My theory beyond matched betting
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Hi all have not posted in a while and have seen the forum collapse due to the lack of offers. My online career is all but over now due to being gubbed in the last week by my last few standing accounts. Anyway people will want to argue this but over the last month I turned a 4K bankroll into 21k by something called each way arbing.
The basic jist of this is to pick races with 8,9 16-20 runners and backing certain horses each way. It always works in fields of 16-20 runners where 4 are paid and works in the 8 or 9 especially when there are 2 or 3 outsiders or an odds on favourite.
For example I put 100 ew on a 12/1 shot on bet365 in a 17 runner race. I am looking to lay at 13 on betfair. Let the lay match and as soon as it has take the 12/1. Current position is your down a max of 5 pounds on bf commission. (Use smarkets if you wish)
Then go on the place markets and lay the horse. The odds on 365 are 3/1 (4) as a 1/4 of the odds. On betfair this should be lower and often trading around 3.3/3.4. This means you can play about with the numbers to make a profit but say i lay 120 @ 3.4 to lose 288 I can make around 12-14 on this part after commission. Therefore I’m around a tenner up before the race regardless of what happens.
As my bankroll got bigger I got better at it by doing multiple horses in races and laying the places 3 mins before the start of the race. people can say what they want about me being 17k up from it but I know I have made this money and the theory works if you are sharp at maths can react quickly to mental calculations and I know a few people on here would be able to do it.
Good luck to those who go for it. I will be spending some time at mates houses over the summer and taking a 50 50 cut for the use of their name.
+0June 22, 2016 at 9:37 pm
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+0System to beat the bookies? Former maths teacher? Is this you beesty? ?
https://www.camdennewjournal.com/bookies-refuse-horse-bets-camden
+0Haha ‘wizard of odds’
+0He’s got a nice hat!
“My mate SUPERT smashes these races for fun.”+0He’s got a nice hat!
“My mate SUPERT smashes these races for fun.” haha+0Has me puzzled what his system could be if he is covering every horse in the race.
+0It’s not me haha I’m a bit younger than him but don’t live too far away from him. Haven’t done shops for a while but sounds like he takes value out of the extra place races in Paddys plus big festivals.
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there’s a spread sheet knocking about somewhere (possibly oddsmonk) that has figures for dutching on extra E/W places so it sounds like that. Obviously the downside being you have to have 20 odd bookies available to back every horse so it seems to me he’s been rumbled because he’s backing a few horses per race per bookie.
+0Cracker 2.25 chelt lads with betvic
£30 ew at 19.0 … 70p is quali loss but if fin 5th or 6th £165 profit
Thank me later+0Sorry meant to say village vic lol
19/25 win
5.5/4.4 place+0good shout Supert, he led all the way!
+0Dentist race…. tooth hurty (2.30 chelts)
Leoncarvallo and sternrubin
£100 ew on each 12.0/12.0
3.75/3.15£4 risk on each wins you £65 if places…. great value bets…. forget matched betting …. underlaying is the future…. thank me later lol
+0Did anyone just get stung in the 1:00? A unique situation where the starter had his flag raised but then wanted them to take one more turn and in this time a horse went over to see the on field vet. The race then just started. I know before I have been stung with them not going in the stalls but this situation is a bit different and wondered if anyone has ever had any similar.
+0wow you’ve having a rough couple of days beesty! swings and roundabouts hopefully mate.
I did see someone get stung elsewhere.+0I’m paranoid about the 2.30 now.
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