My theory beyond matched betting

Interesting. I was looking at Poet when he was at 15 at the bookies. The place was already good value but the win lay never got below 16 at the exchange. The first show was 7.5 I think and I was looking at the odds predicting they would come in. However they never did whilst I was watching and then the bookie odds dropped to 13 so I left it. Beesty said he laid the win immediately so I didn’t want to deviate from the strategy.

I guess if you think a horse is about to stream you could risk not laying it immediately knowing that if it does drift, you can cover your win lay losses by the value still in the place lay? In this case, leaving the win lay was a great shout as the predicted steam happened and Dingo was quids in…!!

I definitely left it all too late. Backing poets song was 8 on William hill when I was looking, didn’t see prices of anything like 11 – 15. Will start looking 10 – 15 mins earlier. I am happy I know what I am doing, just getting the timings right. Cheers.

I had the 1430 Thirsk. Then maybe 1425 and 1655 Listowel, 1420 Yarmouth.
The 1425 Listowel is only 2 places for 6 runners but 2 are massive outsides and one is also an outsider but not as big.
1655 Listowel is 4 places for 17 runners. 12 of those odds of 15+ ATM. 2 favourites and 2 priced at 8 and 9.

Think I will struggle to get any on today, have kids again grrrrr!

I start watching the odds 30 mins before post. I monitor the exchange odds and bookie odds and place the EW bet whenever the win lay is close to/matches the bookie odds. Lay the win immediately. This may be 30 mins before post or perhaps closer. Beesty is saying to then wait for the place lay about 2 mins from post.

I think that’s pretty general tho and the key is to just monitor it all closely.

That all said, I’m no expert.

Quitting your job to do E/W arbs sounds like a really smart move. Well done!

Johnson it sounds more like he has taken a break from the job and also sounds like he is making more money per day doing this.

When he is fully restricted the door seems to be open.

Obviously I would generally advise against it, but every situation is different, the lad seems to have a handle on it and not really for us to comment.

Of course depends on how happy you are in your job.

Fog he gave up his job. He said so himself.

This has to be one of the worst ideas I’ve seen on this forum. Online bookies will ban you quickly if you’re making any kind of consistent profits.

If he then tries to take this into shops, he will face a lot more problems. Good luck trying to get £50 on E/W in shops. Staff will find it suspicious if you haggle over small changes in the odds on E/W bets as well.

One thing that does puzzle me is he said he only needs £50 a day to make his old pay. That’s £13k a year pre-tax.

Would you work 7 days a week for £22k?