WH – Richard Johnson Treble (Thursday 11 Feb)

  • Hills have various enhanced doubles/trebles each day and usually they are not worth looking into. Today, however, they have a Richard Johnson treble (under Horse Racing > Specials on the app) priced at 7.5

    This treble is for 3 of his rides at Doncaster today all TO BE PLACED (not to win!):

    13:45 – Chase End Charlie (1.65)
    14:20 – Bantam (1.23)
    14:55 – Deadly Approach (2.04)

    Using sequential laying at these prices, all from the “To be Placed” market on Betfair, you can take a risk free shot at a profit of £61.83 (from a £20 initial stake).

    Maths:
    Bet £20 on the treble at Hills – returns £150

    Lay £21.05 at 1.65 – liability £13.89
    Lay £35.67 at 1.23 – liability £8.20
    Lay £44.31 at 2.04 – liability £46.08

    So, if all 3 do indeed place, then you are left with:

    £150 – 20 – 13.89 – 8.20 – 46.08 = £61.83 🙂

    As soon as one does not place, stop laying and break even, losing nothing.

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    patrick
    Blocked
    6

    Looks like this offer has been pulled as soon as Matt put it on the blog.
    Corals must be looking at this site

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    FoG_BLoG 47

    Honestly patrick? The offer is on will hill and it is still showing for me.

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    Pavlon 3

    No, it’s still there. WillHill

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    Daniel B 0

    I just managed to place another bet of 30 on it. That makes 50 total after my first bet of 20. Didn’t think it would allow me but did it no problem :/ 🙂

    +0
    Tony S 6

    Allower this!… Punting the first two races like

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    Tony 12

    Blog post seems to have driven lay price up, haha!!

    How can a horse that is joint favourite be LESS likely to place than the 3rd favourite (which is what you would be led to believe if you just went by the odds on BF just now)

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    Tony S 6

    You’ll be better off laying it to win at this rate ?

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    silverbirch 0

    That is great insight tony

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    Ice Magic 3

    Erm the offer is still there but I cannot place a bet on it. Says the event has already started

    They must have pulled it

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    Drogs 0

    No longer available- gutted. It says the event has already started… good luck everyone!

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    Pavlon 3

    Sorry you chaps can’t get on it. I’ve got £50 on it. If I don’t overlay the third race, and all three come in, it’s £231 profit for nil risk… That said, I’m thinking I might overlay the final race….and the odds will no doubt drift big.

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    Tony 12

    Yeah, fingers cross for all those who got onboard 😉

    Only £20 here as I worry that lumping big bucks on it will be a bit of a red flag tbh, espacially after the blog post.

    Can someone post the results up as soon as the first race is in please? Would appreciate it

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    silverbirch 0

    If anyone has placed any lay money on BF, you can set up the app to send notifications of results as soon as a race finishes. So my phone buzzes and tells me the top 3 horses

    EDIT: same goes for Bet365 – find the event and tell it to notify you of the result. You don’t need to bet money on

    +0
    Pavlon 3

    Tony – if this comes in, I’m getting the train up to Newcastle to buy you a beer.

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    Tony S 6

    That’ll eat into ya profits that mind pav?… Am sure tony will be just as happy for you to post the cash like ?

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