Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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Scabs Naps cont…
(10) 1245 Yarmouth- Union 18-1 ***(/LADS/coral) 4 PLACE EPR
Day 3 since return. A steady value EPR to open up the days action with ok e/w value. Tips has entered e/w value/arb range. Consistent with a 2nd and a win last 2 starts. Up a from7f to 1m2 in trip at todays 1m2. Def top 4 chances and fancy it to go off a wee bit shorter than its current good arb value
That nap price more or less went as my post went up. But 16’s was still/is still avaiable- So will adjust Nap price to 16s
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Naps cont…
(11) 210 Kempton. Asiaf 33-1 (UNIBET) *
Small value bad each way race. Newcomer, so no form thoughts. Simply has edged into arb range hence the * nap.
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Thursday 4/06
(12) 135 Newcatle- ingeby command 50-1 (365)***
no time for write ups. Its a good value arb atm
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04/06
(13) 150 NEWMARKET- Bright Armour 33-1 **(365)
Newcomer so no form guide. Win is a striaght lay atm leaving ok place arb as it stands
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4/06
(14) 210 Newcastle- ROSA GOLD 66-1** (365)
Another newcomer. Sizable place arb atm
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04/06
210 Newcastle. Shes a belter 50-1 *** (888)
steady form for big price- too rushed for form write ups!- Big value right now at the 50-1
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Cont…
05/06
(16) 1255 Lingfield-Coco Bear 14-1 (hills) **
Quite simply an eway arb in this bad eway race. Newcomer/no form
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05/06
(19) 150 Newmarket- Recon mIssion 18-1 ***(PP/bfair) 11r 5 places EPR!
Monster offer of 5 places from both firms in this 11r race (10 must run for 5 places to stand) Win at 22.0 so a bit off but overall very good value with what will be a huge 5 place arb at current prices. Has finished down the list in recent high grade races but has a good over distance 1st/22 at york 5 starts ago so is capableon day of running a big race.big value atm!
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(20) 535 LINGFIELD- DARK REGARD 14-1** (LADS/BETFRED) 4 PLACES EPR
Pretty good value extra place race. The tip has 3 wins in big fields over distance in last 6 starts. So is no mug. Its has entered good overall eway value at 14s with those 2 frims offering the price and the 4 to place offer.
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That last tip was wrongly posted including Ladbrokes. Should be only at Betfred with 14-1 and 4 places. Ladbrokes 14-1 on the tip is ok value also- but on the 3 place market so post was inaccurate in that regard- will still stand by the tip as its good value with either firms different terms for the race- will be factoring in both the lads and betfred terms/offer in breakdown. Apologies..
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Scabs naps cont….
06/06
(21) 335 NEWMARKET- Witchita 11-1 *** (B365)
With Bet 365/BFAIR and PP paying 4 places 1/5. This is a golden value extra place race with the very short price favourite. The tip with good old Frankie Dettori on board currently excellent value at 11s.
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Scabbas naps cont…
07/06
(21) 335 NEWMARKET- Raffle Prize 11-1 *** (PP) 5 places 1/5
Paddy Power have by far the best offer today and it comes in this race with only them going above the other firms 4 places offers. Superb form over 6f but this is a stepup to 1m in this huge quality Guiness race . So not tipping on the form guide- just on the excellent current value of 11-1.
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07/06
(22) 335 NEWMARKET- Summer Romance 28-1 ***(PP) 5 Places 1/5
Same race as previous tip with big 5 place offer from PP. Another horse with quality form over the shorter 6f distance. Again for me no indicator of what may happen to the odds based on form guide but at the price atm it is great value at stand out 28-1.
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07/06
(23) 1255 Haydock- Spoirad 18/1** (hills) 4 Extra place race- 11 Runners for 4tp
Small value extra place race with a few firms at it current 11 runners. The tip at 18/1 is currently offering some value with the 4TPlace markets. Has a good record in last 6 starts with 3/5 wins coming over shorter distance than todays 1m2. Factoring in small market move/good record in last six and never going off higher than 9.8 in those 6 races this indicates to me that more likely to go even better value at tipped pricethan to drift out from current market value price
Was originally tipping at 20/1- but price cut to the now avaiable 18/1 as post goes up. So cut from 3/5 to a 2/5 rating nap
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07/06
(24) 445 NEWMARKET- Lincoln Bright 66-1 *(365) Bad each way race
Small each way value and the tip at the napped price is certainly good value atm. Newcomer- but bred to be solid. High calibre race, but could be good enough to get in the place mix.
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