Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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I had Stuccodor and Fiscal Space in the 1.40. Later came in for some decent profit but lost a bit on the win parts on both horses so ended up only about £40 up.
Tried a couple of William Hill Black Friday boosts but max stakes of £10 for me so didnt bother with any of them.
Skipping the horses tomorrow but hopefully some money to be won on 4 Means More.
+0£10 is the max max. Still some money to be made from quite a few, although it’s a lot of hassle.
+0Fog – 90% of time underlay….. meaning if i have £100ew on a horse and can only lay £95 on a win still lay just £100 on place… i dont have a no risk at all approach or guarentee money… quite often i can take £40 to £50 losses i races just on commission alone and taking small losses on the wins but they are more calculated gambles because by having a number of horses more chance of hitting winner and not paying commission at all!
My income is bad ew races and the 16 runner hcaps… been hitting short price places say a 5/2 shot place laying at 1.3… getting around £500ew on like to lay £470 on win and £530 on place… again risk £40 on commission on bfair but a great chance of 20% of £500 on place but also chance of more if wins… hit a few winners like that. If i can take £30 gtd and leave £60 if places £30 if unplaved i will do that…
Today been a shocker thou… more like Fri 13th … £185 down but the good days outweigh the bad taking the risks that i do.
Often only 80% laybthe place if been heavily backed on exchanges too
+0Thanks supert. Some good info.
+0Forgot to add…. been hitting extra place races this month hard with b365/Coral/Fred…. never going for the extra place jpot just laying say on 4tbp tab when race is 3 places usually… usually over 1pt arb… B365 are insane the amount of extra places they offer at 1/4 odds too!
+0Also im not claiming i make over £5k month in month out… this is just an exceptional month … usually ave around £2k to £3k… although August i did hit £6k … only because made £3k in one race where had £150ew on dark red at 18/1 and the result was amended so won both the bookie bet and exchange win lay!
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I’m making a ton at the moment with extra place races… Part laying the places and fully laying the win (75% when I place bet on a match and the rest trying to get an arb or a BOG bonus if it drifts).
Worse case scenario is that you can lose £50-£100 on a race betting 4 or 5 horses in a race 13 horse race over a few accounts. Last couple of races I’ve made about £200 (my stakes are ton win about 800 as anything above gets referred to trader).
Ideally you are looking for as high a price you can get with the lowest QL, if you fully lay you are risking about £7 to win £140. It has been calculated that acording to the exchange every horse has an equal chance of finishing 4th so you are getting effective odds of 20-1 on a12-1 shot.
+0Not much today out there for a Saturday. I’m finding my best value on the 14.25 at Haydock. But that value will be ruined by a single non runner.
+0Looks like abit of value possibly in the 12:35 Gowran Park, risky 8 runners though. Nibbled Wings Like Arion 100/1.
+0Why ruined by a NR Fog?
SkyBet 6 places is 14+, there are currently 16
BF Edge is excellent on the 14:25 if anyone can get bets on
+0Oh. There’s no EW Edge on the 14:25. Might take the day off…
+02nd. Good start to today.
+01305 Navan.
Get stuck in boys. Nom nom nom.
+0Looks good, expecting some big gaps in win odds though.
Taken Good Thyne Tara 13.0, Creation 41.0 for now.Tycoon Prince 8.0 in the 2.05 too.
+0Took those two as well also added Turbojet @ 51
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