Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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Naps cont….
18/06
410 R ASCOT- AMAYSMONT 50-1 ****(BET365) 5 PLACES 1/4 ODDS 23 R
Value with those terms and price atm.
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naps cont…
19/06
(65) 115 R ASCOT- MIGHTY SPIRIT 16-1 ***(PP/BFAIR/SKY) 1/5 6 PLACES- 23 R
PP/BFAIR/SKY def the firms to be going each way with in this opening race tomorrow- as they have the standout offer 6 places up for grabs- others mainly going 5 places 1/5. Getting this early bird nap in as this race has very little chance of dropping below the minimum16 runners for 6 places to stand. 4 big positives for me are..1- the most important, which is its a value price on current market prices- also ticks boxes with 2 the going forcast – Soft, and 3-distance (5f) having won his last race over same going/distance Likes to front run so the additional 4th potential positive is that he is drawn 23 of 23- giving him a chance to burst out and contend for the lead. Negatives are- 1 step up in level and 2- 1st time out since the return to racing at start of the month. Mixed thoughts on steam/drift potential- solid value now- so all in all I’ll give it 3*/5 value nap. Maybe lay the win early (even at small loss) and wait for place lay decisons nearer to the off.
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19/06
(66) 115 R ASCOT- DANCING OF INTEREST 9-1 **** (PP/BETFAIR) 6 PLACES 23 R
Same race and terms as nap 65- with again obvious resons in that its PP/BFAIR offering best price/terms- not Sky this time (price only 15/2 there). Mainly going on the def value its 9-1 price is at the minute. Also tipped up in a few places, and def likes cut in the ground/soft going. Not a great draw- bang in the middle 11/23- and I also think he may prefer further than 5f- but its a fine value price all said and done. Potential to be a big steamer or small drift in my book IMO.
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Lol- I need to go to specsavers! and prob Spellchecker as well. Nap 66s proper name is Dancing in The Street- No other Dancers in the race- Will be sticking on the old Bowie/Jagger classic if that steams in to bigger value and nicks the win/one of the extra places.
Often I rush to post up before price goes- so some bad grammer, the odd spelling mistake crops up! More so in the afternoon. Have more time in the day before/early morning to post up smoothe,r and often with more thoughts on the naps prospects etc.Its the value/math$ that count, not the english- thats for school teachers etc!Will most likely aim to get the vast majority of value naps in those time-frames going forward, as its easier for people on here to get on board then- And im a lot busier on other ‘bet’ related matters of my own and sending naps via devices to current group of followers etc througout the rest of the day= much more so now that the covid restrictions are finally easing down.
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Naps cont…
19/06
(67) R ASCOT- MAYSTAR 16-1 ** (BET365) 1/4 ODDS 4 PLACES 23 R
Tipped purely on the small each way value it is on the markets atm with that price and terms. Very consistent performer making handicap debut today. No insights myself on potentil steam/drift . Just a 2/5*
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Naps cont…
19/06
(68) 115 R ASCOT-NEVER DARK 14-1 *** (BET365) 1/4 ODDS 4 PLACES 20 R
Again same race and firm/terms. Slightly better value 3/5*. Very consistent over lowel level same trip. Prob best to take early win lay- and if it dosnt drift- will have a nice 4 place arb come nearer race time.
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Naps cont…
19/06
(69) 225 R ASCOT VENTURA TORENTA 33-1 ***(PP/BFAIR) 12 R 4 PLACES
Debutant horse, so no clues on form for potential performance- steam/drift possibilites. High value atm with 4 places paying so long as 11+ go off. Id lay the win early- for small loss if nessecary- and then will be in very nice 4 place arb territory as long as no/not much drift.
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Sorry..in the rush to post tip (67) Maystar 16-1. I forgot to add in the race time- 1.15.
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Naps cont….
20/06
Some early bird value naps for tomorrow at Royal Ascot…
(70) 150 R ASCOT – CREATIVE FORCE 8-1 ****(WHILL) 5 PLACES 1/5 16R
William Hill stand out firm- so focusing mainly on them in this race- other firms 4 places 1/5. Very good value race, and atm this is the best value shot in the 150 with Hills available. Quality horse with a good win over this trip (6F) a cuple of weeks. Should go well- value as it stands 4/5*
(71) 115 R ASCOT- DICKIEDOODA 16-1 *** (PP/BFAIR) 4 PLACES 1/5 19 R
Most firm offering the same extra place offer on this but PP have best price atm on the nap at 16-1. A big field with just 4 places to count- But value none the less atm- And I think he will be supported and competitive in the race.
(72) 115 R ASCOT- CAMPANELLE 17/2 *** (WHILL) 4 PLACES 1/5 19 R
115 again, with same place terms. Solid value atm- fancied by afew top tipsters and Frankie Dettori on board suggest it could go off bigger overall value than it already is.
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Naps…cont
20/06
(74) 335 R ASCOT- DREAM OF DREAMS 8-1 ***** (SKYBET) 10 R 1/5 4 PLACES
Special bonus place offfer from Sky- will stand if 9+ runners go off. Top quality horse- but questions mark over the likely soft going. High value as it stands- prob best to lay win off early- and wait for place lay till nearer the off.
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Cont….
(75) 335 R ASCOT- SHINE SO BRIGHT 14-1 **** (SKY) 4 PLACES 1/5 10 R
Same firm/offer as nap 74. Fancy this horse to give very good account. Its a great value price atm.5/5
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Cont…
20/06
(73) 1240 R ASCOT- NAHAAR 12-1 ***** (BET365) 1/4 5 PLACES 22 R
Good terms for th extra places and best priced odds available this nap- as short as 9-1 in other firms. Excellent value, on this horse who reeled off 4 short odds fav wins on the bounce last year- 3 at 7f and 1 at this races 6f. Had a warm up run two weeks ago and was a dissapointing 4th/8 at short odds- but at least hes had a run in the bag now. Could go for early win lay (unknown over softer going) and wait for what will be a very nice place arb come race time- unless there is of drift- which I doubt . 5/5 at current price/terms
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20/06
(76) 440 R ASCOT- IMPHAL 14/1 ** (BET365/) 10 R- 3 PLACES
No big clues on the form book for me. But am tipping on current price and expected solid place arb if theres no big drift and price remains simalar come near race time. Take early win lay and wait for place arb.
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Cont …
20/06
(77) 440 R ASCOT- ADDROSTAS 20/1 *** (LADS/365) 10R- 3 PLACES
Same princleple as nap 76. Take early win lay- and willhave decent place arb nearer race if no big drift.
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cont…
20/06
(78) 440 R ASCOT- NATE THE GREAT 7-1*** (BETVICTOR/UNIBET) 9 R -3 PLACES -1/5 ODDS
No great form indicators forme. But some place arb value- take early win lay- will have tidy place arb later if no big drift.
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