Scabbas Bad Each Way Naps
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Posting here, daily whenever possible, naps I spot when they are each way arbing throughout the day. With ranking system from 1-5 stars.
Feel free to post anything on this thread regarding them/queries👍+3October 14, 2019 at 8:57 pm
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August naps cont…
10/08
(32) 815 Ballinrobe -Mahels Dollar 6/1 (888/365/sky/unibet/others) 1/5 odds 3 places 12 r
Small value atm. But The Dapper Napper likes this one and reckons a fair bit of support will come looked promising on debut 3rd /12 so all that being said am willing to nap thisup as a 4/5
+1Yes thanks for the guidance on the boxing , I got it on early doors (Ball)with B Sportsbook ! Will see how it plays out and work out the best move during in play. Good to try other avenues apart from just the Horses although they are in abundance all year round.
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Blimey I cant even leave my email address for people to chat with,,, will have to read the rules book througherly….funny thing is on another website i am constantly refering people to come over and check this website out in full which they have done…and that site dosnt have any problems with that…
Cool Frank the odds on that Boxing tip got cut by PP to 5/4! this morning…a big cut…can already back the opponent now and the draw for a small arbitage lock in…which i guess shows the 21/10 was overpriced on Ball
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Am currently in the process my own small website which will attract a fair bit of traffic.. which will be leaving direct links to this website…seems harsh that I cant leave even an email address on here…what about a phone number? or maybe the name of a local cafe to come out and meet for a cup of coffee and a chat about the races/football? Or how about anyone who reports a post leaving me their address and I’ll come and meet them for a brew/chin wag etc
That email address I left…please only contact me on it if you fancy a friendly chin wag about sports/life etc…Im a bit lonely atm because of the covid stuff and just trying make a few new pals and chat about races….I know we have this wonderful site for that chit chat stuff but word is that the bookies are lurking in on some of the valuable info…so maybe a bit of stealth here n there might be good also via the odd email etc
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Frank if you want a guarnteed free ride on that boxing bet (assuming you had £50 on Ball 21/10) With the updated odds now available simply back..
Ball already £50 21/10- Return £155
Shannon £75 win 4/5 (Betway)- Return $135
Draw £10 AT 14/1 (Fred) return £154Free pop at Ball winning or the Draw for a £20 nick- Levels if Shannon wins..
‘The art of gambling widout gambling’ As Bruce Lee would more or less once say
+1Yeah magic , just deciding now but lock in profit is there to take. Deciding if to do it now or wait for fight and do Inplay lay with Ball assuming she fights well or let it ride / run.
Ta+0
No worries Frank…normally inplay boxing odds on big boxing match ups are fairly solid/tight…but have no real knowledge on inplay markets on low level women’s match ups..so maybe there won’t be much in the inplay markets or won’t be fair prices..But happy with that position now that the odds have come in a decent bit…The draw at 14/1 is worth leaving an ex tra few quid on if dutching the 3 outcomes as I would think has a better than 1 in 15 chance of coming in..believe it will go the full 8 rounds and be pretty close..
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August naps cont…
(33) 725 Lingield- Party Island 9/4 – top 3 finish (Hills) 12r
A new Avenue for value arbs which was recently brought to my attention from the Excellent regular poster aptly named Excellent! Currently a pretty solid arb on the 3tpplace markets 3.25/2.8. Has solid claims for placing on form book. Advised play straight back n lay- no need to wait till late for play off.
Will go in as €50 straight’bet’ for breakdown of performance purposes.5/5+0River Alwen does the business!!
+0Sorry, wrong thread!
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August naps cont…
(34) Shannon Courtney v Rachel Ball- 14/08 Sky Sports Womens Boxing- Draw 18/1- 4/5* (VBET)
After already tipping Ball to win at 21/10 on previous nap and now seeing price drops on her meaning there is already an overall arb available at current prices. Ive decided to continue napping this match up one more time with the different option of the very kind 18/1 price from VBet on the draw. Having really gone into homework mode on this match up- Im convinced the styles will lead to the fight going the full 8 round distance and that it will close in rounds scores- I would favour Ball to edge the fight say 5-3 in rounds and then see the judges give a little brucie bonus to home fighter Courtney leaving the draw as a very possible outcome- And I would feel its more like the 9-1 – 12/1 that most bookies have the draw priced up- perhaps should be even shorter price at around 8/1. So for me the 18/1 is a strong value price if you can get on with VBET- The 14/1 with Fred and Genting is a good price also in my book. But I,Ve got to tip with the best price currently on offer. After 3/4 rounds which should be tight (hopefully no unexpected ko/stoppage) then the inplay draw lay off should have rocketed into a huge arb. Could all go pear shaped of course- but I believe its a value play. 4/5*. Straight $50 win as usual for breakdown purposes- Back it for as much as u can get on- exchange lay has peanuts in it atm but is 16.5 and if you prefer laying off before match/event for lock in..I guarntee 99.99% the 18/1 will be an arb before the bell goes. And probably the 14/1 with Fred/Genting will be also pre bell or after a couple of rounds.
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Oh blimey- After seeing that 18/1 price on the draw wiith odds checker for Nap (34) Ive just navigated through the tedious website of VBET and found they have the draw priced at 12/1- Either they cut it after my post! or it was wrongly quoted by odds checker.
Will stand by the nap at Betfreds/Genting bets currently available 14/1 and reduce the value rating to 2/5*+0
August naps cont…
11/08
(35) 725 Lingfield- Nat Love 10/1 (365) 1/4 odds 3 places 12 r
A good price on current market. Need all 12 to run for full value. If all 12 run will have a small win arb and 1/2 place arb if no drift. If theres a non runner/non starter then place terms drop to 1/5 and will prob have a break even/small arb posistion at current market prices. Place chances are ok/nothing special…If all 12 run then its a 4/5. But with current risk of less than 12 going off ill call it a 2/5*
+07.30 fight night (ball) – I’ve put extra money on the draw to cover the fight , may let it play out or if a chance comes to underlay during the fight may do that ! Returns would be very good if draw. It was a chance to use Genting too with 15 offs.
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Nice one Frank- sounds good….Hopefully my 1st ever Womens boxing tip gets off to a good start!
So far am happy with the read on the value…I May have spent too much time looking into though! can get a bit obbsessed when trying to scalp some value/arbs!+0
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