Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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October naps 09/10
(40) 210 Chepstow- Thyme White 6-1 (Unibet/Hills) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
Fancy this to go off shorter and be bang in the shake up. Expect it to be excellent value by off with 6-1 and 4 places extra value. 4.5/5*
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October naps 09/10
(41) 145 Downpatrick- Stormy Judge 9/2 (10bet/sky/hills/victor/PP/fred/boyles) 1/5 odds 3 places 10r
Good e/way value at 9/2 (my shortest e/way nap price) Expect it to shorten- should be able to get big stakes on this with 7 firms quoted. 4.5/5*
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October naps 09/10
(42) 205 York- Young Fire 28-1 (PP) 1/5 Odds 6 places 20r
Speculating a bit on this one. But fancy 28-1 will be excellent e/way value with the 6 places on offer with Paddies. 3.5/5*
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Cheers Wiser- Really wanted to catch Makasada at 33s with the 4 places offer. But at time I posted sky had chopped it to 28s and 33s with 1/4 odds 3 places was the better option then. 20-1 now best price avaiable!
On current markets if can get win laid of for 0 loss. Then its about a 33% profit expectaion nap if 12+ run and no place price drift+0
October naps 09/10
(44) 210 Chepstow- Olympic Honour 16-1 (Hills/Unibet/Sky) 1/5 odds 4 places 13r
Excellent hurdles form last year (way overpriced on that form) and has had benefit of a recent warm up over the flat so should be match fit. Great value with 4 places . 5/5*
Error there- missed spotting an earlier NR- So just 12 entered now. Hurdles race so hopefully no non starters etc. Would rate it a 4/5* nap now with the risk of a NR cutting it down to 1/5 odds 3 places which I still believe will be good value none the less (why I napped it!)
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October naps 09/10
(45) 150 Newmarket- Atlias Bay 10-1 (Hills) 1/5 odds 4 places 11r
Another in this Hills 4 places race (as long as 10+run) Won his last 3 races (1 over todays 5f) So must be in with a serious chance of being in the shake up + every chance of punters support. 4*
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October naps 09/10
(46) 345 York- Illusionist 10-1 (365) 1/4 odds 4 places 18 r
Tipping purely on e/w price value atm. Solid enough for me with 1/4 odds 4 places.4/5*
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WH are allowing me big stakes in the 13:50 Newmarket just for people’s attention. Like £25 EW on a 16-1 shot. Which is weird.
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October 09/10
(47) 425 Chepstow- Numbers Man 8-1 (365/Shy/888/Unibet)
1/5 odds 3 places 10rLike this name! (What I am!) But am not napping it on name but on current e/way value IMO. 4 firms- should be able to lump on for way over £25 e/way average. 4.5/5*
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Nice one Enigma!- hopefully you boshed a couple of £25 e/ways (my average breakdown stakes!) on my 2 e/w naps and they do the arb buis/nick a 4 place scalp.
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October 09/10
(48) Horse Racing e/way nap
210 Chepstow- Langer Dan 16-1 (Sky bet) 1/5 odds 4 places 12rAnother 1 in this place. SKY only req 10+r for the 4ps. Won 1st 2 starts last year over similar 2m trips and likes the soft- G/S today. Should shorten- solid with 4 places atm IMO. 3.5/5*
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May have more e/w naps later- esp at Dundlak where my old buddy and co conspirator The Dapper Napper (not much from him recently as hes had a few other things on his plates) has a few there on his radar/grapevines at his local trackThumbs up
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October naps 09/10
(49) 350 Chepstow- Mini Crest 11-1 (Sky bet) top 3 finsh/Place
9 runnersValue atm. Will record as £25 place only for breakdowns. Prob only be able to get £5-£10 on it but an arbs an arb/value. 5/5*
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October naps 09/10
(50) Horse Racing e/way nap
345 York- Millita 25-1 (365) 1/4 odds 4 places 18rOnce more into the value breach we go- Some e/way value here on a horse that looks fairly low in the weights at 8-12. At 1/4 odds 4 places- may be able to nick a 1pt+ place arb. 3.5/5*
+0Hi Scabba been following you all day and you must be exhausted posting all those tips on here and on Twitter!
I am only a novice at Bad Each-Way bets and i understand that you’re betting £25 e/w at the bookies but not sure how you get these profits?
Could you explain in simple terms just to clarify please?
1/ Are you laying Win and Place at Betfair separately?
2/ If so how much do you lay on each win & place, and how do you calculate this?
3/Do you use Betfair Starting Prices or just normal Betfair Win & Lay prices?
4/ Are you just laying the Win and letting the Place run?
I try and Lock in Profits using the Each-Way Calculator on this site but not sure if this is the best way to maximise the profit for all the Naps you post?
Sorry if I’m missing the obvious here but would love to make the daily profits you quote!
Cheers!+0
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