Bad EW Races NO CHAT
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Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?
+0April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm
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Nothing today, Sad Saturday! hope the new strategy works, will you be trading out if the price drifts drastically?
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Cheers Tony👍 Normally just wait always till last minute for any laying- weather drifting or not. But sometimes if I have 2 or more big prices and at least 1 is monstering in- I may consider laying off other/s if the drift signs are coming in them as a consequence of the monster steam- as can be quite rare more than 1 big high price steamer in a poor race like that Thules 1. Actually did both continue to monstef in right up to the off today😄🙃
Did you not catch anything un that tasty 5 place EPR 440 today. Pp were so tight pre show and cutting so fast (they know when they have gone to far with their epr specials) that i couldnt get a post up in time as prices were changing to fast after show. I squeezed an ok few bob out of it- was a monster epr on paper but proved tricky to capitalise on
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Morning anyone👍
Challenging card today at Downpatrick. 3 5 place Sky EPRs 16r+ which i think will be like trying find a needle in a haystack🙃🤔 But a potential monster 440 race- with the shortest fav (currently 1.17) in an 8r+ race ive seen in some time (13r) with a star or two off the ranking for being an low liquid Irish race- jm still happy to give that 7/10
A beady eye or two will also be kept on the 210- currently about 0.5/10 on the rankings for me.
Task today- one monsterish arb and one decent arb🤞🏻👍+0Morning Scabba, that 16.40 is crazy after that NR. Problem is fav is so short going to struggle to get a win part layed.
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Dont worry(like most others) if you cant lay the win part Andy. If its an overall eway arb- then simply lay what is possible on the win part at the ‘bad ofds’ and compansate the lost part of the win lay with an over lay on what should be a massive place arb- for those wanting to balance the books.
Ive heard too many times in the past many ‘experienced’ people🙃 on here saying ‘i cant back that eway arb- the win lay is miles off’ do me a favour😄
If its an each way arb- then get on- and calculate yours lay offs accordingly👍Just tipped 2 potential high value naps/arbs in that race on scabbs naps(one was over an hour ago-so prob gone)
‘When your chewing on lifes gristle- don’t grumble give a whistle- And this will help things turn out for the best’
All together now…(wanna hear those whistles!)Always look on the bright side of life- Monty Python- Life If Brian
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I think im in line for a knighthood (not that id ever want one) for free services/advice/tips given to this website/forums🙃😇
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Which may end up being downgraded to a OBEw(Order of the bet eachway empire) for too much rambling in between the good stuff🤔
Arise Sir Scabba of Arbalot🤔
+0Got on Oscar Thyne and Largy Princess earlier, got a little bit of form between them.
Missed the big price on Fidji Emery, knew that would come in being an Elliot/Giggins horse even though it’s done nothing.
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Good stuff mate👍
Aye those two have tidy enough form in such a bad quality race. Got a feeling 1.25 on the fav is far too short- surely that wont come in further😬 (who in their right mind would lump on those odds on a one race 3/11 winner in a 13r race🤔 already small drift from early doors incredibly short 1.17. Eould expect that to probably win but perhaps more in the 1.3/1.4 + price range🤔 So would expect a good few of the big prices(and hopefully your two) to shorten a decent bit+0
Should read ‘one race 3rd of 11 favourite..🙃
+0Crazy price on the fav in a 13r race on an unproven horse, like you say nobody going to be taking that so you’d expect the bookies to start increasing if no money is coming for it, which will hopefully bring ours in 😀
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Aye👍🤞🏻
Refering back to the ‘cant back it win odds are too far off’ that you mentioned (and has been brought up many times previously in this thread) Not that many eway arbs backed at bookies price are going have the win part of the lay off readilly avaible on exchange there and then- Leaving a nice cushy posistion as to when/how to lay off the place arb. I use a poker analogy for this type of arb hunter- as a player hoping to check his hand down to the river and then bosh all his/her chips when he/she catches the stone cold ‘Nutz’ hand. A cagey and safe way to approach this caper -but will mean missing out on a good deal of the overall good value eway arbs that pop up day in day out.
‘You see its like a finger pointing away to the moon (head slap) Dont concentrate on the finger or you will miss all the heavenly glory(arbs)
Bruce Lee to young apprentice- ‘Enter The Dragon’ 1973
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Anyway other stuff to do now. Will leave the naps on here as the 2 I posted on Scabbas Naps. High chance of more coming into range as race gets closer unless fav does amazingly shortens more.
Aimed for two tips- one monsterish/one decent. Hopefully Kempstone and Fields Emery both at 50/1- will hit the goals- and of course unlike my last 5/6 monster/tasty arbs actually hit the frame🤞🏻👍
Will tune back in near race time- good hunting👍+0
One nap for the road (couldnt help myself) on Scabs naps. Low liquidity like the others (all early bird irish stuff) but moved into good arb range already🤔
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Hold fire on nap 3- fougo 80/1-100/1- I laid off a few bits an pieces on it myself and now the eway/place arb value has been eaten up🙃😀
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