Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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July naps cont..
(20) 16/07 350 Uttoxetter- No Cruise Yet 10/1 (betfred) 1/5 odds 4 places 13t
Decent Value extra place Race with FRED going 4 places 12+ run. Solid value atm at 10s and a steady performing horse likely to plod in an around the golden 4 th place bonus spot. 3/5
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July naps cont…
(21) 17/07 605 Leicester -Ring of Gold 66/1 *** (lads)
Good each way value race- speculation nap as markets still weak. Enough in there for me to call that a value price- outside the top 2 the form on rest is very bad- so this newcomer may well be the one to go off bug value and nick a 3rd begind the short price top 2 in the betting.
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Cont…
(22) 17/07 605 leicstet- valletta sunset*** 66/1 (lads)
Same race- this one has a run behind him and shud go off a value price in my book.
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July naps cont..
(22) 18/07
615 Curragh- Romantic propasal 11/1 ****( pp) 1/5 odds 5 places 17rEarly bird nap for tomorrows hcap at the curragh. Quality performer last season- and my buddy and Irish racing insiderThe Dapper Napper is reliably informed that the horse is in tip top shape following his 6th place run out a week or so ago. Already a top value price- expect it to off a fair bit shorter and run a very big race👍👍👍👍
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July naps cont
18/07
(23) 415 Curragh- Colour Sergant 11/2 (365) *** 3 places 1/5 9
Solid eway value race. Bit of value at 11/2 atm- The Dapper Napper informs me that this horse is well regarded and will come on for its one run 3rd of 5- when it was expected to romp that race- A lot better horse on paper than the 11/2 price in this race. Hopefully ready to show quality today. Lay late👍
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July cont..
(24) 410 York- Musicka 12/1 ***(unibet) 1/5 odds 5 places 19r
Steady value atm. Consistent horse who should appreciate trip/going- Rarely runs a stinker and the sort to be in and around the bonus 5th spot/good place arb.
Also avaiable bet365 1/4 odds 4 places..im going with the 5tp 1/5👍
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July cont.. 2 naps same horse/ race
(25) 655 haydock – lucan 20/1 (365****) 1/4 odds 3 places 13 r
(26) 655 haydock – lucan 16/1 ***(pp- others) 1/5 idds 4 places 13 r
Expect this to go offer much shorter and be firmly in the mix- overpriced in my book in this value handicap/Epr
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Speculation nap with PPs 16/1 and tje the 1/5 odds 4 places. Rock solid arb already with 365s Monster 20/1 and terms👍👍
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Comt..
(27) 415 curragh – Hms Seahorse 20/1 (365) 1/5 odds 3 places 9r ****
Straight up value price atm
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Kuly naps cont…
(28) 20/07 400 Gowran Park- Riqaaby 14/1 (365/SBet) *** 1/5 odds 3 places 9 r
Good value each way race with fav around 1.45. Tip may well be the pick on pedigree of the many newcomers in the race- value at current price- solid potential to go off a bit shorter also.
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July cont..
(30) 20/07 400 Gowran Park. Black Spice 25/1** (whill/victor/boyles/fred/365)
Same value race as tip 29. This one has had a run-9th of 12- Good value price atm. I didnt think much of its previous run so would advise laying the win early (even at small win loss) and lay the place nearer the off- dont have confidence it will shorten- but its value at 25/1 is there in markets atm.
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Did alright on that 400 gowran. Aljadady at 14s came in nice enough for a tidy 1.5 place arb 3rd and caught the dip on James Hogan at 25s ..2nd 2.8 place arb..Lost a bit on drifter Black Spice though( wont be tipping any more horses that i dont think have a chance of win/placing or coming in more in price..just because they sneak into small arb/low liquid territory..The Dapper Napper said it was a tosh horse🙃😀
TDN rates Monopoly 9-1 best price atm as a live chance in the other Bad eway 645 ballinrobe..but atm that price is un tippable in the markets🙃+0
July naps cont…
21/07
(31) 140 Chepstow- Beakeland 33/1** (b365) 1/5 odds 3 places.Good value eway race-. Very low liquidity in the markets atm So a bit of a speculation nap at 33/1 atm on this M Applebly debut horse. Due to very poor overall quality of horses in race- I wouldnt expect an Applebly trained horse to go off any higher than the 33s- more expect it come in to better value in the exchange markets come race time.
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July cont..
21/07
(32) 140 Chepstow- Shara 13/2***** (365) 1/5 odds 3 places 10rSame race as previous tip. This one has a poor run behind him but markets already offering good arb value. No clues on potential drift/steam for me. Lay win early👍
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July cont….
23/07(33) Limerick 615- Internal Transfer 7/1 (bet victor)***
1/4 odds 3 places 14rGood horse last season. This tip coming in from inside man/buddy The Dapper Napper. Who informs me this horse is ready to roll and their to win👍 Poor liquidity atm and inly a slim eway value hcap race. But going with TDN’s inside knowledge that 7s is an excellent price on him.
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