Hilary Clinton popular vote

Hey

I think I’ve spotted a potential arb but have no idea. Hilary Clinton to win the popular vote is 7/2 with paddypower and betfred but is laying at 3.6 (4.5 vs 3.6) on betfair. Am I reading this correctly or am I looking at two completely different markets. Any help appreciated?

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daveangle
1

November 7, 2016 at 8:27 pm

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Stanleybayor 7 December 14, 2016 at 10:21 am

Any update here? When you’re ready, Michigan…

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betman 41 December 14, 2016 at 10:25 am

Betfair settled ages ago?

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feltt1p 7 December 14, 2016 at 11:04 am

Nope, still waiting on vote percentage

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bobster 3 December 14, 2016 at 11:10 am

I remember seeing this and thinking, these markets aren’t going to settle for weeks. Glad I stayed away!

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betman 41 December 14, 2016 at 11:12 am

Ah, the college vote got settled

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Stanleybayor 7 December 15, 2016 at 11:18 am

So on betfair I can cash out on the trump vote percentage screen for about 95% of my total amount. HOWEVER on the cash out screen this is 100% – I.e. paying out as if the bet had won.

Why are they offering me different cash out amounts depending on which page I’m on???? Glad this nightmare waiting for funds is now over!

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sebyd101 1 December 15, 2016 at 11:38 am

Just checked on mine, if i cash out its £95.05, but on my betting statement it says i can make £97.97

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Stanleybayor 7 December 15, 2016 at 11:43 am

Be very careful, it’s quite misleading. Said I could cash out for 100% but it’s gone and given me the 95% figure. Not impressed betfair.

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betman 41 December 15, 2016 at 11:55 am

It’s an exchange so the cash out just depends on available liquidity. Although I’m surprised 100% was available unless it was an error quickly corrected as nothing in it for whoever was on the other side

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sebyd101 1 December 20, 2016 at 5:20 pm

Werent the results released yesterday? Or are betfair going to wait for them to be ratified by congress on the 6th jan?

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MonkeyTennis 3 December 20, 2016 at 7:05 pm

As far as I can see betfair are waiting for CNN to publish final results. All states have now certified their counts, but the CNN count hasn’t been updated since the 14th.

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sebyd101 1 December 22, 2016 at 5:00 pm

THEY’VE PAID OUT. FINALLLLLLYYYYYYY

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matchedem
Blocked
10 December 23, 2016 at 8:48 am

BOOOOMMMM!!!

Based on my overnight progress on the cash race looks like these bets have counted towards that too! Ballin’ like im bo diddly

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