Wimbledon 2017 thread

  • Here is a good place to discuss Wimbledon and any bets people find with the offers Matt put on. Just a little fact from last years men’s tournament.

    27/127 matches went to a 5th set as a result I would say it’s around a 1/10 chance of hitting a free bet from the offer money back if your player loses in the 5th. These can be better if betting on tighter matches so my strategy is I will be going for this offer with any QL up to a pound.

    The paddy power 2 up offer hit 6/127 matches last year. This probably has a similar or maybe slightly better win rate than the 2 up offer they ran last season for footy but not got the stats for them. If QL are less than 1 percent of stake then this seems worth a go for a big win.

    Just some stats that show a steady income could be made over the next couple of weeks.

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    tavbet 0

    Ladbroke 1st set refund – 1st match on Centre Court each day. Bet £10 on the 1st set correct score and if it loses get £10 free bet for any sport.
    Not sure how to play this as the market on Betfair for this bet is negligible.

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    bbobb 24

    I’ve been punting the Ladbrokes refund offer….they have been doing it every day.

    Yet to hit :-(

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    El chico 1

    Hit the laddies one at Queens and won 50 quid. Will be punting this as basically a 2 pound stake to potentially return high.

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    orlandosteve 2

    Fog I I to win in 5 1.67/1.68 Coral/Smarkets

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    bbobb 24

    Wrong again today in the Laddies offer… went for 6-4 :-(

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    bbobb 24

    Anyone got a good strategy for the Betbright 25% back offer on losses?

    I’m thinking underlaying increasing sized bets on outsiders.

    Profit if one comes in then stop… all 3 lose then you get 25% back of total staked.

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    silent-devil 2

    Mr green Wimbledon offer ends at midnight tonight, usual bookie rubbish l, advertise promo for 16 days and end it after 3 days

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    bbobb 24

    Backed 3 outsiders today on the Betbright cashback offer.

    They all won….made a small profit underlaying but nearly emptied an exchange account.

    Need a new tactic for tomorrow.

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    cosmos 6

    Check your emails if you’ve got a Marathon account. Got a bet 3 x £10 get a £10 free bet offer today but it’s invitation only.

    Haven’t even got the free bet yet and I’m already in profit as their odds were so good.

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    feltt1p 7

    Bah, no more Mr Green or Betfred £10 fb a day, will have to start the gauntlet of 5th set bets.

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    feltt1p 7

    Just a thought for those that don’t like QL and prefer risk-free, probably not for you high rollers and hopefully just some advice. These double winnings if 5th set or money back if lose can be easily made risk free through laying your QL on the outcome you want in set betting. So Sam Querry to win in 5 sets at Coral = double winnings, lets say your QL is £2.5 for potential £50fb, to lay 3-2 to Querry is at 8, so £2.5 has a liability of £17.50 making it a risk free shot at roughly £22 once extraction is taken into account. Can also guarantee cash through this by laying more.

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    orlandosteve 2

    I always Dutch the offers. For example I have backed Thiem with Boyle and Dabble and Berdych with Coral and Bruce. This gives me 3 possible outcomes that would qualify for a FB for a qualyfying loss of £4. Jus be aware that if your risk averse different retirement rules could cost you.

    Other games today that have potential (in my opinion) for FB’s and are worth ditching:- Queery V Anderson and Raonic V Zverev.

    *edit* ditching-lol!

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    fuman 0

    Don’t think anyone’s mentioned but myclub have £30 refund on 5th set looser, rules match so fine to lay at Bf/Smarkets.

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    bbobb 24

    Finally hit one of the Ladbrokes first set (punting it) refund offers today after missing by 1 game every match last week.

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    A10 1

    Nice win in the tie break by Anderson means a 5th set ?

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