Bad EW Races NO CHAT

Right an idea I got from oddsmonkey, we post the daily bad EW races on here with no chat or discussion, plenty of topics for that. Think this thread will help us all in case you don’t think it will just skip this please ?

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ncfcmikey
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April 2, 2017 at 5:21 pm

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FoG_BLoG 60 May 29, 2017 at 3:49 pm

I got the place matched at 1.84. Not great but still learning the knack here too.

Happy enough though I have 2.4/1.84 arb on the place and just a small loss on the win part.

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FoG_BLoG 60 May 29, 2017 at 3:50 pm

Wow now he is 1.64 to place. I should have held on two more secs!!

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orlandosteve 2 May 29, 2017 at 3:55 pm

Boooooom!

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FoG_BLoG 60 May 29, 2017 at 3:57 pm

Perfect result. The horse didn’t win so the exchange isn’t cleared out. I underlayed so the place gave me £10 profit off just £20 ew stake….

I know it’s a lot of tracking odds all morning but if you’re at a computer anyway and can just check here and there then it’s fine. Besides with experience I imagine you get to know the key times when the odds start forming….

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Adio 5 May 29, 2017 at 5:02 pm

Yeah, Doreen was a terrible choice, lost a bit of money on that. Backed / laid Munstead on Skybet, but was restricted to a few pounds only.

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Adio 5 May 29, 2017 at 6:17 pm

How do you guys go about selecting a specific horse in a bad each way race? Is it just a matter of going for the horse with the tightest back and lay odds, that also has a realistic chance of placing, and hoping that the place lay odds will be much less than the bookie place odds near the time of the start of the race?

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Johnbo 15 May 29, 2017 at 6:20 pm

Crazy EW arb in the 6:30, From Eden is effective odds of 6.0/3.0 on the place!

Only 8 runners though, would be very tense if late non runner…

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matchedem
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10 May 29, 2017 at 6:34 pm

nice 20 profit on zig xag

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Johnbo 15 May 29, 2017 at 6:34 pm

Beautiful…:)

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matchedem
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10 May 29, 2017 at 6:36 pm

well done matey

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Johnbo 15 May 29, 2017 at 6:43 pm

Adio, everyone has different methods but I generally just check the odds against the exchange place market whenever I have some free time.

Just Eden in that race was 26.0 to back and was 26/34 on the exchange, but the place was as low as 3.0 in the 20 minutes before the off.

I actually managed to lay it at 29.0 so had a really good arb on the place at 6.0/3.0.

I personally take the place prices there and then as there is a skill required to knowing what will get backed in further on the exchange.

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FoG_BLoG 60 May 29, 2017 at 6:51 pm

I skipped the 1830. Well done Johnbo though.

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orlandosteve 2 May 29, 2017 at 6:52 pm

Adio, it’s purely on the odds. Ideally you want back/lay a couple of clicks apart and the place to be an Arb when you place bet. Leave off laying the place until close to the off as usually the odds will fall. If the horse is short enough that it looks like it will place I underlay to break even should it not place. If it’s a long horse take the guaranteed profit. I know feck all about racing/form/tracks/trainers etc I just know a good match when I see one.

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Fandango 0 May 29, 2017 at 8:16 pm

Princetonian in the 21:00 with Blacktype.

Win 2.88 / 2.88
Place 1.376 / 1.21

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Chris 24 May 29, 2017 at 8:29 pm

Also had From Eden in the 6.30 race but I could only get £20 ew on so my underlayed win was £59 when it could have been so much more. I took a £8 loss on the win part having almost forgot about it.

Been keeping an eye on the 9pm race but too many runners (shame there isnt one more) and nothing good on the win back and lay.

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