Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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Nap 78s price with Unibet was trimmed quickly to 13/2- Still 7-1 with Victor and also SKYBET
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cONT…
20/06
(79)115 R ASCOT-SANDS OF TIME 16-1***** (365/) 1/5 ODDS 4 PLACES 18 R
Solid arb value as it stands at 16-1 4 places.Actually think this at least hold value price come race time and perhaps nudge into higher arb value.
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20/06
(80) 410 R ASCOT- ANGEL ALEXANDER 20/1 *** (PP) 1/5 ODDS 6 PLACES – 22 R
Going with Paddy power for this nap with their stand 6 places offer- same price with some other firms. Small overall each way arb forme atm with 6 places to pay out. Capable of massive race at this distance- likes to be up with the lead/rails/front run sodraw of 23/23 will be an advantage I think. Finally back to 6f trip after 3/4 over shorter distances since recording a massive win last year in big race at AYR 1ST/24. Made a lot of dosh on him that day at Ayr- and will be chancing a cheeky e/w bet on him today unlaid- dont advise doing that to anyone!- take early win lay at levels/small loss- and will have 6 place arb value if he dosnt drift much.
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20/06
(81) 430 RIPON- ALL ABOUT CHARLEY 12-1** (BET365) 3 PLACES 10 R
Hasnt been a lot of value outside of Royal Ascot this week- and what value races there were have had very low liquidity in the markets. This is another one with very low liquidity atm- but has just enough liquidityand small value for me to nap it- at a ** star value rating- even a 1* nap is supposed to imply $ value so worth getting on always if possible. Bad race/ not much to go with the naps form-but some small e/w value for me as it stands. Early win lay fr levels/small loss the way Id advise here- with place value nearer race time if market win price holds/dosnt drift much.
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20/06
(82) 710 RIPON- MAGIC VOICE 20-1*** (BET365) 3 PLACES 12 R
Simalar to previous nap- in that its a low quality race-and low liquidity atm.Also no clues on the form book- dsnt look very good. But an early win lay for zero/minimal loss and leaving shot at very solid place arb if theres no significent drift come race nearer time is the advised play. 3/5* value
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21/06
(83) 545 LEOPARDSTOWN- CHARCOR 9-1*** (PP/BFAIR) 1/5 Odds 4 Places- 14 R
Extra place handicap- with best price on nap at PP/BFair atm. A solid early overall value place here with decent potential to go off shorter. Comes from top/in form Irish trainer Mrs J Harrington- very consistent horse with 6 top 4’s in last 6 races all over simalar distance to todays race and with simalar sized fields. Good chance to go off even better value and for sure very capable of being right in the mix for win/bonus 4 th place spot.
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21/06
(84) 315 REDCAR- GINGER FOX 12/1 ****(CORAL/LADS/BOYLES) 1/5 ODDS 4 PLACES 12R
No time for review- good value at 12s- 12 need to run for the bonus 4 place value. Very consitent horse- normally goes off much horter in simalar contests as todays one.
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21/06
(86) REDCAR 3-15- SHAWAAMEKH 14/1*** (VICTOR/BETFRED/LADS/CORAL/BETWAY/BOYLES) 4 PLACES 1/5 ODDS- 12 R
Another nap in the 315 Redcar. All 12 need to start for 4 places to count with the firms listed. Solid value atm- and very consistent horse who has always gone off way shorter than current price in a variety of cntests. 1st run for 8 months- but this lightly raced horse has run well in 1st starts in the last three years. 1st/15-2nd/11-3rd/10 respectivly- Trainer in decent form since resumption. Expect it go off shorter myself. 5/5* if all 12 run- 3/5* as it stands
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21/06
(87) 340 LEOPORDSTOWN- DANGER MONEY **40-1 (BET365/888) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES- 9R
VALUE AT 40’S- no time for review.
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21/06
(88) 545 Leopardstown – Settle for Bay 25/1 (ladbrokes) 1/5 odds 4 places- 13r
No time for indepth. Value as is stabds with 4 places up for grabs. Capable at higher level this horse- dropped in level here- could re produce old form here. 3/5*
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22/06
(89) ROSSCOMMON 2-00- TEED UP 16-1 ** (BET365) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES – 11R
Decent value atm in this poor quality race. Clear fav should win on form but rest have either very poor form or are on debut. Of those on debut the tip is one- comeing from a trainer – K CONDON- who is in pretty good form atm. Its a small value price atm- but with low liquidity in the markets- Would take the early win lay for no loss/minimal and if dosnt drift much will then be in decent place arb territory nearer race time.
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22/06
(90) 1245 THIRSK- ELIXISOFT 20/1 **- (LADS/CORAL/BOYLES) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES- 10 R
Ok value race- with Tip currently edging into ok value range. Clear favourite who should win- The nap could be one of the best of the rest on best form- with a return to best form- Lay win early- wait for place arb nearer off time.
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22/06
(91) 1245 THIRSK- CHRISTMAS NIGHT 25-1*** (BET365) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES 10 R
Same race as nap 90. Same reasons for backing- looking to lay win early for zero/minimal loss and chase would will be a solid/good place arb nearer the off- if theres no big drift. Is capable on his day of being in the mix- and rarely goes off at such high price in simalr contests.
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22/06
(92) 230 ROSSCOMMON 230- WALKABOUT 15/2**** (BET365) 1/4 ODDS 3 PLACES -13 R
More tipping this on its potenial win/arb value. A standout price atm with others as short as 9/2- should be suited by Good to Yielding going- Also heard on the grapevine that it is there to run a big race. Regardless of ‘inside whispers’ the price is solid value as it stands- expect it to go off shorter.
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22/06
(93) 200 ROSSCOMMON- ROYAL CASAMARTO 12/1**** (365) 1/5 ODDS 3 PLACES- 11R
Value race- poor form but so have most of them in this maiden race. Value as it stands 12/1
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