in more by off
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12/06
(32) 540 Curragh- Aronmore 25-1 *** (365/Coral) 1/4 4places 17r handicap
Quick tip puely on value. 25/1 with 4 places 1/4 odds is good value atm. Form steady enough to think it shouldnt be a drifter from current arb price
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12/06
(33) 830 NEWBURY- INHERHENT 9-1 **(365) 9R 3 PLACES
Some good quality horses in this race- one of which on pedigree at least is this Sir M Stoute horse having its debut today-the other three quallity horses have all had the benefit of runs behind them and all recorded a victory. The other 5 in the field are big outsiders- and its highly likely the top 4 in the betting will contesyt the top 3 spots. Some good tipsters are expecting a good run from Inherent today- and will most likely only have to beat one of the top 3 to lock in a good value place arb. Current 9-1 is good value- fair chance of coming in to even better value.
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12/06
(34) 540 Curragh- Jovan 16-1 ***(betfred/betway) 17r handicap- 5 PLACES PAID
Busy day today! a fair bit of good e/way value races about. Tipping this at Betfred/betway beacause of 1/5 odds 5 places offer- value to had with other firms at same price with 1/4 the odds 4 places. No time for a review- but it is consistent horse finishing in the places/top half of field in all last 6 starts. Good value atm
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Oh yeah just noticed that tip was for Corals/bet 365- Elusive King 14s- Thats a bloody shame it went off at 13/2. I was on it for a few bob in another firm- by time I got the post finished it was down to about 11/12s- so the 14-1 with 4 places was then the better value- rather than 11s or 12s with 5 places.so edited the price/firms in the post.. Dam shame..sorry man- would have been nice to boost up a few followers profits…The naps on there were flying off at great arbs/free shots today..sadly looks like they have all missed the frames/eps…one left..should win!!
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13/06
(35) 215 DONCASTER -PRESEDENTIAL 7-1** (HILLS) 4 PLACES- 11R
Kick off todays action in this 4 places race- 11r- Dropped in class today- Presedential is more than capable of running a big race in this lower level- and running off todays good mark based on form. Trainer Roger Fell has been in great form since the resumption- and interesting that of his two entries here- other one I fancy also Muntadab 10-1- His main jockey is booked on the nap (Ben Curtis) Atm is a small eway value arb- would rate it as a high chance of going off shorter price
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