Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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Yeah just take the drifts on the chin Deej. I do a lot of my own bets/naps fairly late when the markets and liquity is moving stronger so dont get to many drifters. But for sure have some go against me -and used to dive in too much when i saw a small arb that was arbing but only with €5 or less in the actual liquity. so I avoid those now and wait to see a reasonable chunk in the marketexchange prices (dunno what this number is 🤔but at least closer to my own bet size then just a few random €s)
+0Cool. I think I’m getting there.
So at the moment I see a few arbs on the each way tab in the 14.00 Ludlow. But not a huge amount of liquidity yet and certainly no matches good enough to cover the win.
So just leave it and keep watching I’m assuming? Until I can get a point where I can cover the win?
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Looks a good race that 200 Ludlow. Sadly im too busy till mid afternoon with other stuff to get involved with the early races.
All i can add is that many times you dont get to cover the win on an eway arb (i think a lot of people are so/too carefull that they wont get in until not only is it an ew arb but also the win part of bet is as good as covered on the lay) How/when you get in is up to you- anytime its ew arbing is good enough for me regardless of how close the win part is. If you/anyone is desperate to make sure(as good as) that there is 0 loss- then you can lay the negative win part of bet off as close as odds will permit to bet stakes- and then overlay the positive place bet to the point where your liabilites are balanced out.Thats as much as I can add- Theres very often a little bit of calculated risk when getting on (unless you wait very patiently for the rare stone cold locked in prof/lay off straight away win and place arb) Just get in at stakes you can afford when something is ew arbing (weather thats visable on ew tab/or u calculated the win/place odds yourself) and lay off when u want/can/how👍
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Ill use another Poker reference to sum my own thoughts. Just get your chips in at stakes you can afford when u know you have the best hand at that point ie aces in the hole.. and hopefully they hold up and go on to win a nice pot.. in the long run they will make a profit..alternatively you can play ultra tight and wait for that rare moment that you can check to the river with the stone cold nutz and put all your chips in then🤔
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Pretty bleak today the only race that looked has already dropped to the cut off 8r- the 515 Newbury. 310 cheletenham 5 places 17 r might be worth a few shots🤔
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600 newcastle 9r may also offer some scrappage
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1.40 Newbury looks ok to me 👍🏻
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Could be very small value in there Andy. But a few too many runners and too many mid range prices- will be a small arb at best i fear in there.
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Only bet365 offering a few crumbs of value atm- every where else bang on at best.
Shadow Glen at 40-1 365 offering a few scraps of value atm- but maybe too small a value shot to damage a 365 account🤔+0
You can see the small difference between win odds 9.0 on the 2nd fav and its eway odds 8.0. Only a pt difference – this suggests its a minimal value race at best- but odds/dynamics could change nearer to show price time
+0Looking at lost empire in the 1.40 at 15 but got distracted at work and it’s been cut now. Yeah not looking as good I was first thought. Worth a check nearer the off.
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Yeah nothing came of it really in value- fav drifted a fair bit. Had whisper not for a fair bit in some pps as it was 7/1- 0 loss on ew for free shots at mb2/3/4 fav. And it ended up a massive arb- but came nowhere 🙃
Got plenty of value shots in this 310 on a few 20/1* shots🤞🏻
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🤞🏻 Back on the lash(will be if it wins/5th) big arb at 22s and 20s
+0Scabba 5th place Back on the Lash 👏 👏 👏
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