ACCA (again sorry!)

Hi Guys,
First post in a while!

Thought it was time I started on the Acca’s. I feel the best method for me personally is the Lay all at the start method, I presume the no lay method is probably more beneficial, however guess i’m just a wimp!

Result Bookmaker Exchange Your Profit
All win (24%) £68 -£40 £28
1 lose (40%) -£5 -£7.50 -£12.50
2 lose (26%) -£25 £25 £0
3 lose (9%) -£25 £57.50 £32.50
4 lose (1%) -£25 £90 £65
All lose (0.1%) -£25 £122.50 £97.50

I found the above online, this is based off a £25 stake and back and lay odds of 1.3/1.32. I assume this is correct?

Any tips would be appreciated!
Thanks

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RyanB
16

February 16, 2017 at 12:58 pm

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betman 41 August 14, 2017 at 6:41 pm

Fcuking tossers Ryan
Let me sign up then blocked me from any sports bets before I’d placed one, however I was able to use their casino if I’d like to waste my money

Same group as betvictor so u might be ok if never gubbed by them.

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tennispunter 2 August 14, 2017 at 6:46 pm

Ryan – yes I live in England and was able to sign up and do about 3-4 ACCA’s each for the full amount before they gubbed me.

From memory one of them qualified for a free bet which I was able to use – probably gubbed because I went for too high odds on the free bet and was laying sequentially on each of the 3-4 ACCa’s

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tennispunter 2 August 14, 2017 at 6:48 pm

Correction – I was not gubbed – they closed my account!

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RyanB 16 August 14, 2017 at 6:59 pm

Yeah my BetVictor account is fully gubbed won’t take any bets from me..maybe I should have signed up with at least a different username, ah well!

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betman 41 August 14, 2017 at 7:10 pm

They run credit checks so I think you’re stuck whatever

Mintbet look a reasonable shout for this

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beesty2016 7 August 14, 2017 at 8:37 pm

@Ryan have had the same trouble recently when doing affiliated websites as part of a group. One of them I signed up one evening, left the sign up bonus to the next day and got a message of sorry you can not deposit please contact customer services. I spoke to them and they said we can’t explain why but we have decided that you can’t deposit at all on this website for any product. Even worse than racebets haha.

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betman 41 August 20, 2017 at 8:50 am

Mintbet now gone 1.5 min odds, also getting awfully confused by their own t&c

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FoG_BLoG 61 August 20, 2017 at 12:44 pm

Thanks betman. I hadn’t noticed that. Just did one this morning. Oh well. Hope they still credit the free bet they owe me from yesterday!

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betman 41 August 20, 2017 at 1:35 pm

I placed a load 2 days before the t&c changed, hassle via customer service to get sorted.
Again where pm would be useful as I don’t want to give the exact detail and announce who I am on this forum!

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78naD 4 August 20, 2017 at 4:51 pm

1.5 min odds? Taking the piss a bit now.

Before long it’ll be evens.

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betman 41 August 20, 2017 at 5:48 pm

7 legs, min odds evens, total odds 50-1 and all matches kicking off same time on same day!!

Will look into some other options again later. There were other profitable ones I didn’t sign up to yet as thought I had enough for now, but mintbet and 21bet didn’t fancy it

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FoG_BLoG 61 August 20, 2017 at 6:01 pm

got nothing there from mintbet. They are saying that the t and c’s changed on the 17th, my bet was placed on the 18th. So no refund.

Another bet still left to run there. I hope it wins because no chance of a refund.

Im just running on Bruce and Dafa at the moment. Yes will have to look into new options. I noticed Stan James doing acca insurance on golf last week 4 leg on 2/3 balls. Has to be some value there, maybe not able to realise it with the poor liquidity on that market on the exchange in general though.

Im getting no luck with the bookies changing t and c’s and gubbing, and getting worse luck as variance has been against me the last couple of weeks. Need a win soon. The longer odds (even 1.33) really makes variance a challenge.

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betman 41 August 20, 2017 at 10:16 pm

Tell me about it. Luckily I had a reasonable mintbet winner which balanced out the stupid amount stuff Lazio just wiped out.

Remember the laying option fog ;-)
Seriously though some of these longer odds may need it. Value on Bruce, genting, titan, toals and winner from a quick skim. Although that’s gonna get a faff if I do the volume, likely to start missing some lays

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Bigchr1s 0 August 23, 2017 at 5:45 pm

Hey guys, I’ve been working on a spreadsheet for my ACCA’s using the no lay method and laying the last leg if the first four win. I’m wondering if anyone can please explain the maths for working out just one team losing and for one or more teams losing.
It’s my understanding that to work out the chance of a team winning, you divide the exchange back odds by 1, and the method for calculating the chance of all teams to win is by multiplying the chance of winning each match sequencially. Is that correct?

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Dave_Jones 12 August 23, 2017 at 8:40 pm

@ Bigchris, I think you have misunderstood something. If you divide anything by 1, it does not change in value.

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