Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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July cont…
08/08 (7) 310 Ripon – Tombolo 7/1*****(hills/coral/365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
Excellent value atm.
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July cont…
08/08 (8) 710 Newbury- Mersin 13/2 *** (365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
Solid value atm.
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July cont…
(9) 710 Newbury- Catbird Seat 40/1 ***(victor/unibet) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
Marinal arb atm. Did enough for me on 1st run runout when finishing 6th behind todays short price fav to suggest could improve for that and be good enough to go off a bigger arb/and be in contention to nick a place at a nice place arb price
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July naps cont…
(10) 1225 York- Hartswood 7/1 (boyles/betfred)*** 1/5 odds 5 places 19r
Steady 5 place value price atm- excellent chance of going off shorter and winning.
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Cont…
09/08 335 Newmarket- Sunset Breeze 8/1 ***** (whill) 1/5 odds 5 places 17r
Great chance and great value atm with 5 places if 16+ eunners go off- currently 17r👍
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July naps cont…
(12) 10/07 Naval Crown 15/2 ** (boyles) 1/5 odds 3 places 10 run
Small Each value race. Fancy this stongly to run a big race-.already a value arb price- do it with boyles and get up to €20 fb if he comes 2nd to short price fav- which makes this a 4/5* nap- expect it to arb bigger👍
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July naps cont..
10/08 240 Market Rasen- Addrostas 16/1**(365) 1/4 4 places 17r
Solid value atm if 16+ go off. Very capable horse who ticks all the boxes for me- quality/distance/going. Hasnt had a run yet this term- pulled out of a race at Ascot a couple of weeks back- if fit a big chance- and likely to off shorter in my bookl
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July naps cont…
(14) 11/07. 335 Newmarket- Equalatrel 25/1**** (biyles/bet365) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
Excellent overall value with 4 places if 12+ run. Good form but stepping up in class- could well have enough to contend for the golden 4th place spot at a solid arb price.
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July maps cont…
11/07 410 Newmarket – Vale Of Kent*** 16/1 (unibet) 1/5 odds 5 places 18r
Pretty good extra place hcap race. VOK a good quality consistent place horse over todays 7f distance- may wont it a little firmer than current official Soft going. But good value atm and with Dettori on board more chance of it shortening in price rather than drifting.
Also avaible same price with 365 but with 1/4 odds 4 places- im going with the better 1/5 5 places with Unibet👍
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July naps conf…
11/07 150 Ascot- Landue 16/1 **** (pp/victor/hills) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
Steady performer- excellent value (best with Pp as they pay 4 places if it drops to 11r) good contender for bonus 4th spot at decent overall arb price👍
+0CHeers for flagging the value in the 15:35 Scab. Lord of the Lodge at 125/1 (B365) is also good value although my stakes are small
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No worries mate- vale of kent 16/1 was my big arb of the day..off at about 11/3.25 on the win 4 places..died on the run in and missed out sadly..
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July naps cont…
Been really busy lately with my own sharbing and posting daily naps to current subscribers direct to their devices. Have reduced the naps on this free thread a fair bit..but will continue to post the odd few when I have time…
(17) 15/07- 715 Kempton-Minesteral 28/1 (gills/pp/bfred/365) ** 1/5 odds 3 places 12r
Good value each way race- not enough money in the markets yet to get a locked in arb. So am speculating that the 28/1 on this Roger Charlton horse will go off as a good value ew arb. Outside of the top 2 it looks to me to the best of the rest of field on paper/value
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July naps cont…
(18) 15/07 – 1200 Yarmouth- Sacre Bleau 14/1 (365) **** 1/5 odds 3 places 11r
Ok value race- tip has one run behind him a steady debut 6th/8- may well come on for that run and top jockey S de Souza on board an added bonus- value atm on the markets- may well go off shorter or at least maintain arb value.
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July naps cont…
(19) 16/07 – 715 Lepordstown- Dendrobium ** 40/1 (pp/hills/sky) others… 1/5 odds 3 places 11r
Good value each way with red hot fav at about 1.25 atm. 2nd fav ok form the rest have pretty shambolic form. Siding with this tip as the best of the outsiders as went off a lot shorter than the other 8 runners on his 1 start and his trainer J Stack is in good form recently. Enough for me in the market and based on my own knowledge of markets/prices to suggest the 40/1 is at least a solid each way value price if not a very good one. Speculation nap value price 2/5
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